Personalis Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

PSNL Stock  USD 1.26  0.03  2.33%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Personalis is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Personalis buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding PSNL positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Personalis' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Personalis' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
2.34
Target Price
5.75
Hype Value
1.26
Market Value
1.26
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Personalis given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Personalis. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Personalis, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Personalis Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Personalis Stock please use our How to buy in Personalis Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Personalis and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Personalis. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Personalis Buy or Sell Advice

The Personalis recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Personalis. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Personalis or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Personalis' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell PersonalisBuy Personalis
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very riskyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Personalis has a Mean Deviation of 4.06, Standard Deviation of 5.35 and Variance of 28.6
We provide trade recommendations to complement the recent expert consensus on Personalis. Our dynamic recommendation engine exercises a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Personalis is not overpriced, please check all Personalis fundamentals, including its earnings per share, market capitalization, as well as the relationship between the debt to equity and ebitda . Given that Personalis is a hitting penny stock territory we advise to closely look at its number of shares shorted.

Personalis Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Personalis generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Personalis has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Personalis may become a speculative penny stock
Personalis has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 73.48 M. Net Loss for the year was (108.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 13.35 M.
Personalis currently holds about 233.49 M in cash with (56.26 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.09, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Market Cool On Personalis, Inc.s Revenues Pushing Shares 25 percent Lower

Personalis Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Personalis' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Personalis' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Personalis daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Personalis price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Personalis returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Personalis.
Mean Return
-0.32
Value At Risk
-7.43
Potential Upside
10.00
Standard Deviation
5.35
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Personalis historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Personalis Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Personalis is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Personalis backward and forwards among themselves. Personalis' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Personalis' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Gsa Capital Partners Llp2023-12-31
395.6 K
Geode Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
389.7 K
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp2023-09-30
386.3 K
Pacific Heights Asset Management, Llc2023-12-31
310 K
Bruce & Co Inc2023-12-31
300 K
Wellington Shields & Co., Llc2023-12-31
299.3 K
Millennium Management Llc2023-12-31
266.9 K
Lpl Financial Corp2023-12-31
193 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
188.1 K
Ark Investment Management Llc2023-12-31
6.7 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
3.3 M
Note, although Personalis' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Personalis Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(1.2M)(1.1M)29K(3.0M)(1.9M)(2.0M)
Change In Cash35.3M13.5M38.9M(16.5M)(32.1M)(30.5M)
Net Borrowings(645K)(5M)3.3M(1.1M)(989.1K)(939.6K)
Free Cash Flow(26.5M)(45.9M)(81.9M)(120.1M)(67.2M)(70.5M)
Depreciation4.7M5.8M6.0M8.4M11.3M6.4M
Other Non Cash Items1.6M1.5M3.1M4.6M45.8M48.1M
Capital Expenditures8.4M3.2M11.1M49.9M10.9M15.2M
Net Income(25.1M)(41.3M)(65.2M)(113.3M)(108.3M)(102.9M)
End Period Cash Flow55.0M68.5M107.4M90.9M57.0M66.2M
Change To Netincome9.5M8.3M14.5M19.5M22.5M23.6M

Personalis Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Personalis or Life Sciences Tools & Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Personalis' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Personalis stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.51
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.37
σ
Overall volatility
5.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Personalis Volatility Alert

Personalis exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.71 and kurtosis of 1.09. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Personalis' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Personalis' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Personalis Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Personalis' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Personalis' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Personalis and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Personalis or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Personalis' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Personalis by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Personalis to competition
FundamentalsPersonalisPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.62-0.31
Return On Asset-0.23-0.14
Profit Margin(1.47) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(1.01) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation(66.98 K)16.62 B
Shares Outstanding51.21 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.81 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions56.86 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.08 M4.71 M
Price To Book0.50 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.89 X11.42 X
Revenue73.48 M9.43 B
Gross Profit13.35 M27.38 B
EBITDA(85 M)3.9 B
Net Income(108.3 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents233.49 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share5.09 X5.01 X
Total Debt48.96 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.22 %48.70 %
Current Ratio6.26 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2.56 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(56.26 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio2.75 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(2.25) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.09 X4.89 X
Target Price4.75
Number Of Employees22318.84 K
Beta1.95-0.15
Market Capitalization66.06 M19.03 B
Total Asset225.1 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(468.71 M)9.33 B
Working Capital99.51 M1.48 B
Net Asset225.1 M
Note: Acquisition by John West of 450000 shares of Personalis subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Personalis Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Personalis . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Personalis Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Personalis? Buying financial instruments such as Personalis Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total52.8M48.7M49.0M29.1M
Total Assets396.5M292.7M225.1M218.7M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Personalis in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Social Domain Thematic Idea Now

Social Domain
Social Domain Theme
New or established large and mid-sized companies that are involved in the social media industry, including entities that provide web-based or mobile media applications and services across across large segment of population in multiple geographical areas. The Social Domain theme has 39 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Social Domain Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Personalis is a strong investment it is important to analyze Personalis' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Personalis' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Personalis Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Personalis Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Personalis Stock please use our How to buy in Personalis Stock guide.
You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.

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Is Personalis' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Personalis. If investors know Personalis will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Personalis listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(2.25)
Revenue Per Share
1.525
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.177
Return On Assets
(0.23)
Return On Equity
(0.62)
The market value of Personalis is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Personalis that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Personalis' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Personalis' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Personalis' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Personalis' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Personalis' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Personalis is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Personalis' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.