Papa Johns International Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| PZZA Stock | USD 64.26 1.04 1.65% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Papa Johns International is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Papa Johns buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding PZZA positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Papa Johns' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Papa Johns' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 69.61 | Target Price 92.31 | Hype Value 64.3 | Market Value 64.26 | Naive Value 64.46 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Papa Johns International given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Papa Johns. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Papa Johns International, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Papa |
Execute Papa Johns Buy or Sell Advice
The Papa recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Papa Johns International. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Papa Johns International or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Papa Johns' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Papa Johns Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Papa Johns generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company currently holds 965.72 M in liabilities. Papa Johns International has a current ratio of 0.89, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Papa Johns until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Papa Johns' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Papa Johns International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Papa to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Papa Johns' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from benzinga.com: Analyst Eyes Papa Johns Comparable Sales Amid Price-Value Concerns, Upgrades Stock To Hold |
Papa Johns Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Papa Johns' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Papa Johns' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Papa Johns daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Papa Johns International price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Papa Johns returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Papa Johns.
| Mean Return | -0.24 | Value At Risk | -3.22 | Potential Upside | 2.62 | Standard Deviation | 1.79 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Papa Johns historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Papa Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Papa Johns is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Papa Johns International backward and forwards among themselves. Papa Johns' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Papa Johns' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Sei Investments Co | 2023-12-31 | 889.9 K | Stephens Inv Mgmt Group Llc | 2023-12-31 | 856.8 K | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2023-12-31 | 788.8 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 723.3 K | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 715.9 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2023-12-31 | 591.4 K | Thrivent Financial For Lutherans | 2023-12-31 | 521.1 K | Deprince Race & Zollo Inc | 2023-12-31 | 502.6 K | Principal Financial Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 489.5 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 5.2 M | T. Rowe Price Investment Management,inc. | 2023-12-31 | 3.8 M |
Papa Johns Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (326K) | (2.7M) | (4.7M) | (7.5M) | 5.4M | 5.7M | |
| Change In Cash | (5.3M) | 102.3M | (59.6M) | (23.2M) | (6.8M) | (6.4M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 24.0M | 150.8M | 116.1M | 39.4M | 116.4M | 122.3M | |
| Depreciation | 47.3M | 49.7M | 48.8M | 52.0M | 64.1M | 35.0M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 7.5M | (2.5M) | (271K) | 33.7M | 6.2M | 5.6M | |
| Dividends Paid | 38.6M | 43.0M | 46.8M | 54.8M | 58.5M | 32.4M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 37.7M | 35.7M | 68.6M | 78.4M | 76.6M | 43.6M | |
| Net Income | 5.7M | 60.6M | 125.0M | 69.3M | 82.1M | 53.1M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 27.9M | 130.2M | 70.6M | 47.4M | 40.6M | 30.1M | |
| Investments | (10.2M) | (5.4M) | 2.4M | (62.8M) | (90.2M) | (85.7M) | |
| Change Receivables | (5.3M) | (22.4M) | 4.0M | (29.2M) | (26.3M) | (24.9M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 13.1M | 4.6M | 25.3M | 54.8M | 63.1M | 66.2M | |
| Net Borrowings | (255.0M) | (20M) | 140M | 115M | 132.3M | 138.9M |
Papa Johns Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Papa Johns or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Papa Johns' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Papa stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.35 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.80 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
Papa Johns Volatility Alert
Papa Johns International exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.23 and kurtosis of -0.38. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Papa Johns' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Papa Johns' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Papa Johns Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Papa Johns' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Papa Johns' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Papa Johns and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Papa Johns or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Papa Johns' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Papa Johns by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Papa Johns to competition |
| Fundamentals | Papa Johns | Peer Average |
| Return On Asset | 0.11 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.04 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.08 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 3.01 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 32.94 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.27 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 98.73 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.47 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 42.66 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.95 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 2.14 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 629.35 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 211.81 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 82.1 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 36.62 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.04 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 965.72 M | 5.32 B |
| Current Ratio | 0.91 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (14.13) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 193.06 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.66 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.48 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.35 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 80.75 | |
| Number Of Employees | 13.2 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.15 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.08 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 954.2 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 219.03 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (73.58 M) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 152.59 M | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 132.94 M | 7.9 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.03 % |
Note: Disposition of 2886 shares by Laurette Koellner of Papa Johns at 41.15 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Papa Johns Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Papa . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 12886.39 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.8525 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 63.78 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 63.94 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.0 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.04 |
About Papa Johns Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Papa Johns International? Buying financial instruments such as Papa Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 685.5M | 807.3M | 965.7M | 1.0B | Total Assets | 885.7M | 864.2M | 954.2M | 1.0B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Papa Johns in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Papa Johns Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Papa Johns International information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Papa Johns' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Complementary Tools for Papa Stock analysis
When running Papa Johns' price analysis, check to measure Papa Johns' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Papa Johns is operating at the current time. Most of Papa Johns' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Papa Johns' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Papa Johns' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Papa Johns to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Papa Johns' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Papa Johns. If investors know Papa will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Papa Johns listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.205 | Dividend Share 1.76 | Earnings Share 2.48 | Revenue Per Share 64.854 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.086 |
The market value of Papa Johns International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Papa that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Papa Johns' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Papa Johns' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Papa Johns' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Papa Johns' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Papa Johns' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Papa Johns is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Papa Johns' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.