Papa Johns Buy or Sell Recommendation

Macroaxis provides Papa Johns International Inc buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Papa Johns positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Papa Johns International Inc available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Papa Johns buy-and-hold prospective. Additionally take a look at Papa Johns Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Symbol
Execute Advice
Papa Johns International Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 62.75  1.03  1.61%

Given the investment horizon of 30 days, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Papa Johns International Inc is 'Strong Hold'.
For the selected time horizon Papa Johns International Inc has a risk adjusted performance of 0.0833, jensen alpha of (0.16), total risk alpha of (0.89), sortino ratio of 0.087 and treynor ratio of 0.1687
Macroaxis provides unbiased recommendation on Papa Johns International Inc that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Papa Johns Internati. Our buy or sell recommendations engine determines the corporation potential to grow exclusively from the prospective of investors current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Papa Johns is not overpriced, please check all Papa Johns Internati fundamentals including its Gross Profit, Short Ratio, Current Liabilities, as well as the relationship between Total Debt and Market Capitalization . Given that Papa Johns Internati has Price to Earning of 20.35 times, we recommend you check out Papa Johns Internati market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.41Value At Risk2.25
Potential Upside4.14Standard Deviation2.44
 Return Density 
      Distribution 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Schwab Charles Investment Management IncCommon Shares125.3 K7 M
Sheets Smith Wealth ManagementCommon Shares107.7 K6 M
Simplex Trading LlcCommon Shares29.9 K1.7 M
Capital Impact Advisors LlcCommon Shares18.9 K1.1 M
Oregon Public Employees Retirement FundCommon Shares9.9 K554 K
Cutler Group LpCommon Shares8.5 K474 K
Nisa Investment Advisors LlcCommon Shares6.6 K368 K
Simplex Trading LlcPut Options52.018 K
Simplex Trading LlcCall Options12416 K

Papa Johns Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
=0.16
β
Beta against DOW=2.37
σ
Overall volatility
=2.38
Ir
Information ratio =0.0667

Papa Johns Volatility Alert

Papa Johns International Inc has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.28 and kurtosis of 3.48. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate Papa Johns International Inc to ensure market all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future risk-adjusted return.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Papa Johns to competition
FundamentalsPapa JohnsPeer Average
Return On Asset18.62 % (15.64) %
Profit Margin6.06 % (5.5) %
Operating Margin8.91 % (10.91) %
Current Valuation2.5 B152.14 B
Shares Outstanding35.04 M1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders27.97 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions86.7 % 18.37 %
Number of Shares Shorted4.56 M3.24 M
Price to Earning20.35 times40.69 times
Price to Book240.8 times14.44 times
Price to Sales1.18 times17.81 times
Revenue1.76 B9.85 B
Gross Profit359.1 M21.75 B
EBITDA199.29 M1.41 B
Net Income107.62 M517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents39.54 M3.89 B
Cash per Share1.13 times5.17 times
Total Debt398.55 M7.36 B
Debt to Equity965.7 % 0.72 %
Current Ratio1.21 times3.3 times
Book Value Per Share(1.68) times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations137.52 M1.25 B
Short Ratio4.95 times2.09 times
Earnings Per Share2.9 times2.3 times
Price to Earnings To Growth3.85 times1.22 times
Number of Employees22.35 K10.67 K
Beta0.160.34
Market Capitalization2.07 B29.78 B
Total Asset494.06 M126.86 B
Retained Earnings219.28 M38.24 B
Working Capital19.65 M3.58 B
Current Asset152.59 M36.8 B
Current Liabilities132.94 M33.34 B
SellBuy
Strong Hold

Volatility

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
   Papa Johns exotic insider transaction detected [view details]
Risk Adjusted Performance0.0833
Market Risk Adjusted Performance0.1787
Mean Deviation1.72
Semi Deviation1.48
Downside Deviation1.87
Coefficient Of Variation596.7
Standard Deviation2.44
Variance5.96
Information Ratio0.0667
Jensen Alpha(0.16)
Total Risk Alpha(0.89)
Sortino Ratio0.087
Treynor Ratio0.1687
Maximum Drawdown8.08
Value At Risk(2.25)
Potential Upside4.14
Downside Variance3.5
Semi Variance2.19
Expected Short fall(2.08)
Skewness1.28
Kurtosis3.48

Current Valuation

Papa Johns Current Valuation Analysis
Papa Johns International Inc is regarded third in current valuation category among related companies. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Restaurants Hotels Motels industry is at this time estimated at about 35.36 Billion. Papa Johns holds roughly 2.5 Billion in current valuation claiming about 7% of equities listed under Restaurants Hotels Motels industry.