Sunrun Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
RUN Stock | USD 13.10 1.82 16.13% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Sunrun Inc is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Sunrun buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Sunrun positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Sunrun's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Sunrun's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 16.32 | Target Price 27.87 | Hype Value 13.06 | Market Value 13.1 | Naive Value 14.37 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Sunrun Inc given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Sunrun. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Sunrun Inc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Sunrun |
Execute Sunrun Buy or Sell Advice
The Sunrun recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Sunrun Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Sunrun Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Sunrun's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Sunrun Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
Sunrun Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Sunrun Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.26 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (2.68 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 298.71 M. | |
Sunrun Inc has about 522.46 M in cash with (820.74 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.46. | |
Sunrun Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Sunrun Selects Carhartt to Protect Thousands of Workers Advancing Americas Customer-Led Clean Energy Transformation |
Sunrun Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Sunrun's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Sunrun's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Sunrun daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Sunrun Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Sunrun returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Sunrun.
Mean Return | -0.45 | Value At Risk | -7.48 | Potential Upside | 7.33 | Standard Deviation | 5.33 |
Return Density |
Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Sunrun historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Sunrun Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Sunrun is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sunrun Inc backward and forwards among themselves. Sunrun's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Sunrun's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares | Sam Sustainable Asset Management Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 3.7 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2023-09-30 | 3.5 M | Handelsbanken Fonder Ab | 2023-12-31 | 3.4 M | Alyeska Investment Group, L.p. | 2023-09-30 | 3.2 M | Phoenix Holdings Ltd | 2023-09-30 | 3.1 M | Point72 Asset Management, L.p. | 2023-09-30 | 3.1 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 2.8 M | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2023-09-30 | 2.5 M | Deutsche Bank Ag | 2023-09-30 | 2.2 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 32.6 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-09-30 | 19.4 M |
Sunrun Cash Flow Accounts
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
Change To Inventory | (181.1M) | 47.6M | (223.8M) | (277.1M) | 324.2M | 340.4M | |
Change In Cash | 58.8M | 345.0M | 142.2M | 102.6M | 34.8M | 33.1M | |
Free Cash Flow | (1.0B) | (1.3B) | (2.5B) | (2.9B) | (3.4B) | (3.3B) | |
Depreciation | 187.2M | 242.9M | 388.1M | 451.0M | 531.7M | 558.3M | |
Other Non Cash Items | 11.0M | 35.0M | 39.7M | (152.3M) | 1.4B | 1.5B | |
Capital Expenditures | 840.5M | 969.7M | 1.7B | 2.0B | 2.6B | 2.7B | |
Net Income | (391.0M) | (626.9M) | (980.5M) | (849.6M) | (2.7B) | (2.5B) | |
End Period Cash Flow | 363.2M | 708.2M | 850.4M | 953.0M | 987.8M | 503.2M | |
Net Borrowings | 460.9M | 341.3M | 1.7B | 1.9B | 2.2B | 2.3B | |
Change To Netincome | 43.9M | (308.5M) | (640.8M) | (1.1B) | (956.2M) | (908.4M) | |
Investments | (843.3M) | (497.8M) | (1.7B) | (2.1B) | (2.5B) | (2.3B) |
Sunrun Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Sunrun or Electrical Equipment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Sunrun's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Sunrun stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.99 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 4.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Sunrun Volatility Alert
Sunrun Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.01 and kurtosis of 1.92. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Sunrun's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Sunrun's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Sunrun Implied Volatility
Sunrun's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sunrun Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sunrun's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sunrun stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sunrun's options are near their expiration.
Sunrun Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Sunrun's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Sunrun's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Sunrun and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Sunrun or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Sunrun's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sunrun by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Sunrun to competition |
Fundamentals | Sunrun | Peer Average |
Return On Equity | -0.36 | -0.31 |
Return On Asset | -0.0258 | -0.14 |
Profit Margin | (0.71) % | (1.27) % |
Operating Margin | (0.38) % | (5.51) % |
Current Valuation | 12.89 B | 16.62 B |
Shares Outstanding | 219.59 M | 571.82 M |
Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.62 % | 10.09 % |
Shares Owned By Institutions | 97.38 % | 39.21 % |
Number Of Shares Shorted | 43.75 M | 4.71 M |
Price To Earning | 103.20 X | 28.72 X |
Price To Book | 0.47 X | 9.51 X |
Price To Sales | 1.27 X | 11.42 X |
Revenue | 2.26 B | 9.43 B |
Gross Profit | 298.71 M | 27.38 B |
EBITDA | (352.87 M) | 3.9 B |
Net Income | (2.68 B) | 570.98 M |
Cash And Equivalents | 522.46 M | 2.7 B |
Cash Per Share | 2.46 X | 5.01 X |
Total Debt | 11.09 B | 5.32 B |
Debt To Equity | 1.02 % | 48.70 % |
Current Ratio | 1.73 X | 2.16 X |
Book Value Per Share | 23.84 X | 1.93 K |
Cash Flow From Operations | (820.74 M) | 971.22 M |
Short Ratio | 2.61 X | 4.00 X |
Earnings Per Share | (7.41) X | 3.12 X |
Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.45 X | 4.89 X |
Target Price | 21.55 | |
Number Of Employees | 10.83 K | 18.84 K |
Beta | 2.45 | -0.15 |
Market Capitalization | 2.87 B | 19.03 B |
Total Asset | 20.45 B | 29.47 B |
Retained Earnings | (1.43 B) | 9.33 B |
Working Capital | 394.1 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Alan Ferber of 10000 shares of Sunrun at 9.7291 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Sunrun Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Sunrun . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution | 3.3 M | |||
Daily Balance Of Power | 1.10303 | |||
Rate Of Daily Change | 1.16 | |||
Day Median Price | 12.4 | |||
Day Typical Price | 12.63 | |||
Price Action Indicator | 1.61 | |||
Period Momentum Indicator | 1.82 |
About Sunrun Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Sunrun Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Sunrun Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 6.8B | 8.7B | 11.1B | 11.6B | Total Assets | 16.5B | 19.3B | 20.5B | 21.5B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Sunrun in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Office Supplies Thematic Idea Now
Office Supplies
Companies producing and selling office supplies, and accessories. The Office Supplies theme has 37 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Office Supplies Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Sunrun Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Complementary Tools for Sunrun Stock analysis
When running Sunrun's price analysis, check to measure Sunrun's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sunrun is operating at the current time. Most of Sunrun's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sunrun's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sunrun's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sunrun to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Sunrun's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sunrun. If investors know Sunrun will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sunrun listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 7.727 | Earnings Share (7.41) | Revenue Per Share 10.431 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) | Return On Assets (0.03) |
The market value of Sunrun Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sunrun that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sunrun's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sunrun's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sunrun's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sunrun's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sunrun's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sunrun is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sunrun's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.