Sunrun Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

RUN Stock  USD 13.10  1.82  16.13%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Sunrun Inc is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Sunrun buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Sunrun positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Sunrun's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Sunrun's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
16.32
Target Price
27.87
Hype Value
13.06
Market Value
13.1
Naive Value
14.37
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Sunrun Inc given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Sunrun. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Sunrun Inc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Sunrun Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Sunrun and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Sunrun Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.

Execute Sunrun Buy or Sell Advice

The Sunrun recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Sunrun Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Sunrun Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Sunrun's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell SunrunBuy Sunrun
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Sunrun Inc has a Mean Deviation of 4.02, Standard Deviation of 5.33 and Variance of 28.45
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Sunrun and to analyze the firm potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Sunrun Inc is not overpriced, please validate all Sunrun fundamentals, including its debt to equity, and the relationship between the gross profit and price to earnings to growth . Given that Sunrun Inc has a price to earning of 103.20 X, we advise you to double-check Sunrun Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Sunrun Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Sunrun Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Sunrun Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.26 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (2.68 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 298.71 M.
Sunrun Inc has about 522.46 M in cash with (820.74 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.46.
Sunrun Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Sunrun Selects Carhartt to Protect Thousands of Workers Advancing Americas Customer-Led Clean Energy Transformation

Sunrun Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Sunrun's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Sunrun's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Sunrun daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Sunrun Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Sunrun returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Sunrun.
Mean Return
-0.45
Value At Risk
-7.48
Potential Upside
7.33
Standard Deviation
5.33
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Sunrun historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Sunrun Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Sunrun is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sunrun Inc backward and forwards among themselves. Sunrun's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Sunrun's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Sam Sustainable Asset Management Ltd2023-12-31
3.7 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2023-09-30
3.5 M
Handelsbanken Fonder Ab2023-12-31
3.4 M
Alyeska Investment Group, L.p.2023-09-30
3.2 M
Phoenix Holdings Ltd2023-09-30
3.1 M
Point72 Asset Management, L.p.2023-09-30
3.1 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2023-12-31
2.8 M
Citadel Advisors Llc2023-09-30
2.5 M
Deutsche Bank Ag2023-09-30
2.2 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
32.6 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-09-30
19.4 M
Note, although Sunrun's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Sunrun Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(181.1M)47.6M(223.8M)(277.1M)324.2M340.4M
Change In Cash58.8M345.0M142.2M102.6M34.8M33.1M
Free Cash Flow(1.0B)(1.3B)(2.5B)(2.9B)(3.4B)(3.3B)
Depreciation187.2M242.9M388.1M451.0M531.7M558.3M
Other Non Cash Items11.0M35.0M39.7M(152.3M)1.4B1.5B
Capital Expenditures840.5M969.7M1.7B2.0B2.6B2.7B
Net Income(391.0M)(626.9M)(980.5M)(849.6M)(2.7B)(2.5B)
End Period Cash Flow363.2M708.2M850.4M953.0M987.8M503.2M
Net Borrowings460.9M341.3M1.7B1.9B2.2B2.3B
Change To Netincome43.9M(308.5M)(640.8M)(1.1B)(956.2M)(908.4M)
Investments(843.3M)(497.8M)(1.7B)(2.1B)(2.5B)(2.3B)

Sunrun Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Sunrun or Electrical Equipment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Sunrun's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Sunrun stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.99
β
Beta against NYSE Composite4.29
σ
Overall volatility
5.50
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Sunrun Volatility Alert

Sunrun Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.01 and kurtosis of 1.92. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Sunrun's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Sunrun's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Sunrun Implied Volatility

Sunrun's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sunrun Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sunrun's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sunrun stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sunrun's options are near their expiration.

Sunrun Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Sunrun's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Sunrun's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Sunrun and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Sunrun or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Sunrun's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sunrun by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Sunrun to competition
FundamentalsSunrunPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.36-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0258-0.14
Profit Margin(0.71) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.38) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation12.89 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding219.59 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.62 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions97.38 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted43.75 M4.71 M
Price To Earning103.20 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.47 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.27 X11.42 X
Revenue2.26 B9.43 B
Gross Profit298.71 M27.38 B
EBITDA(352.87 M)3.9 B
Net Income(2.68 B)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents522.46 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.46 X5.01 X
Total Debt11.09 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.02 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.73 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share23.84 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(820.74 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio2.61 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(7.41) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.45 X4.89 X
Target Price21.55
Number Of Employees10.83 K18.84 K
Beta2.45-0.15
Market Capitalization2.87 B19.03 B
Total Asset20.45 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(1.43 B)9.33 B
Working Capital394.1 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Alan Ferber of 10000 shares of Sunrun at 9.7291 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Sunrun Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Sunrun . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Sunrun Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Sunrun Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Sunrun Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total6.8B8.7B11.1B11.6B
Total Assets16.5B19.3B20.5B21.5B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Sunrun in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Office Supplies Thematic Idea Now

Office Supplies
Office Supplies Theme
Companies producing and selling office supplies, and accessories. The Office Supplies theme has 37 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Office Supplies Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Sunrun Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Sunrun's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Sunrun Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Sunrun Inc Stock:
Check out Sunrun Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..

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Is Sunrun's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sunrun. If investors know Sunrun will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sunrun listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
7.727
Earnings Share
(7.41)
Revenue Per Share
10.431
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.15)
Return On Assets
(0.03)
The market value of Sunrun Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sunrun that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sunrun's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sunrun's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sunrun's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sunrun's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sunrun's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sunrun is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sunrun's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.