Secoo Holding Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| SECO Stock | USD 0.39 0.02 4.88% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Secoo Holding is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Secoo Holding buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding SECO positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Secoo Holding's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Secoo Holding's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 0.36 | Hype Value 0.39 | Market Value 0.39 | Naive Value 0.42 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Secoo Holding given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Secoo Holding. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Secoo Holding, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Secoo |
Execute Secoo Holding Buy or Sell Advice
The Secoo recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Secoo Holding. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Secoo Holding or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Secoo Holding's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Out of control | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Secoo Holding Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Secoo Holding had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Secoo Holding has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 6.02 B. Net Loss for the year was (87.42 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 118.16 M. | |
| Secoo Holding currently holds about 218.75 M in cash with (901.89 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.1, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Secoo Holding has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures |
Secoo Holding Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Secoo Holding's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Secoo Holding's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Secoo Holding daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Secoo Holding price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Secoo Holding returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Secoo Holding.
| Mean Return | -0.19 | Value At Risk | -7.32 | Potential Upside | 8.11 | Standard Deviation | 5.95 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Secoo Holding historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Secoo Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Secoo Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Secoo Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Secoo Holding's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Secoo Holding's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Virtu Financial Llc | 2023-12-31 | 0.0 | Hrt Financial Llc | 2023-12-31 | 0.0 | Idg Technology Venture Investment Iv Llc | 2023-12-31 | 545.1 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2023-09-30 | 66.1 K | Two Sigma Securities, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 30.4 K | Rhumbline Advisers | 2023-12-31 | 29.1 K | Scarborough Advisors, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.5 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 625 | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2023-12-31 | 99.0 | Ubs Group Ag | 2023-12-31 | 10.0 | Lake Street Financial Llc | 2023-12-31 | 0.0 |
Secoo Holding Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (439.1M) | (519.5M) | (969.5M) | (699.2M) | (629.3M) | (660.7M) | |
| Change In Cash | 397.9M | 494.0M | (172.3M) | (224.5M) | (202.1M) | (192.0M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 1.0B | 54.4M | 1.4M | (158.4M) | (182.2M) | (173.1M) | |
| Depreciation | 13.4M | 18.2M | 54.0M | 84.5M | 97.1M | 102.0M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 19.3M | 44.8M | 35.4M | 17.2M | 19.8M | 20.2M | |
| Net Income | 133.4M | 155.5M | 161.7M | (87.4M) | (100.5M) | (95.5M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 33.5M | (19.9M) | 236.9M | 521.1M | 599.3M | 629.3M | |
| Investments | 146.1M | 57.1M | 14.0M | (250K) | (287.5K) | (301.9K) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 453.4M | 1.1B | 954.1M | 729.6M | 839.0M | 605.7M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (196.3M) | (696.2M) | (279.7M) | (919.1M) | (827.2M) | (785.8M) | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (286K) | 13.6M | 5.8M | 181.1M | 208.3M | 218.7M |
Secoo Holding Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Secoo Holding or Internet & Direct Marketing Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Secoo Holding's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Secoo stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.27 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.81 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.94 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Secoo Holding Volatility Alert
Secoo Holding exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 1.2 and kurtosis of 4.96. Secoo Holding is a potential penny stock. Although Secoo Holding may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Secoo Holding. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Secoo instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.Secoo Holding Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Secoo Holding's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Secoo Holding's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Secoo Holding and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Secoo Holding or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Secoo Holding's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Secoo Holding by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Secoo Holding to competition |
| Fundamentals | Secoo Holding | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.84 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.2 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.48) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.66) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.44 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 7.07 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 10.55 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 50.83 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 4.11 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.02 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.0009 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 6.02 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 118.16 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 137.43 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (87.42 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 218.75 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 3.10 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.43 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.79 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 3.09 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 127.52 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (901.89 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.53 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (26.70) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 8.79 | |
| Number Of Employees | 509 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | -0.054 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.93 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 5.34 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (1.21 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 2.79 B | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 945.31 M | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 739.42 M | 7.9 B |
Secoo Holding Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Secoo . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 9871.8 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.50) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.95 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.38 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.38 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.02) |
About Secoo Holding Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Secoo Holding? Buying financial instruments such as Secoo Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2019 | 2020 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Other Current Liabilities | 1.0B | 769.5M | 885.0M | 460.0M | Total Assets | 5.0B | 5.3B | 6.1B | 6.5B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Secoo Holding in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Hedge Favorites Thematic Idea Now
Hedge Favorites
Hedge Funds pool capital from accredited individuals or institutional investors and invest in a variety of assets, often with complex portfolio-construction and risk-management techniques. The Hedge Favorites theme has 37 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Hedge Favorites Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Secoo Holding Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Secoo Stock, please use our How to Invest in Secoo Holding guide.Note that the Secoo Holding information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Secoo Holding's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Complementary Tools for Secoo Stock analysis
When running Secoo Holding's price analysis, check to measure Secoo Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Secoo Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Secoo Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Secoo Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Secoo Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Secoo Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Secoo Holding's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Secoo Holding. If investors know Secoo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Secoo Holding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.74) | Earnings Share (26.70) | Revenue Per Share 392.097 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.24) | Return On Assets (0.20) |
The market value of Secoo Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Secoo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Secoo Holding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Secoo Holding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Secoo Holding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Secoo Holding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Secoo Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Secoo Holding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Secoo Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.