Siga Technologies Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| SIGA Stock | USD 8.66 0.10 1.14% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding SIGA Technologies is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides SIGA Technologies buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding SIGA positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of SIGA Technologies' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting SIGA Technologies' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 6.64 | Target Price 17.7 | Hype Value 8.76 | Market Value 8.66 | Naive Value 8.16 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell SIGA Technologies given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards SIGA Technologies. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for SIGA Technologies, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
SIGA |
Execute SIGA Technologies Buy or Sell Advice
The SIGA recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on SIGA Technologies. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in SIGA Technologies or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute SIGA Technologies' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Slightly risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost neglects market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Sell | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
SIGA Technologies Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| SIGA Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| SIGA Technologies is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| On 11th of April 2024 SIGA Technologies paid $ 0.6 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 19040 shares by Miller Larry R. of SIGA Technologies at 8.35 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
SIGA Technologies Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of SIGA Technologies' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of SIGA Technologies' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of SIGA Technologies daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use SIGA Technologies price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of SIGA Technologies returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for SIGA Technologies.
| Mean Return | 1.01 | Value At Risk | -4.34 | Potential Upside | 8.49 | Standard Deviation | 4.26 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of SIGA Technologies historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
SIGA Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as SIGA Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SIGA Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. SIGA Technologies' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase SIGA Technologies' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1 M | Jupiter Asset Management Limited | 2023-12-31 | 1 M | D. E. Shaw & Co Lp | 2023-09-30 | 795.7 K | General American Investors Company Inc | 2023-12-31 | 793 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2023-09-30 | 590.2 K | Uniplan Investment Counsel, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 571.7 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 490.2 K | Price Jennifer C. | 2023-12-31 | 458.7 K | Legato Capital Management Llc | 403.1 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 3.5 M | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 3.3 M |
SIGA Technologies Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (19.4M) | (43.1M) | (14.8M) | (4.3M) | 51.4M | 53.9M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (18.2M) | 71.5M | 11.4M | 41.6M | 94.8M | 99.5M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (594.0K) | 9.4M | 501.0K | (199.2K) | 579.2K | 608.2K | |
| Capital Expenditures | 102.3K | 29.1K | 15.5K | 50.6K | 21.7K | 20.6K | |
| Net Income | (7.2M) | 56.3M | 69.5M | 33.9M | 68.1M | 71.5M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 161.0M | 117.9M | 103.1M | 98.8M | 150.1M | 157.7M | |
| Depreciation | 527.0K | 529.8K | 522.4K | 517.6K | 538.3K | 446.4K | |
| Change To Inventory | (6.7M) | (8.0M) | 136.4K | (20.0M) | (25.5M) | (24.2M) | |
| Change To Netincome | (303.6K) | 18.8M | 1.4M | (2.0M) | (2.4M) | (2.2M) | |
| Change Receivables | (2.2M) | 827.7K | (80.3M) | 38.2M | 34.4M | 36.1M | |
| Investments | (29.1K) | (15.5K) | (50.6K) | (26.2K) | (21.7K) | (20.6K) |
SIGA Technologies Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to SIGA Technologies or Pharmaceuticals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that SIGA Technologies' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a SIGA stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.83 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.97 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.35 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.21 |
SIGA Technologies Volatility Alert
SIGA Technologies currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.21 and Jensen Alpha of 0.83. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure SIGA Technologies' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact SIGA Technologies' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.SIGA Technologies Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing SIGA Technologies' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze SIGA Technologies' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between SIGA Technologies and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as SIGA Technologies or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of SIGA Technologies' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SIGA Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare SIGA Technologies to competition |
| Fundamentals | SIGA Technologies | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.37 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.23 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.49 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.79 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 473.52 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 71.09 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 9.39 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 49.47 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 5.14 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 12.41 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 3.18 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 4.48 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 139.92 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 77.82 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 84.16 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 68.07 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 114.53 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.57 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.46 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.02 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 9.20 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 2.77 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 94.8 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 4.40 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.95 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 17.53 | |
| Number Of Employees | 45 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.97 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 620.27 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 254.84 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (38.94 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 184.87 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 129.8 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Disposition of 19040 shares by Miller Larry R. of SIGA Technologies at 8.35 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
SIGA Technologies Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as SIGA . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About SIGA Technologies Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell SIGA Technologies? Buying financial instruments such as SIGA Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Non Current Assets Total | 6.0M | 9.2M | 15.8M | 23.1M | Accounts Payable | 2.0M | 3.4M | 1.5M | 2.2M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having SIGA Technologies in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Books
Companies involved in publishing of books, newspapers, periodicals and other mass publications. The Books theme has 43 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Books Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out SIGA Technologies Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade SIGA Stock refer to our How to Trade SIGA Stock guide.Note that the SIGA Technologies information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other SIGA Technologies' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Complementary Tools for SIGA Stock analysis
When running SIGA Technologies' price analysis, check to measure SIGA Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SIGA Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of SIGA Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SIGA Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SIGA Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SIGA Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is SIGA Technologies' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SIGA Technologies. If investors know SIGA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SIGA Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.721 | Earnings Share 0.95 | Revenue Per Share 1.961 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 9.255 | Return On Assets 0.2326 |
The market value of SIGA Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SIGA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SIGA Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SIGA Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SIGA Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SIGA Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SIGA Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SIGA Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SIGA Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.