Selective Insurance Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

SIGI -- USA Stock  

USD 75.78  0.48  0.64%

Given the investment horizon of 30 days, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Selective Insurance Group is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Selective Insurance buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding SIGI positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Selective Insurance available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from SIGI buy-and-hold prospective. Also please take a look at Selective Insurance Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for muliple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Symbol
Execute Advice
Sell Selective InsuranceBuy Selective Insurance
Strong Hold

Volatility

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

For the selected time horizon Selective Insurance Group has a risk adjusted performance of 0.004, jensen alpha of (0.027254), total risk alpha of (0.05), sortino ratio of (0.027122) and treynor ratio of (0.014604)
Macroaxis provides unbiased buy or sell recommendation on Selective Insurance that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Selective Insurance Group. Our advice engine determines the firm potential to grow exclusively from the prospective of investors current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Selective Insurance is not overpriced, please validate all Selective Insurance fundamentals including its Total Debt, Number of Employees and the relationship between EBITDA and Cash Flow from Operations . Given that Selective Insurance has Number of Shares Shorted of 432.98K, we advise you double-check Selective Insurance Group market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Selective Insurance Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company currently holds 581.11M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 28.2 indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Selective Insurance has Current Ratio of 0.34 indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when they are due.
Over 81.0% of Selective Insurance shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Selective Helps Recent Graduate Employees Tackle Student Loan Debt And Save For A Brighter Future With Student Loan Assistance Program And Enhanced Retirement Savings Plan - Yahoo Finance

Selective Insurance current analysts recommendations

Target Median Price77.50
Target Mean Price75.50
Recommendation Mean3.10
Target High Price80.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions6
Target Low Price65.00

Selective Insurance Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.000992Value At Risk2.24
Potential Upside2.01Standard Deviation1.34
 Return Density 
      Distribution 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Blackrock IncCommon Shares8.5 M640.1 M
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares6.1 M457.4 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors LpCommon Shares3.1 M233.5 M
Macquarie Group LtdCommon Shares2.7 M200.1 M
Price T Rowe Associates IncCommon Shares2.4 M179.1 M
State Street CorpCommon Shares1.9 M140.4 M
Silvercrest Asset Management Group LlcCommon Shares1.4 M107 M

Selective Insurance Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
=0.03
β
Beta against DOW=0.62
σ
Overall volatility
=1.32
Ir
Information ratio =0.03

Selective Insurance Volatility Alert

Selective Insurance Group has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.39 and kurtosis of 1.64. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate Selective Insurance Group to ensure market all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future risk-adjusted return.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Selective Insurance to competition

Selective Insurance Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsSelective InsurancePeer Average
Return On Equity12.50% (0.31)%
Return On Asset2.41% (0.14)%
Profit Margin8.65% (1.27)%
Operating Margin13.47% (5.51)%
Current Valuation4.77B16.62B
Shares Outstanding59.37M571.82M
Shares Owned by Insiders2.41% 10.09%
Shares Owned by Institutions80.59% 39.21%
Number of Shares Shorted432.98K4.71M
Price to Earning19.18X28.72X
Price to Book2.17X9.51X
Price to Sales1.65X11.42X
Revenue2.71B9.43B
Gross Profit592.9M27.38B
EBITDA365.65M3.9B
Net Income234.81M570.98M
Cash and Equivalents291.87M2.7B
Cash per Share4.92X5.01X
Total Debt581.11M5.32B
Debt to Equity28.20% 48.70%
Current Ratio0.35X2.16X
Book Value Per Share34.71X1.93K
Cash Flow from Operations326.66M971.22M
Short Ratio1.98X4.00X
Earnings Per Share3.93X3.12X
Price to Earnings To Growth1.76X4.89X
Number of Employees2.29K18.84K
Beta0.55-0.15
Market Capitalization4.47B19.03B
Total Asset6.9B29.47B
Retained Earnings1.18B9.33B
Z Score4.28.72
Five Year Return1.45%
   Selective Insurance exotic insider transaction detected [view details]
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