Sirius Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

SIRI -  USA Stock  

USD 6.35  0.08  1.24%

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Sirius XM Holdings is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides Sirius XM buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding SIRI positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Sirius XM's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.

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The advice is provided from Sirius XM's buy-and-hold perspective. Additionally, take a look at Sirius XM Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Sirius and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Sirius XM Holdings.

Execute Sirius XM Buy or Sell Advice

The Sirius recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Sirius XM Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Sirius XM Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Sirius XM's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Sirius XMBuy Sirius XM
Buy

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Sirius XM Holdings has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0162, Jensen Alpha of (0.02216), Total Risk Alpha of (0.06), Sortino Ratio of (0.012113) and Treynor Ratio of 0.0132
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on Sirius XM. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Sirius XM Holdings is not overpriced, please validate all Sirius XM fundamentals, including its gross profit, short ratio, current liabilities, as well as the relationship between the total debt and market capitalization . Given that Sirius XM Holdings has a price to earning of 494.62 X, we advise you to double-check Sirius XM Holdings market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Sirius XM Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company currently holds 9.33 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 12.44, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Sirius XM Holdings has a current ratio of 0.31, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due.
About 78.0% of Sirius XM outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from www.equities.com: Sirius XM Holdings Inc falls 1.07 percent for July 22 - Equities.com

Sirius XM current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Sirius analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Sirius analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price7.16
Target Median Price7.50
Target High Price8.00
Recommendation Mean2.10
Number Of Analyst Opinions14
Target Low Price5.25
Average Consensus Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Sirius XM Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Sirius XM's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Sirius XM's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Sirius XM stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Sirius XM Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Sirius XM returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Sirius XM stock.
Mean Return0.0246Value At Risk-2.44
Potential Upside2.93Standard Deviation1.76
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Sirius XM historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Sirius XM Cash Flow Accounts

201620172018201920202021 (projected)
Net Cash Flow from Financing(1.41 B)(853.69 M)(1.52 B)(1.96 B)(1.31 B)(1.42 B)
Net Cash Flow from Investing(210.12 M)(1.15 B)(379.28 M)(3 M)(741 M)(799.5 M)
Net Cash Flow from Operations1.72 B1.86 B1.88 B2.02 B2.02 B1.63 B

Sirius XM Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Sirius XM or Communication Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Sirius XM stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Sirius stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.02
β
Beta against DOW1.11
σ
Overall volatility
1.78
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Sirius XM Volatility Alert

Sirius XM Holdings has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.07 and kurtosis of 3.74. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate Sirius XM Holdings to ensure all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future expected returns. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Sirius XM's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Sirius XM's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Sirius XM Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Sirius XM's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Sirius XM's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Sirius XM and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Sirius XM or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Sirius XM's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sirius XM by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Sirius XM to competition
FundamentalsSirius XMPeer Average
Return On Equity0.93 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset11.31 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin0.70 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin29.45 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation35 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding4.09 B571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders78.26 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions14.48 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted179.51 M4.71 M
Price to Earning494.62 X28.72 X
Price to Book186.67 X9.51 X
Price to Sales3.23 X11.42 X
Revenue8.15 B9.43 B
Gross Profit4.1 B27.38 B
EBITDA2.4 B3.9 B
Net Income57 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents59 M2.7 B
Cash per Share0.01 X5.01 X
Total Debt9.33 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity12.44 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.32 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(0.63) X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations1.89 B971.22 M
Short Ratio8.21 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.01 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth2.42 X4.89 X
Number of Employees5.73 K18.84 K
Beta1.09-0.15
Market Capitalization26.3 B19.03 B
Total Asset8 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(4.83 B)9.33 B
Working Capital(2.03 B)1.48 B
Current Asset642.65 M9.34 B
   Exercise or conversion by James Meyer of 2500000 shares of Sirius XM subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Sirius XM Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Sirius . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution128738.0
Daily Balance Of Power(0.53)
Rate Of Daily Change0.99
Day Median Price6.38
Day Typical Price6.37
Price Action Indicator(0.07)

About Sirius XM Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Sirius XM Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Sirius Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Sirius XM investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2018 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
Receivables125.73 M557 M599 M646.29 M
Inventories22.2 M11 M10 M10.26 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Sirius XM in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Additionally, take a look at Sirius XM Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Sirius XM Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Sirius XM's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Fund Screener module to find activelly-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.

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The market value of Sirius XM Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sirius that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sirius XM's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sirius XM's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sirius XM's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sirius XM Holdings underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sirius XM's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Sirius XM value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sirius XM's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.