Standard Motor Products Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

SMP Stock  USD 32.50  0.40  1.25%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Standard Motor Products is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Standard buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Standard positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Standard's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Standard's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
39.44
Target Price
45
Hype Value
31.98
Market Value
32.5
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Standard Motor Products given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Standard. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Standard Motor Products, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Standard Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Standard and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Standard Motor Products. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.

Execute Standard Buy or Sell Advice

The Standard recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Standard Motor Products. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Standard Motor Products or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Standard's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell StandardBuy Standard
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Standard Motor Products has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06), Jensen Alpha of (0.33), Total Risk Alpha of (0.51) and Treynor Ratio of (0.25)
Our recommendation module can be used to complement Standard Motor Products trade recommendation provided by average analyst sentiment. It analyzes the firm's potential to grow using fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Standard Motor Products is not overpriced, please validate all Standard fundamentals, including its current ratio, working capital, and the relationship between the ebitda and target price . Given that Standard Motor Products has a price to earning of 15.30 X, we advise you to double-check Standard Motor Products market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Standard Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Standard generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 1st of March 2024 Standard paid $ 0.29 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Standard Motor Products Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward

Standard Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Standard's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Standard's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Standard daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Standard Motor Products price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Standard returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Standard.
Mean Return
-0.26
Value At Risk
-3.62
Potential Upside
2.57
Standard Deviation
2.48
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Standard historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Standard Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Standard is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Standard Motor Products backward and forwards among themselves. Standard's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Standard's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
325.3 K
Gabelli Funds Llc2023-12-31
315 K
Gamco Investors, Inc. Et Al2023-12-31
302.4 K
Ameriprise Financial Inc2023-12-31
300.1 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
295.7 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
267.5 K
Orchard Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
219.5 K
American Century Companies Inc2023-12-31
179 K
Aqr Capital Management Llc2023-12-31
157.9 K
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
3.6 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2023-12-31
1.5 M
Note, although Standard's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Standard Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(17.9M)18.0M(107.6M)(67.5M)29.5M31.0M
Change In Cash(766K)9.1M2.3M(605K)11.4M11.9M
Free Cash Flow60.7M80.1M59.7M(53.5M)115.6M121.4M
Depreciation25.8M26.3M27.2M28.3M29.0M19.1M
Other Non Cash Items15.6M33.7M7.8M30.3M37.1M38.9M
Dividends Paid20.6M11.2M22.2M23.4M(25.2M)(23.9M)
Capital Expenditures16.2M17.8M25.9M26.0M28.6M18.3M
Net Income57.9M57.4M91.0M55.4M34.4M22.0M
End Period Cash Flow10.4M19.5M21.8M21.2M32.5M16.4M
Investments(54.8M)(17.8M)(151.2M)(27.8M)(23.4M)(24.6M)
Change Receivables17.9M(71.9M)28.5M6.9M6.2M6.5M
Net Borrowings8.0M(46.8M)118.6M108.6M124.9M131.1M
Change To Netincome24.8M31.8M13.2M37.3M42.9M22.3M

Standard Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Standard or Automobile Components sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Standard's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Standard stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.33
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.09
σ
Overall volatility
2.51
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Standard Volatility Alert

Standard Motor Products exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -3.44 and kurtosis of 19.64. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Standard's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Standard's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Standard Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Standard's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Standard's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Standard and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Standard or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Standard's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Standard by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Standard to competition
FundamentalsStandardPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0996-0.31
Return On Asset0.0693-0.14
Profit Margin0.03 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.07 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation949.2 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding22.58 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders4.45 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions80.91 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted368.82 K4.71 M
Price To Earning15.30 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.11 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.52 X11.42 X
Revenue1.36 B9.43 B
Gross Profit382.54 M27.38 B
EBITDA127.44 M3.9 B
Net Income34.35 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents21.15 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.66 X5.01 X
Total Debt245.19 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.50 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.06 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share28.98 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations144.26 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.22 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.85 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.34 X4.89 X
Target Price40.5
Number Of Employees5.2 K18.84 K
Beta0.61-0.15
Market Capitalization724.81 M19.03 B
Total Asset1.29 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings573.23 M9.33 B
Working Capital439.96 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Richard Ward of 5006 shares of Standard subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Standard Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Standard . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Standard Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Standard Motor Products? Buying financial instruments such as Standard Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total159.6M280.3M245.2M257.4M
Total Assets1.2B1.3B1.3B673.1M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Standard in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Robots And Drones Thematic Idea Now

Robots And Drones
Robots And Drones Theme
Large technology companies that are involved in development and manufacturing of drones, robots, or robotic equipment across mechanical engineering, electrical engineering, mathematics and computer science fields. Drones and robotics are projected to significantly grow in demand in the next 5 years. The Robots And Drones theme has 42 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Robots And Drones Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Standard Motor Products is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Standard Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Standard Motor Products Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Standard Motor Products Stock:
Check out Standard Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.

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Is Standard's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Standard. If investors know Standard will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Standard listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.20)
Dividend Share
1.16
Earnings Share
2.85
Revenue Per Share
62.547
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.06)
The market value of Standard Motor Products is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Standard that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Standard's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Standard's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Standard's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Standard's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Standard's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Standard is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Standard's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.