Spi Energy Co Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| SPI Stock | USD 0.50 0.01 2.04% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding SPI Energy Co is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides SPI Energy buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding SPI positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of SPI Energy's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting SPI Energy's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 0.31 | Target Price 0.15 | Hype Value 0.5 | Market Value 0.5 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell SPI Energy Co given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards SPI Energy. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for SPI Energy Co, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
SPI |
Execute SPI Energy Buy or Sell Advice
The SPI recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on SPI Energy Co. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in SPI Energy Co or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute SPI Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Out of control | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Quite High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
SPI Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| SPI Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| SPI Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| SPI Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| SPI Energy has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company has 75.2 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.09, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. SPI Energy has a current ratio of 0.5, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist SPI Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, SPI Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like SPI Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for SPI to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about SPI Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 209.53 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (24.7 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 14.48 M. | |
| SPI Energy Co has about 13.62 M in cash with (709 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.48. | |
| SPI Energy has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 20.0% of SPI Energy outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from bizjournals.com: These are the top solar contractors and clean energy companies in the Sacramento region |
SPI Energy Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of SPI Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of SPI Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of SPI Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use SPI Energy Co price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of SPI Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for SPI Energy.
| Mean Return | -0.39 | Value At Risk | -7.81 | Potential Upside | 3.39 | Standard Deviation | 4.57 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of SPI Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
SPI Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as SPI Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SPI Energy Co backward and forwards among themselves. SPI Energy's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase SPI Energy's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Simplex Trading, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 5.9 K | Banque Cantonale Vaudoise | 2023-12-31 | 5.9 K | Ubs Group Ag | 2023-12-31 | 3.9 K | Concord Wealth Partners | 2023-12-31 | 2.5 K | Tower Research Capital Llc | 2023-12-31 | 2.3 K | Wells Fargo & Co | 2023-12-31 | 2.2 K | Fintrust Capital Advisors, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.9 K | Bank Of America Corp | 2023-12-31 | 879 | Sunbelt Securities | 2023-12-31 | 476 | Millennium Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 189 K | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 141.1 K |
SPI Energy Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (2.0M) | (223K) | (7.1M) | (6.8M) | (6.1M) | (5.8M) | |
| Change In Cash | (1.6M) | 36.8M | (21.9M) | (6.9M) | (5.0M) | (5.2M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (19.1M) | (5.8M) | (28.8M) | (24.2M) | (4.0M) | (4.2M) | |
| Depreciation | 2.7M | 4.2M | 9.0M | 6.7M | 7.7M | 8.1M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 9.6M | (3.3M) | 4.1M | 2.4M | 2.8M | 2.6M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 16.2M | 195K | 1.3M | 8.3M | 3.3M | 3.2M | |
| Net Income | (15.1M) | (6.3M) | (44.8M) | (33.7M) | (24.7M) | (25.9M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 3.0M | 39.8M | 17.8M | 11.0M | 6.5M | 6.2M | |
| Change To Netincome | 2.9M | (3.3M) | 8.9M | 3.3M | 3.0M | 2.9M | |
| Investments | (7.9M) | 1.4M | (8.9M) | (8.2M) | (5.0M) | (5.2M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 1.9M | (6.7M) | 3.7M | 2.5M | 2.3M | 2.2M |
SPI Energy Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to SPI Energy or Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that SPI Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a SPI stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.57 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.90 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
SPI Energy Volatility Alert
SPI Energy Co exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 2.57 and kurtosis of 13.39. SPI Energy Co is a potential penny stock. Although SPI Energy may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in SPI Energy Co. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on SPI instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.SPI Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing SPI Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze SPI Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between SPI Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as SPI Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of SPI Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SPI Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare SPI Energy to competition |
| Fundamentals | SPI Energy | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -1.25 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0365 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.12) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.02 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 79.26 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 31.6 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 19.50 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 1.73 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 117.65 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | (0.04) X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.40 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.08 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 209.53 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 14.48 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (11.46 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (24.7 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 13.62 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.48 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 75.2 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 2.08 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.51 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 0.40 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (709 K) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.70 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.96) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 1.25 | |
| Number Of Employees | 316 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.7 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 15.64 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 231.09 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (670.81 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (107.74 M) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 394 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Acquisition or disposition of SPI Energy securities by Min Xiahou [view details]
SPI Energy Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as SPI . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About SPI Energy Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell SPI Energy Co? Buying financial instruments such as SPI Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 84.4M | 86.5M | 88.4M | Common Stock | 3K | 2.7K | 2.6K |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having SPI Energy in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out SPI Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
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When running SPI Energy's price analysis, check to measure SPI Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SPI Energy is operating at the current time. Most of SPI Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SPI Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SPI Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SPI Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is SPI Energy's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SPI Energy. If investors know SPI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SPI Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.96) | Revenue Per Share 7.228 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.307 | Return On Assets (0.04) | Return On Equity (1.25) |
The market value of SPI Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SPI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SPI Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SPI Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SPI Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SPI Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SPI Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SPI Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SPI Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.