Spire Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

SR -  USA Stock  

USD 73.15  1.50  2.09%

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Spire Inc is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides Spire buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Spire positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Spire's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.

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The advice is provided from Spire's buy-and-hold perspective. Additionally, take a look at Spire Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Spire and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Spire Inc.

Execute Spire Buy or Sell Advice

The Spire recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Spire Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Spire Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Spire's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell SpireBuy Spire
Buy

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Spire Inc has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.010971), Jensen Alpha of (0.1), Total Risk Alpha of (0.14) and Treynor Ratio of (0.036204)
Macroaxis provides unbiased trade recommendation on Spire Inc that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Spire Inc. Our advice engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Spire Inc is not overpriced, please validate all Spire fundamentals, including its price to sales, short ratio, five year return, as well as the relationship between the cash per share and total asset . Given that Spire Inc has a price to earning of 24.72 X, we advise you to double-check Spire Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Spire Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Spire Inc generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reports 3.46 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.26, which is normal for its line of buisiness. Spire Inc has a current ratio of 0.68, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time.
Spire Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 85.0% of Spire shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.joplinglobe.com: Spire Global, Inc. Announces Preliminary First Half 2021 Selected Financial Results, Provides Updated Guidance for 2021 - Joplin Globe

Spire current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Spire analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Spire analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price81.10
Target Median Price83.00
Target High Price84.00
Recommendation Mean2.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions10
Target Low Price71.00
Average Consensus Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Spire Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Spire's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Spire's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Spire stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Spire Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Spire returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Spire stock.
Mean Return-0.03Value At Risk-3.39
Potential Upside2.28Standard Deviation1.52
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Spire historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Spire Cash Flow Accounts

201620172018201920202021 (projected)
Net Cash Flow from Financing147.4 M89.1 M371.8 M160 M144 M192.53 M
Net Cash Flow from Investing(433.5 M)(531.7 M)(838.3 M)(631.6 M)(726.34 M)(783.68 M)
Net Cash Flow from Operations288.3 M456.6 M450.9 M469.9 M422.91 M337.61 M

Spire Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Spire or Utilities sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Spire stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Spire stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.1
β
Beta against DOW1.20
σ
Overall volatility
1.55
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Spire Volatility Alert

Spire Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.88 and kurtosis of 1.84. However, we advise investors to further study Spire Inc technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Spire's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Spire's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Spire Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Spire's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Spire's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Spire and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Spire or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Spire's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Spire by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Spire to competition
FundamentalsSpirePeer Average
Return On Equity6.09 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset3.17 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin7.50 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin28.87 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation7.23 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding51.68 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders3.01 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions84.74 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted1.43 M4.71 M
Price to Earning24.72 X28.72 X
Price to Book1.49 X9.51 X
Price to Sales1.69 X11.42 X
Revenue2.19 B9.43 B
Gross Profit700.7 M27.38 B
EBITDA632.3 M3.9 B
Net Income149.3 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents104 M2.7 B
Cash per Share2.01 X5.01 X
Total Debt3.46 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity1.26 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.69 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share48.17 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations307.4 M971.22 M
Short Ratio5.06 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.90 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth2.33 X4.89 X
Number of Employees3.58 K18.84 K
Beta0.29-0.15
Market Capitalization3.7 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.2 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings400.82 M9.33 B
Working Capital(78.39 M)1.48 B
Current Asset287.89 M9.34 B
   Spire exotic insider transaction detected [view details]

About Spire Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Spire Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Spire Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Spire investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2018 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
Receivables293.9 M263.3 M236.97 M219.99 M
Inventories196.6 M191.5 M172.35 M170.3 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Spire in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Wholesale Thematic Idea Now

Wholesale
Wholesale Theme
Fama and French focuses on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. Wholesale theme has 61 constituents.
View All  Next Launch Wholesale
Additionally, take a look at Spire Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Spire Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Spire's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.

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The market value of Spire Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Spire that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Spire's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Spire's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Spire's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Spire Inc underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Spire's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Spire value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Spire's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.