Carrols Restaurant Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TAST Stock  USD 9.51  0.01  0.11%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Carrols Restaurant Group is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Carrols Restaurant buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding TAST positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Carrols Restaurant's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Carrols Restaurant's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
7.96
Target Price
9.25
Hype Value
9.51
Market Value
9.51
Naive Value
9.54
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Carrols Restaurant Group given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Carrols Restaurant. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Carrols Restaurant Group, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Carrols Restaurant Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Carrols and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Carrols Restaurant Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.

Execute Carrols Restaurant Buy or Sell Advice

The Carrols recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Carrols Restaurant Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Carrols Restaurant Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Carrols Restaurant's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Carrols RestaurantBuy Carrols Restaurant
Strong Sell

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Carrols Restaurant Group has a Mean Deviation of 0.0779, Standard Deviation of 0.0986, Variance of 0.0097, Downside Variance of 0.0172, Semi Variance of (0.02) and Expected Short fall of (0.13)
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Carrols Restaurant. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Carrols Restaurant is not overpriced, please confirm all Carrols Restaurant fundamentals, including its current ratio, and the relationship between the ebitda and target price . Given that Carrols Restaurant has a price to earning of 47.86 X, we suggest you to validate Carrols Restaurant Group market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Carrols Restaurant Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company currently holds 1.24 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 7.69, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Carrols Restaurant has a current ratio of 0.33, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Carrols Restaurant until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Carrols Restaurant's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Carrols Restaurant sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Carrols to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Carrols Restaurant's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 60.0% of Carrols Restaurant shares are owned by institutional investors
On 5th of April 2024 Carrols Restaurant paid $ 0.02 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Allspring Global Investments Holdings LLC Has 2.26 Million Stock Position in Carrols Restaurant Group, Inc ... - MarketBeat

Carrols Restaurant Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Carrols Restaurant's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Carrols Restaurant's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Carrols Restaurant daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Carrols Restaurant Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Carrols Restaurant returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Carrols Restaurant.
Mean Return
0.02
Value At Risk
-0.11
Potential Upside
0.21
Standard Deviation
0.1
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Carrols Restaurant historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Carrols Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Carrols Restaurant is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Carrols Restaurant Group backward and forwards among themselves. Carrols Restaurant's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Carrols Restaurant's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Prudential Financial Inc2023-12-31
744 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
716.6 K
Hillsdale Investment Management Inc.2023-12-31
646.7 K
Two Sigma Investments Llc2023-12-31
609.2 K
Two Sigma Advisers, Llc2023-12-31
593 K
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2023-12-31
539 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
428.1 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
392.4 K
American Century Companies Inc2023-12-31
390.6 K
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
3.4 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2023-12-31
2.2 M
Note, although Carrols Restaurant's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Carrols Restaurant Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(1.0M)62.0M(35.8M)(10.8M)26.1M27.4M
Free Cash Flow(98.1M)31.5M19.1M(21.4M)84.6M88.8M
Depreciation74.7M81.7M80.8M78.1M74.2M50.6M
Other Non Cash Items5.2M14.5M15.9M25.7M7.4M8.4M
Capital Expenditures146.8M72.4M51.8M42.2M54.6M60.9M
Net Income(31.9M)(29.5M)(43.0M)(75.6M)33.8M35.5M
End Period Cash Flow3.0M65.0M29.2M18.4M44.5M46.7M
Change To Netincome(2.6M)23.0M14.1M27.6M31.7M33.3M
Change To Inventory2.3M(3.7M)29.0M11.1M12.8M13.5M
Investments47.2M7.0M(58.6M)(4.0M)(39.3M)(37.3M)
Net Borrowings452.8M16.0M(26.8M)8.2M9.4M9.0M
Change Receivables(523K)(6.4M)3.2M(3.9M)(3.5M)(3.3M)

Carrols Restaurant Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Carrols Restaurant or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Carrols Restaurant's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Carrols stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.01
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.10
Ir
Information ratio -0.75

Carrols Restaurant Volatility Alert

Carrols Restaurant Group exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.05 and kurtosis of -0.19. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Carrols Restaurant's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Carrols Restaurant's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Carrols Restaurant Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Carrols Restaurant's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Carrols Restaurant's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Carrols Restaurant and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Carrols Restaurant or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Carrols Restaurant's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Carrols Restaurant by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Carrols Restaurant to competition
FundamentalsCarrols RestaurantPeer Average
Return On Equity0.2-0.31
Return On Asset0.0248-0.14
Profit Margin0.02 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.03 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.68 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding54.93 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders25.45 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions59.99 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.12 M4.71 M
Price To Earning47.86 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.94 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.29 X11.42 X
Revenue1.88 B9.43 B
Gross Profit210.96 M27.38 B
EBITDA143.68 M3.9 B
Net Income33.8 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents8.07 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.15 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.24 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity7.69 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.34 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share3.59 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations139.15 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.24 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.53 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.79 X4.89 X
Target Price9.55
Number Of Employees3 K18.84 K
Beta2.51-0.15
Market Capitalization522.37 M19.03 B
Total Asset1.59 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(103.17 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(105.25 M)1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 844 shares by Ahmad Filsoof of Carrols Restaurant at 7.49 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Carrols Restaurant Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Carrols . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Carrols Restaurant Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Carrols Restaurant Group? Buying financial instruments such as Carrols Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total1.3B1.3B1.2B1.3B
Total Assets1.7B1.6B1.6B817.7M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Carrols Restaurant in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Sports Thematic Idea Now

Sports
Sports Theme
Companies in sporting activities arena as well as manufacturers of sporting goods and sport retailers. The Sports theme has 25 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Sports Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Carrols Restaurant is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Carrols Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Carrols Restaurant Group Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Carrols Restaurant Group Stock:
Check out Carrols Restaurant Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.

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Is Carrols Restaurant's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Carrols Restaurant. If investors know Carrols will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Carrols Restaurant listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Dividend Share
0.02
Earnings Share
0.53
Revenue Per Share
36.416
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.057
Return On Assets
0.0248
The market value of Carrols Restaurant is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Carrols that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Carrols Restaurant's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Carrols Restaurant's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Carrols Restaurant's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Carrols Restaurant's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Carrols Restaurant's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Carrols Restaurant is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Carrols Restaurant's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.