Territorial Bancorp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TBNK Stock  USD 7.27  0.04  0.55%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Territorial Bancorp is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Territorial Bancorp buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding TBNK positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Territorial Bancorp's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Territorial Bancorp's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
9.36
Target Price
10.5
Hype Value
7.2
Market Value
7.27
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Territorial Bancorp given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Territorial Bancorp. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Territorial Bancorp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Territorial Bancorp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Territorial Stock please use our How to buy in Territorial Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Territorial and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Territorial Bancorp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Territorial Bancorp Buy or Sell Advice

The Territorial recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Territorial Bancorp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Territorial Bancorp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Territorial Bancorp's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Territorial BancorpBuy Territorial Bancorp
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Territorial Bancorp has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.17), Jensen Alpha of (0.73), Total Risk Alpha of (0.88) and Treynor Ratio of (0.38)
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on Territorial Bancorp. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Territorial Bancorp is not overpriced, please validate all Territorial Bancorp fundamentals, including its gross profit, earnings per share, net asset, as well as the relationship between the total debt and market capitalization . Given that Territorial Bancorp has a number of shares shorted of 43.9 K, we advise you to double-check Territorial Bancorp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Territorial Bancorp Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Territorial Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Territorial Bancorp Is Paying Out A Dividend Of 0.23 - Yahoo Movies UK

Territorial Bancorp Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Territorial Bancorp's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Territorial Bancorp's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Territorial Bancorp daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Territorial Bancorp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Territorial Bancorp returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Territorial Bancorp.
Mean Return
-0.6
Value At Risk
-4.34
Potential Upside
2.69
Standard Deviation
2.13
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Territorial Bancorp historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Territorial Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Territorial Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Territorial Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Territorial Bancorp's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Territorial Bancorp's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Wellington Management Company Llp2023-12-31
62.5 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
61.6 K
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
52.7 K
White Pine Capital Llc2023-12-31
50.7 K
Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc.2023-09-30
41.9 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
39.5 K
American Century Companies Inc2023-12-31
38.8 K
State Street Corporation2023-12-31
34.3 K
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
26.4 K
Alliancebernstein L.p.2023-12-31
476 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2023-12-31
460.7 K
Note, although Territorial Bancorp's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Territorial Bancorp Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(2.3M)318.7M(263.7M)(59.3M)86.1M90.4M
Free Cash Flow21.6M19.2M12.2M12.0M7.6M13.7M
Depreciation3.9M4.5M4.2M4.1M3.9M2.2M
Other Non Cash Items(2.7M)(2.2M)(1.7M)(1.9M)(1.2M)(1.1M)
Dividends Paid13.7M8.4M10.2M9.1M6.4M7.1M
Capital Expenditures363K718K1.8M4.7M685K650.8K
Net Income22.0M18.6M17.4M16.2M5.0M4.7M
End Period Cash Flow44.8M363.5M99.9M40.6M126.7M110.5M
Change To Netincome515K(873K)236K1.3M1.2M1.1M
Change To Inventory(2.7M)(3.4M)(8.1M)219K197.1K207.0K
Investments(6.1M)298.3M(277.6M)(96.1M)1.7M1.8M
Change Receivables(135K)(1.1M)729K(329K)(296.1K)(281.3K)
Net Borrowings38.2M35M13.8M(15.0M)(17.2M)(16.4M)

Territorial Bancorp Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Territorial Bancorp or Thrifts & Mortgage Finance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Territorial Bancorp's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Territorial stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.73
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.59
σ
Overall volatility
2.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.32

Territorial Bancorp Volatility Alert

Territorial Bancorp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.38 and kurtosis of 0.47. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Territorial Bancorp's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Territorial Bancorp's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Territorial Bancorp Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Territorial Bancorp's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Territorial Bancorp's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Territorial Bancorp and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Territorial Bancorp or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Territorial Bancorp's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Territorial Bancorp by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Territorial Bancorp to competition
FundamentalsTerritorial BancorpPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0198-0.31
Return On Asset0.0023-0.14
Profit Margin0.11 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.06 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation255.37 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding8.83 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders17.70 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions41.79 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted43.9 K4.71 M
Price To Earning10.91 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.25 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.41 X11.42 X
Revenue71.56 M9.43 B
Gross Profit60.27 M27.38 B
EBITDA3.87 M3.9 B
Net Income4.98 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents36.29 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.98 X5.01 X
Total Debt319.3 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.24 %48.70 %
Book Value Per Share29.26 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations8.25 M971.22 M
Short Ratio5.19 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.57 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth4.54 X4.89 X
Target Price9.0
Number Of Employees23218.84 K
Beta0.64-0.15
Market Capitalization64.52 M19.03 B
Total Asset2.24 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings211.64 M9.33 B
Annual Yield0.08 %
Five Year Return3.42 %
Note: Disposition of tradable shares by Melvin Miyamoto of Territorial Bancorp at 24.83 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Territorial Bancorp Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Territorial . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Territorial Bancorp Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Territorial Bancorp? Buying financial instruments such as Territorial Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total151.7M156.3M319.3M335.3M
Total Assets2.1B2.2B2.2B2.0B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Territorial Bancorp in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

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Military Industrial
Military Industrial Theme
A collection of large United States defense contractors including companies involved in production or distribution of aircraft, ships, vehicles, weaponry, and electronic systems in cooperation with the government. The Military Industrial theme has 46 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Military Industrial Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Territorial Bancorp is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Territorial Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Territorial Bancorp Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Territorial Bancorp Stock:
Check out Territorial Bancorp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Territorial Stock please use our How to buy in Territorial Stock guide.
You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

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Is Territorial Bancorp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Territorial Bancorp. If investors know Territorial will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Territorial Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.90)
Dividend Share
0.74
Earnings Share
0.57
Revenue Per Share
5.223
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.32)
The market value of Territorial Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Territorial that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Territorial Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Territorial Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Territorial Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Territorial Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Territorial Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Territorial Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Territorial Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.