Transphorm Technology Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TGAN Stock  USD 4.83  0.02  0.41%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Transphorm Technology is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Transphorm Technology buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding TGAN positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Transphorm Technology's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Transphorm Technology's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
5.3
Target Price
5.75
Hype Value
4.83
Market Value
4.83
Naive Value
4.81
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Transphorm Technology given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Transphorm Technology. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Transphorm Technology, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Transphorm Technology Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Transphorm Stock, please use our How to Invest in Transphorm Technology guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Transphorm and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Transphorm Technology. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Transphorm Technology Buy or Sell Advice

The Transphorm recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Transphorm Technology. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Transphorm Technology or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Transphorm Technology's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Transphorm TechnologyBuy Transphorm Technology
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Transphorm Technology has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0064, Jensen Alpha of (0.03), Total Risk Alpha of (0.07), Sortino Ratio of (0.19) and Treynor Ratio of (0.01)
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on Transphorm Technology. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Transphorm Technology is not overpriced, please validate all Transphorm Technology fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, net income, short ratio, as well as the relationship between the price to sales and debt to equity . Given that Transphorm Technology has a number of shares shorted of 770.59 K, we advise you to double-check Transphorm Technology market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Transphorm Technology Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Transphorm Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 18.58 M. Net Loss for the year was (33.83 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (950 K).
Transphorm Technology currently holds about 42.61 M in cash with (29.58 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.75.
Transphorm Technology has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Transphorm Trading Down 0.4 percent - Defense World

Transphorm Technology Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Transphorm Technology's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Transphorm Technology's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Transphorm Technology daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Transphorm Technology price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Transphorm Technology returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Transphorm Technology.
Mean Return
0.01
Value At Risk
-0.62
Potential Upside
0.62
Standard Deviation
0.46
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Transphorm Technology historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Transphorm Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Transphorm Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Transphorm Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Transphorm Technology's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Transphorm Technology's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2023-12-31
84.2 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
67.6 K
Black Maple Capital Management Lp2023-09-30
63.9 K
Taylor Frigon Capital Management Llc2023-12-31
62.5 K
Barclays Plc2023-12-31
40.5 K
Bank Of America Corp2023-12-31
32.5 K
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2023-12-31
31.8 K
Ubs Group Ag2023-12-31
31.4 K
Rhumbline Advisers2023-12-31
30.5 K
Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co Lp2023-12-31
24.4 M
Ameriprise Financial Inc2023-12-31
4.9 M
Note, although Transphorm Technology's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Transphorm Technology Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(293K)(1.1M)(4.3M)(5.2M)(4.0M)(3.8M)
Investments(2.7M)(7.3M)(4.5M)(10.1M)(6.0M)(5.7M)
Change In Cash(194K)11.8M24.4M(17.9M)(27.8M)(26.5M)
Depreciation1.2M835K842K1.5M1.7M1.1M
Capital Expenditures203K58K742K6.9M3.5M1.9M
Net Income(15.3M)(17.9M)(10.2M)(30.6M)(33.8M)(35.5M)
Change To Netincome5.2M3.7M(4.4M)8.9M10.3M10.8M
Free Cash Flow(12.5M)(14.2M)(20.3M)(33.4M)(33.1M)(31.4M)
End Period Cash Flow2.9M14.7M33.9M16.0M5.7M5.4M

Transphorm Technology Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Transphorm Technology or Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Transphorm Technology's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Transphorm stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.32
σ
Overall volatility
0.47
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Transphorm Technology Volatility Alert

Transphorm Technology exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.83 and kurtosis of 2.91. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Transphorm Technology's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Transphorm Technology's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Transphorm Technology Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Transphorm Technology's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Transphorm Technology's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Transphorm Technology and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Transphorm Technology or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Transphorm Technology's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Transphorm Technology by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Transphorm Technology to competition
FundamentalsTransphorm TechnologyPeer Average
Return On Equity-1.44-0.31
Return On Asset-0.46-0.14
Profit Margin(1.78) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(1.87) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation301.26 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding63.28 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders20.92 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions59.92 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted770.59 K4.71 M
Price To Book16.85 X9.51 X
Price To Sales16.40 X11.42 X
Revenue18.58 M9.43 B
Gross Profit(950 K)27.38 B
EBITDA(29.17 M)3.9 B
Net Income(33.83 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents42.61 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.75 X5.01 X
Total Debt15.07 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.37 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.96 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share0.29 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(29.58 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio3.64 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.70) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(0.89) X4.89 X
Target Price5.55
Number Of Employees12818.84 K
Beta0.44-0.15
Market Capitalization306.88 M19.03 B
Total Asset44.45 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(209.24 M)9.33 B
Working Capital8.75 M1.48 B
Net Asset44.45 M
Note: Acquisition by Mcfarland Katharina G. of 2400 shares of Transphorm Technology subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Transphorm Technology Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Transphorm . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Transphorm Technology Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Transphorm Technology? Buying financial instruments such as Transphorm Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Total Current Liabilities5.3M21.9M25.2M16.6M
Other Current Liabilities1.2M21.5M24.8M26.0M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Transphorm Technology in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Railroads Thematic Idea Now

Railroads
Railroads Theme
Companies involved in manufacturing and maintenance of freight railroads and passenger trains as well as providing railroad services to public. The Railroads theme has 42 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Railroads Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
When determining whether Transphorm Technology offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Transphorm Technology's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Transphorm Technology Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Transphorm Technology Stock:
Check out Transphorm Technology Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Transphorm Stock, please use our How to Invest in Transphorm Technology guide.
Note that the Transphorm Technology information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Transphorm Technology's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

Complementary Tools for Transphorm Stock analysis

When running Transphorm Technology's price analysis, check to measure Transphorm Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Transphorm Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Transphorm Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Transphorm Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Transphorm Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Transphorm Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Odds Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Portfolio Holdings
Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Price Ceiling Movement
Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments
My Watchlist Analysis
Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities
Companies Directory
Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals
CEOs Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
USA ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA
ETF Categories
List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Price Transformation
Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets
Is Transphorm Technology's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Transphorm Technology. If investors know Transphorm will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Transphorm Technology listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.70)
Revenue Per Share
0.311
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.039
Return On Assets
(0.46)
Return On Equity
(1.44)
The market value of Transphorm Technology is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Transphorm that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Transphorm Technology's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Transphorm Technology's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Transphorm Technology's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Transphorm Technology's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Transphorm Technology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Transphorm Technology is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Transphorm Technology's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.