Teekay Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TK Stock  USD 7.26  0.20  2.83%   
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Teekay is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Teekay buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Teekay positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Teekay's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Teekay's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
5.39
Target Price
5
Hype Value
7.08
Market Value
7.26
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Teekay given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Teekay. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Teekay, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Teekay Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Teekay Stock please use our How to buy in Teekay Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Teekay and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Teekay. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.

Execute Teekay Buy or Sell Advice

The Teekay recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Teekay. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Teekay or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Teekay's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell TeekayBuy Teekay
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong SellDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

Very StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Teekay has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05), Jensen Alpha of (0.21), Total Risk Alpha of (0.42) and Treynor Ratio of (1.14)
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on Teekay. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Teekay is not overpriced, please validate all Teekay fundamentals, including its total debt, beta, and the relationship between the gross profit and short ratio . Given that Teekay has a price to earning of 59.46 X, we advise you to double-check Teekay market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Teekay Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Teekay generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Teekay is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Teekay has a very strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 35.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from businesswire.com: UAE Elevator and Escalator Market Size Growth Forecast 2024-2029, Featuring Key Vendors KONE, Mitsubishi Electric, TK Elevator, Hitachi, Hyundai Elevator, Otis, Fujitec Schindler and KOHLER Elevator - ResearchAndMarkets.com

Teekay Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Teekay's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Teekay's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Teekay daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Teekay price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Teekay returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Teekay.
Mean Return
-0.19
Value At Risk
-3.29
Potential Upside
3.02
Standard Deviation
2.28
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Teekay historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Teekay Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Teekay is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Teekay backward and forwards among themselves. Teekay's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Teekay's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp2023-09-30
M
Two Sigma Advisers, Llc2023-12-31
957.1 K
Man Group Plc2023-12-31
900 K
Two Sigma Investments Llc2023-12-31
895.5 K
American Century Companies Inc2023-12-31
862.8 K
Geode Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
748.6 K
O'shaughnessy Asset Management Llc2023-12-31
670.8 K
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
626.1 K
Empowered Funds, Llc2023-12-31
552.6 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2023-12-31
5.1 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
3.6 M
Note, although Teekay's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Teekay Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(49.3M)(50.4M)(140.4M)51.2M167.2M175.6M
Free Cash Flow273.8M957.5M54.5M183.7M619.7M650.7M
Depreciation290.7M261.1M106.1M99.0M97.6M92.7M
Other Non Cash Items(43.5M)293.6M312.9M38.4M375.4M394.2M
Capital Expenditures109.5M26.5M21.4M15.4M10.2M9.7M
Net Income(149.0M)91.0M(277.5M)189.4M150.6M158.2M
End Period Cash Flow456.3M405.9M265.5M316.7M480.8M434.6M
Dividends Paid22.1M5.5M31.8M75.3M86.6M60.4M
Investments(50.4M)63.1M1.5M309.0M143.8M151.0M
Net Borrowings(287.1M)(1.0B)24.3M(459.1M)(413.2M)(392.5M)
Change To Netincome412.2M706.6M27.6M154.0M177.1M209.1M

Teekay Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Teekay or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Teekay's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Teekay stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.21
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.18
σ
Overall volatility
2.33
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Teekay Volatility Alert

Teekay exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.95 and kurtosis of 9.6. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Teekay's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Teekay's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Teekay Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Teekay's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Teekay's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Teekay and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Teekay or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Teekay's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Teekay by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Teekay to competition
FundamentalsTeekayPeer Average
Return On Equity0.33-0.31
Return On Asset0.15-0.14
Profit Margin0.10 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.29 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.29 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding91.3 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders35.09 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions53.41 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted429 K4.71 M
Price To Earning59.46 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.91 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.45 X11.42 X
Revenue1.46 B9.43 B
Gross Profit392.07 M27.38 B
EBITDA620.59 M3.9 B
Net Income150.64 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents309.86 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share4.28 X5.01 X
Total Debt215.91 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.50 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.93 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share8.05 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations629.92 M971.22 M
Short Ratio0.77 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.54 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.27 X4.89 X
Target Price5.0
Number Of Employees2.3 K18.84 K
Beta0.63-0.15
Market Capitalization644.58 M19.03 B
Total Asset2.32 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(213.19 M)9.33 B
Working Capital749.13 M1.48 B

Teekay Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Teekay . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Teekay Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Teekay? Buying financial instruments such as Teekay Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total1.0B597.4M215.9M205.1M
Total Assets6.5B2.2B2.3B2.2B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Teekay in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Military Industrial Thematic Idea Now

Military Industrial
Military Industrial Theme
A collection of large United States defense contractors including companies involved in production or distribution of aircraft, ships, vehicles, weaponry, and electronic systems in cooperation with the government. The Military Industrial theme has 46 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Military Industrial Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Teekay is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Teekay Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Teekay Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Teekay Stock:
Check out Teekay Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Teekay Stock please use our How to buy in Teekay Stock guide.
You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.

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When running Teekay's price analysis, check to measure Teekay's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Teekay is operating at the current time. Most of Teekay's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Teekay's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Teekay's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Teekay to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Teekay's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Teekay. If investors know Teekay will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Teekay listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.04)
Earnings Share
1.54
Revenue Per Share
15.505
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.14)
Return On Assets
0.1489
The market value of Teekay is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Teekay that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Teekay's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Teekay's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Teekay's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Teekay's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Teekay's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Teekay is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Teekay's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.