Topdanmark (Denmark) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| TOP Stock | DKK 295.40 3.50 1.17% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Topdanmark AS is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Topdanmark buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding TOP positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Topdanmark's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Topdanmark's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 261.21 | Hype Value 295.4 | Market Value 295.4 | Naive Value 303.79 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Topdanmark AS given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Topdanmark. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Topdanmark AS, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Topdanmark |
Execute Topdanmark Buy or Sell Advice
The Topdanmark recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Topdanmark AS. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Topdanmark AS or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Topdanmark's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Topdanmark Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| The company has accumulated 2.35 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 35.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Topdanmark AS has a current ratio of 0.3, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Topdanmark until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Topdanmark's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Topdanmark AS sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Topdanmark to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Topdanmark's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 71.0% of Topdanmark shares are owned by institutional investors |
Topdanmark Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Topdanmark's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Topdanmark's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Topdanmark daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Topdanmark AS price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Topdanmark returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Topdanmark.
| Mean Return | 0.03 | Value At Risk | -1.52 | Potential Upside | 1.80 | Standard Deviation | 1.14 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Topdanmark historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Topdanmark Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Topdanmark or Insurance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Topdanmark's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Topdanmark stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Topdanmark Volatility Alert
Topdanmark AS has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.74 and kurtosis of 2.17. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Topdanmark's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Topdanmark's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Topdanmark Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Topdanmark's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Topdanmark's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Topdanmark and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Topdanmark or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Topdanmark's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Topdanmark by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Topdanmark to competition |
| Fundamentals | Topdanmark | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.14 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0111 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.26 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.16 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 34.5 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 88.98 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 71.13 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Earning | 19.53 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 6.31 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.04 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 31.44 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.84 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.31 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 2.14 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 2.72 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 31.26 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.35 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 35.00 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.31 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 73.41 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 4.45 B | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 15.30 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (2.87) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 365.37 | |
| Number Of Employees | 35 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.22 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 33.38 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 120.37 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 3.38 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (13.95 B) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 3.8 B | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 17.75 B | 7.9 B |
| Z Score | 8.4 | 8.72 |
Topdanmark Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Topdanmark . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Topdanmark Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Topdanmark AS? Buying financial instruments such as Topdanmark Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Topdanmark in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Wholesale Thematic Idea Now
Wholesale
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Wholesale theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Wholesale Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Topdanmark Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Complementary Tools for Topdanmark Stock analysis
When running Topdanmark's price analysis, check to measure Topdanmark's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Topdanmark is operating at the current time. Most of Topdanmark's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Topdanmark's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Topdanmark's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Topdanmark to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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