Tesla Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TSLA
 Stock
  

USD 194.86  9.92  5.36%   

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and complete risk avoidance on your part, our recommendation regarding Tesla Inc is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Tesla buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Tesla positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Tesla's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Tesla's buy-and-hold perspective. Additionally, take a look at Tesla Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Tesla and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Tesla Inc.

Execute Tesla Buy or Sell Advice

The Tesla recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Tesla Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Tesla Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Tesla's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell TeslaBuy Tesla
Strong Sell

Volatility

Details

Hype Condition

Details

Current Valuation

Details

Odds of Distress

Details

Economic Sensitivity

Details

Analyst Consensus

Details

Financial Strenth (F Score)

Details

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
Details

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Details
For the selected time horizon Tesla Inc has a Mean Deviation of 2.86, Standard Deviation of 3.72 and Variance of 13.83
Macroaxis provides recommendation on Tesla Inc to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Tesla Inc. Our trade recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Tesla Inc is not overpriced, please validate all Tesla fundamentals, including its book value per share, market capitalization, and the relationship between the cash per share and price to earnings to growth . Given that Tesla Inc has a price to earning of 56.02 X, we advise you to double-check Tesla Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Tesla Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Tesla Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Tesla Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Tesla Inc. stock remains steady Thursday, underperforms market - msnNOW

Tesla Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Tesla's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Tesla's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Tesla stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Tesla Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Tesla returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Tesla.
Mean Return-0.46Value At Risk-6.84
Potential Upside7.01Standard Deviation3.72
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Tesla historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Tesla Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Tesla is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tesla Inc backward and forwards among themselves. Tesla's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Tesla's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Zwj Investment Counsel IncCommon Shares6.1 K1.6 M
Zwj Investment Counsel IncCommon SharesK1.4 M
Zwj Investment Counsel IncCommon Shares1.9 KM
Zwj Investment Counsel IncCommon Shares2.2 K2.3 M
Zwj Investment Counsel IncCommon Shares2.1 K1.6 M
Zwj Investment Counsel IncCommon Shares2.3 K1.5 M
Zwj Investment Counsel IncCommon Shares2.3 K1.5 M
Zweigdimenna Associates LlcPut Options18 K6.2 M
Note, although Tesla's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Tesla Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Net Cash Flow from Financing4.41 B573.75 M1.53 B9.97 B(5.2 B)(5.34 B)
Net Cash Flow from Investing(4.42 B)(2.34 B)(1.44 B)(3.13 B)(7.87 B)(8.08 B)
Net Cash Flow from Operations(60.65 M)2.1 B2.4 B5.94 B11.5 B12.4 B

Tesla Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Tesla or Automobiles sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Tesla's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Tesla stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.61
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.46
σ
Overall volatility
3.87
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Tesla Volatility Alert

Tesla Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.02 and kurtosis of 0.01. However, we advise investors to further study Tesla Inc technical indicators to ensure that all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Tesla's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Tesla's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Tesla Implied Volatility

Tesla's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Tesla Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Tesla's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Tesla stock will not fluctuate a lot when Tesla's options are near their expiration.

Tesla Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Tesla's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Tesla's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Tesla and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Tesla or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Tesla's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tesla by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Tesla to competition
FundamentalsTeslaPeer Average
Return On Equity0.32 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset0.12 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin0.15 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.17 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation600.09 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding3.16 B571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders16.32 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions44.74 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted78.27 M4.71 M
Price to Earning56.02 X28.72 X
Price to Book15.44 X9.51 X
Price to Sales8.22 X11.42 X
Revenue53.82 B9.43 B
Gross Profit13.61 B27.38 B
EBITDA9.5 B3.9 B
Net Income5.52 B570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents17.58 B2.7 B
Cash per Share6.68 X5.01 X
Total Debt5.25 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.14 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.46 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share12.62 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations11.5 B971.22 M
Short Ratio0.88 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share3.48 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth1.59 X4.89 X
Target Price264.67
Number of Employees99.29 K18.84 K
Beta1.97-0.15
Market Capitalization615.32 B19.03 B
Total Asset62.13 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(2.74 B)9.33 B
Working Capital(29.03 M)1.48 B
   Exercise or conversion by Kathleen WilsonThompson of 26250 shares of Tesla subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Tesla Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Tesla . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Tesla Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Tesla Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Tesla Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Receivables1.32 B1.89 B1.91 B2.06 B
Inventories3.55 B4.1 B5.76 B6.21 B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Tesla in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Sports Thematic Idea Now

Sports
Sports Theme
Companies in sporting activities arena as well as manufacturers of sporting goods and sport retailers. The Sports theme has 25 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Sports Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
Additionally, take a look at Tesla Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Tesla Inc price analysis, check to measure Tesla's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tesla is operating at the current time. Most of Tesla's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tesla's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tesla's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tesla to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Bollinger Bands
Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon
Go
Price Transformation
Use Price Transformation models to analyze depth of different equity instruments across global markets
Go
Bollinger Bands
Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon
Go
Bond Directory
Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies
Go
Crypto Correlations
Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins
Go
Probability Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Go
ETF Directory
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
Go
Portfolio Manager
State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital
Go
Is Tesla's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tesla. If investors know Tesla will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tesla listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.98
Market Capitalization
615.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.56
Return On Assets
0.12
Return On Equity
0.32
The market value of Tesla Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tesla that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tesla's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tesla's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tesla's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tesla's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tesla's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Tesla value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tesla's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.