Twitter Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TWTR -  USA Stock  

USD 39.41  0.73  1.89%

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Twitter is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Twitter buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Twitter positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Twitter's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
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The advice is provided from Twitter's buy-and-hold perspective. Additionally, take a look at Twitter Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Twitter and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Twitter.

Execute Twitter Buy or Sell Advice

The Twitter recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Twitter. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Twitter or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Twitter's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell TwitterBuy Twitter
Strong Hold

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Twitter has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0488, Jensen Alpha of 0.2134, Total Risk Alpha of 0.6198, Sortino Ratio of 0.0761 and Treynor Ratio of 0.2205
Twitter recommendation module can be used to check and cross-verify current trade recommendation provided by analysts inspecting the firm's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Twitter is not overpriced, please validate all Twitter fundamentals, including its cash per share, and the relationship between the price to sales and short ratio . Given that Twitter has a number of shares shorted of 31.34 M, we advise you to double-check Twitter market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Twitter Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Twitter has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Over 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from crowdwisdom.live: Shopify Stock Forecast Is the twitter partnership enough to help it climb - www.crowdwisdom.live

Twitter current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Twitter analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Twitter analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price51.88
Target Median Price54.00
Target High Price77.80
Recommendation Mean3.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions30
Target Low Price33.00
Average Consensus Hold
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Twitter Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Twitter's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Twitter's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Twitter stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Twitter price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Twitter returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Twitter stock.
Mean Return0.14Value At Risk-5.4
Potential Upside5.66Standard Deviation4.64
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Twitter historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Twitter Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Net Cash Flow from Financing(78.37 M)978.12 M(286.18 M)755.31 M(472.82 M)(485.27 M)
Net Cash Flow from Investing(112.93 M)(2.06 B)(1.12 B)(1.56 B)52.62 M56.78 M
Net Cash Flow from Operations831.21 M1.34 B1.3 B992.87 M632.69 M549.95 M

Twitter Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Twitter or Communication Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Twitter stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Twitter stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.21
β
Beta against DOW0.57
σ
Overall volatility
4.74
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Twitter Volatility Alert

Twitter shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. We advise investors to inspect Twitter further and ensure that all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with the estimation of Twitter future alpha. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Twitter's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Twitter's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Twitter Implied Volatility

Twitter's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Twitter stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Twitter's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Twitter stock will not fluctuate a lot when Twitter's options are near their expiration.

Twitter Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Twitter's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Twitter's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Twitter and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Twitter or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Twitter's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Twitter by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Twitter to competition
FundamentalsTwitterPeer Average
Return On Equity3.28 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset0.41 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin4.27 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin10.42 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation38.55 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding799.61 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders16.96 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions75.28 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted31.34 M4.71 M
Price to Earning136.75 X28.72 X
Price to Book4.30 X9.51 X
Price to Sales5.90 X11.42 X
Revenue5.24 B9.43 B
Gross Profit3.28 B27.38 B
EBITDA546.53 M3.9 B
Net Income223.87 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents6.26 B2.7 B
Cash per Share8.04 X5.01 X
Total Debt6.63 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity1.12 %48.70 %
Current Ratio6.58 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share8.99 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations368.6 M971.22 M
Short Ratio0.31 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.23) X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth0.26 X4.89 X
Number of Employees7.5 K18.84 K
Beta0.8-0.15
Market Capitalization30.93 B19.03 B
Total Asset6.44 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(3.01 B)9.33 B
Working Capital3.88 B1.48 B
Current Asset4.38 B9.34 B
   Acquisition by Mimi Alemayehou of 6054 shares of Twitter subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Twitter Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Twitter . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution475677.0
Daily Balance Of Power0.6952
Rate Of Daily Change1.02
Day Median Price39.39
Day Typical Price39.4
Price Action Indicator0.38

About Twitter Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Twitter? Buying financial instruments such as Twitter Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Twitter investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Accounts Payable161.15 M194.28 M203.17 M219.21 M
Receivables850.18 M1.04 B1.22 B1.31 B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Twitter in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Health Management Thematic Idea Now

Health Management
Health Management Theme
Major hospitals and healthcare providers. The Health Management theme has 30 constituents.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Health Management Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch Health Management
Additionally, take a look at Twitter Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Twitter information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Twitter's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

Complementary Tools for Twitter Stock analysis

When running Twitter price analysis, check to measure Twitter's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Twitter is operating at the current time. Most of Twitter's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Twitter's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Twitter's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Twitter to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Twitter's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Twitter. If investors know Twitter will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Twitter listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
6.68
Market Capitalization
29.6 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.16
Return On Assets
0.0041
Return On Equity
0.0328
The market value of Twitter is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Twitter that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Twitter's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Twitter's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Twitter's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Twitter's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Twitter's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Twitter value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Twitter's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.