Umh Properties Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| UMH Stock | USD 19.00 0.04 0.21% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding UMH Properties is 'Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of UMH Properties' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out UMH Properties Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in UMH Stock please use our How to Invest in UMH Properties guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as UMH and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards UMH Properties. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
UMH |
Execute UMH Properties Buy or Sell Advice
The UMH recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on UMH Properties. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in UMH Properties or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute UMH Properties' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
UMH Properties Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| UMH Properties has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 78.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Insider Trading |
UMH Properties Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of UMH Properties' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of UMH Properties' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of UMH Properties daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use UMH Properties price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of UMH Properties returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for UMH Properties.
| Mean Return | 0 | Value At Risk | -1.95 | Potential Upside | 2.09 | Standard Deviation | 1.18 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of UMH Properties historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
UMH Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Private Management Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 1.2 M | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.2 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-06-30 | 1.2 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 1 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 940.8 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 929.4 K | Davidson D A & Co | 2024-09-30 | 872.7 K | Raymond James & Associates | 2024-09-30 | 846.4 K | Kennedy Capital Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 645.5 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 6.7 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 5.2 M |
UMH Properties Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Other Non Cash Items | 758K | 1.0M | 1.0M | 19.1M | 8.6M | 9.0M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 81.9M | 7.0M | 59.3M | 81.1M | 123.9M | 130.1M | |
| Net Income | 27.8M | 5.1M | 51.1M | (5.0M) | 7.9M | 5.5M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 19.0M | 28.6M | 125.0M | 40.9M | 64.4M | 67.7M | |
| Change To Inventory | (8.3M) | 6.5M | 1.8M | (64.8M) | 55.5M | 58.3M | |
| Change In Cash | 6.2M | 9.6M | 96.4M | (84.2M) | 23.6M | 24.7M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 38.5M | 69.0M | 65.2M | (89.1M) | 120.1M | 126.1M | |
| Depreciation | 36.8M | 41.7M | 45.1M | 48.8M | 55.7M | 58.5M | |
| Dividends Paid | 46.8M | 58.6M | 61.4M | 65.2M | (65.8M) | (62.5M) | |
| Investments | (1.7M) | (1.1M) | 7.9M | (124.1M) | (200.6M) | (190.6M) | |
| Change Receivables | (6.4M) | (7.9M) | (10.0M) | (10.0M) | (9.0M) | (8.5M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (1.9M) | 95.2M | (60.2M) | 245.5M | 282.3M | 296.4M | |
| Change To Netincome | (11.5M) | 17.2M | (22.6M) | 22.1M | 25.4M | 26.7M |
UMH Properties Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to UMH Properties or Residential REITs sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that UMH Properties' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a UMH stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
UMH Properties Volatility Alert
UMH Properties has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.14 and kurtosis of -0.69. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure UMH Properties' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact UMH Properties' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.UMH Properties Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing UMH Properties' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze UMH Properties' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between UMH Properties and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as UMH Properties or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of UMH Properties' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing UMH Properties by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare UMH Properties to competition |
| Fundamentals | UMH Properties | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0361 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0184 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.12 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.20 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2.34 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 78.9 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 6.26 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 77.80 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.13 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 85.35 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.76 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 6.36 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 220.93 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 101.88 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 92.36 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 7.85 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 29.79 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 5.04 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 690.02 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.68 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 23.60 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 6.99 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 120.08 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.79 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.13 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (14.50) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 21.81 | |
| Number Of Employees | 480 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.29 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.5 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.43 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (25.36 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 184.61 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 1045 shares by Conway Kiernan of UMH Properties at 18.93 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
UMH Properties Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as UMH . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About UMH Properties Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell UMH Properties? Buying financial instruments such as UMH Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having UMH Properties in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Equities with large market capitalization that account for significant contribution to overall economic growth especially within dividend-paying instruments and stocks from healthcare and financial sectors. The Baby Boomer Prospects theme has 99 constituents at this time.
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Check out UMH Properties Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in UMH Stock please use our How to Invest in UMH Properties guide.You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Is Single-Family Residential REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of UMH Properties. If investors know UMH will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about UMH Properties listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 46.894 | Dividend Share 0.84 | Earnings Share 0.13 | Revenue Per Share 3.322 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.084 |
The market value of UMH Properties is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of UMH that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of UMH Properties' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is UMH Properties' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because UMH Properties' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect UMH Properties' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between UMH Properties' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if UMH Properties is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, UMH Properties' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.