Union Pacific Buy or Sell Recommendation

Macroaxis provides Union Pacific Corporation buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Union Pacific positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Union Pacific Corporation available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Union Pacific buy-and-hold prospective. Also please take a look at Union Pacific Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus

Investment Horizon

  

Risk Tolerance

  
Symbol
Execute Advice
Union Pacific Corporation -- USA Stock  

USD 117.12  1.11  0.96%

Considering 30-days investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Union Pacific Corporation is 'Buy'.
For the selected time horizon Union Pacific Corporation has a risk adjusted performance of 0.0516, jensen alpha of 0.0625, total risk alpha of (0.039593), sortino ratio of 0.1186 and treynor ratio of 0.0875
Macroaxis provides recommendation on Union Pacific to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Union Pacific Corporation. Our buy or sell recommendation engine determines the firm potential to grow exclusively from the prospective of investors current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Union Pacific is not overpriced, please validate all Union Pacific fundamentals including its Price to Sales, Short Ratio, Five Year Return, as well as the relationship between Cash per Share and Total Asset . Given that Union Pacific has Price to Earning of 21.14 times, we advise you double-check Union Pacific Corporation market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.16Value At Risk1.02
Potential Upside1.19Standard Deviation1.43
 Return Density 
      Distribution 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares61.9 M7.2 B
Blackrock IncCommon Shares50.7 M5.9 B
State Street CorpCommon Shares32.5 M3.8 B
Capital Research Global InvestorsCommon Shares22 M2.6 B
Wellington Management Group LlpCommon Shares20.2 M2.3 B
Soroban Capital Partners LpCall Options18.8 M2.2 B
Bank Of America CorpCommon Shares18.5 M2.1 B
Massachusetts Financial Services CoCommon Shares14.5 M1.7 B

Union Pacific Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
=0.062471
βBeta against DOW=1.77
σ
Overall volatility
=1.4
 IrInformation ratio =0.0717

Union Pacific Volatility Alert

Union Pacific Corporation has low volatility with Treynor Ratio of 0.09, Maximum Drawdown of 6.55 and kurtosis of 9.63. However, we advice all investors to further analyze Union Pacific Corporation to make certain all market information is desiminated and is consistent with the current expectations about Union Pacific upside potential.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Union Pacific to competition
FundamentalsUnion PacificPeer Average
Return On Equity22.55 % (15.17) %
Return On Asset8.61 % (15.64) %
Profit Margin21.79 % (5.5) %
Operating Margin37.27 % (10.91) %
Current Valuation107.41 B152.14 B
Shares Outstanding787.17 M1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders0.09 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions82.51 % 18.37 %
Number of Shares Shorted8.69 M3.24 M
Price to Earning21.14 times40.69 times
Price to Book4.76 times14.44 times
Price to Sales4.43 times17.81 times
Revenue20.72 B9.85 B
Gross Profit16.19 B21.75 B
EBITDA9.8 B1.41 B
Net Income4.51 B517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents1.38 B3.89 B
Cash per Share1.72 times5.17 times
Total Debt15.76 B7.36 B
Debt to Equity80.3 % 0.72 %
Current Ratio1.14 times3.3 times
Book Value Per Share24.47 times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations7.46 B1.25 B
Short Ratio2.36 times2.09 times
Earnings Per Share5.51 times2.3 times
Price to Earnings To Growth1.51 times1.22 times
Number of Employees43.15 K10.67 K
Beta0.980.34
Market Capitalization91.76 B29.78 B
Total Asset55.72 B126.86 B
Retained Earnings32.59 B38.24 B
Working Capital(44 M)3.58 B
Current Asset3.6 B36.8 B
SellBuy
Buy

Volatility

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

   Payment of 1126 shares by Eric Butler of Union Pacific subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Risk Adjusted Performance0.0516
Market Risk Adjusted Performance0.0975
Mean Deviation0.8774
Semi Deviation0.6761
Downside Deviation0.8651
Coefficient Of Variation868.07
Standard Deviation1.43
Variance2.05
Information Ratio0.0717
Jensen Alpha0.0625
Total Risk Alpha(0.039593)
Sortino Ratio0.1186
Treynor Ratio0.0875
Maximum Drawdown6.55
Value At Risk(1.02)
Potential Upside1.19
Downside Variance0.7484
Semi Variance0.4571
Expected Short fall(1.23)
Skewness2.48
Kurtosis9.63

Current Valuation

Union Pacific Current Valuation Analysis
Union Pacific Corporation is rated fifth in current valuation category among related companies. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Railroads And Bus Services industry is at this time estimated at about 289.91 Billion. Union Pacific totals roughly 107.41 Billion in current valuation claiming about 37% of equities listed under Railroads And Bus Services industry.