Universe Pharmaceuticals Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| UPC Stock | USD 2.14 0.06 2.73% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Universe Pharmaceuticals is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Universe Pharmaceuticals buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding UPC positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Universe Pharmaceuticals' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Universe Pharmaceuticals' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 1.75 | Hype Value 2.15 | Market Value 2.14 | Naive Value 2.07 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Universe Pharmaceuticals given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Universe Pharmaceuticals. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Universe Pharmaceuticals, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Universe |
Execute Universe Pharmaceuticals Buy or Sell Advice
The Universe recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Universe Pharmaceuticals. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Universe Pharmaceuticals or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Universe Pharmaceuticals' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Abnormally volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | About Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Universe Pharmaceuticals Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Universe Pharmaceuticals is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Universe Pharmaceuticals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Universe Pharmaceuticals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 32.31 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (6.16 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 21.89 M. | |
| About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Moore Jackson W of 13100 shares of Universe Pharmaceuticals subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Universe Pharmaceuticals Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Universe Pharmaceuticals' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Universe Pharmaceuticals' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Universe Pharmaceuticals daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Universe Pharmaceuticals price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Universe Pharmaceuticals returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Universe Pharmaceuticals.
| Mean Return | 0.70 | Value At Risk | -17.82 | Potential Upside | 21.72 | Standard Deviation | 12.02 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Universe Pharmaceuticals historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Universe Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Universe Pharmaceuticals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Universe Pharmaceuticals backward and forwards among themselves. Universe Pharmaceuticals' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Universe Pharmaceuticals' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Acadian Asset Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 6.6 K | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2023-09-30 | 0.0 | Two Sigma Securities, Llc | 2023-09-30 | 0.0 | Ubs Group Ag | 2023-12-31 | 0.0 | Hrt Financial Llc | 2023-09-30 | 0.0 |
Universe Pharmaceuticals Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 888.6K | (451.6K) | 16.6K | (1.2M) | (1.1M) | (1.0M) | |
| Investments | (51.8K) | (13.5M) | (3.9M) | (44.2K) | (39.8K) | (41.7K) | |
| Change In Cash | 6.9M | (2.0M) | (2.4M) | (426.2K) | (383.6K) | (402.8K) | |
| Net Borrowings | 1.1K | 911.2K | 624.4K | 3.3M | 3.8M | 4.0M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 6.1M | (15.6M) | (1.4M) | 1.1M | 968.3K | 1.0M | |
| Depreciation | 410.1K | 446.9K | 533.9K | 508.8K | 585.1K | 508.0K | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 22.7K | (468.2K) | 906.6K | (526.9K) | (474.2K) | (450.5K) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 51.8K | 13.5M | 93.7K | 44.2K | 50.8K | 48.3K | |
| Net Income | 7.6M | 11.3M | (8.7M) | (6.2M) | (5.5M) | (5.3M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 10.1M | 8.1M | 5.7M | 5.3M | 6.1M | 7.1M | |
| Change To Netincome | 73.2K | 12.8K | (1.1M) | 301.3K | 271.2K | 284.7K |
Universe Pharmaceuticals Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Universe Pharmaceuticals or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Universe Pharmaceuticals' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Universe stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.50 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 12.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Universe Pharmaceuticals Volatility Alert
Universe Pharmaceuticals is showing large volatility of returns over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Universe Pharmaceuticals' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Universe Pharmaceuticals' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Universe Pharmaceuticals Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Universe Pharmaceuticals' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Universe Pharmaceuticals' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Universe Pharmaceuticals and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Universe Pharmaceuticals or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Universe Pharmaceuticals' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Universe Pharmaceuticals by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Universe Pharmaceuticals to competition |
| Fundamentals | Universe Pharmaceuticals | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.14 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0391 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.19) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.27) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | (5.95 M) | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 3.65 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 57.05 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 0.20 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 8.43 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 3.02 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.18 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.22 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 32.31 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 21.89 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (3.66 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (6.16 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 28.58 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.31 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 5.48 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.07 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 5.06 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 10.91 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.12 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.10 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (1.70) X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 225 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.77 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 8.02 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 53.29 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 10.16 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 23.06 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 53.29 M |
Note: Acquisition by Moore Jackson W of 13100 shares of Universe Pharmaceuticals subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Universe Pharmaceuticals Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Universe . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Universe Pharmaceuticals Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Universe Pharmaceuticals? Buying financial instruments such as Universe Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 3.9M | 5.5M | 6.3M | 3.9M | Total Assets | 59.5M | 53.3M | 61.3M | 47.2M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Universe Pharmaceuticals in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Large Value Funds Thematic Idea Now
Large Value Funds
Funds or Etfs that invest in the undervalued stocks of large-sized companies. The Large Value Funds theme has 41 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Large Value Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Universe Pharmaceuticals Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Universe Stock refer to our How to Trade Universe Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Complementary Tools for Universe Stock analysis
When running Universe Pharmaceuticals' price analysis, check to measure Universe Pharmaceuticals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Universe Pharmaceuticals is operating at the current time. Most of Universe Pharmaceuticals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Universe Pharmaceuticals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Universe Pharmaceuticals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Universe Pharmaceuticals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Universe Pharmaceuticals' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Universe Pharmaceuticals. If investors know Universe will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Universe Pharmaceuticals listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.82) | Earnings Share (1.70) | Revenue Per Share 8.913 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.13) | Return On Assets (0.04) |
The market value of Universe Pharmaceuticals is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Universe that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Universe Pharmaceuticals' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Universe Pharmaceuticals' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Universe Pharmaceuticals' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Universe Pharmaceuticals' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Universe Pharmaceuticals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Universe Pharmaceuticals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Universe Pharmaceuticals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.