United Parcel Buy or Sell Recommendation

Macroaxis provides United Parcel Service Inc buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding United Parcel positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of United Parcel Service Inc available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from United Parcel buy-and-hold prospective. Also please take a look at United Parcel Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
United Parcel Service Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 106.40  1.91  1.76%

Considering 30-days investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding United Parcel Service Inc is 'Strong Hold'.
For the selected time horizon United Parcel Service Inc has a risk adjusted performance of 1.04, jensen alpha of 0.97, total risk alpha of 0.89, sortino ratio of 0.0 and treynor ratio of 2.48
Macroaxis provides recommendation on United Parcel Service to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on United Parcel Service Inc. Our buy or sell recommendation engine determines the firm potential to grow exclusively from the prospective of investors current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure United Parcel Service is not overpriced, please validate all United Parcel fundamentals including its Price to Sales, Earnings Per Share, Last Dividend Paid, as well as the relationship between Cash per Share and Retained Earnings . Given that United Parcel Service has Price to Earning of 18.97 times, we advise you double-check United Parcel Service Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return1.02Value At Risk2.72
Potential Upside1.18Standard Deviation1.67
 Return Density 

United Parcel Greeks

Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=0.41
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.53

United Parcel Volatility Alert

United Parcel Service Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.23 and kurtosis of 3.1. However, we advise investors to further study United Parcel Service Inc technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.
 Better Than Average     
 Worse Than Average Compare United Parcel to competition
FundamentalsUnited ParcelPeer Average
Return On Equity673.06 % (15.17) %
Return On Asset10.97 % (15.64) %
Profit Margin7.45 % (5.50) %
Operating Margin14.89 % (10.91) %
Current Valuation109.25 B152.14 B
Shares Outstanding687.06 M1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders0.01 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions69.39 % 18.37 %
Number of Shares Shorted8.06 M3.24 M
Price to Earning18.97 times40.69 times
Price to Book88.74 times14.44 times
Price to Sales1.39 times17.81 times
Revenue65.87 B9.85 B
Gross Profit47.08 B21.75 B
EBITDA9.81 B1.41 B
Net Income4.91 B517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents4.07 B3.89 B
Cash per Share4.74 times5.17 times
Total Debt20.28 B7.36 B
Current Ratio1.22 times3.30 times
Book Value Per Share1.20 times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations3.94 B1.25 B
Short Ratio3.01 times2.09 times
Earnings Per Share5.61 times2.30 times
Price to Earnings To Growth1.37 times1.22 times
Number of Employees238.48 K10.67 K
Market Capitalization91.4 B29.78 B
Total Asset38.31 B126.86 B
Retained Earnings4.88 B38.24 B
Working Capital2.51 B3.58 B
Current Asset13.21 B36.8 B
Current Liabilities10.7 B33.34 B
Strong Hold


Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

   Exercise or conversion by Myron Gray of 163 shares of United Parcel subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Risk Adjusted Performance1.04
Market Risk Adjusted Performance2.47
Mean Deviation1.23
Coefficient Of Variation164.30
Standard Deviation1.67
Information Ratio0.53
Jensen Alpha0.97
Total Risk Alpha0.89
Treynor Ratio2.48
Maximum Drawdown7.22
Value At Risk2.72
Potential Upside1.18

Current Valuation

United Parcel Current Valuation Analysis
United Parcel Service Inc is rated first in current valuation category among related companies. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Transport Logistics And Distribution industry is at this time estimated at about 262.38 Billion. United Parcel totals roughly 109.25 Billion in current valuation claiming about 42% of equities listed under Transport Logistics And Distribution industry.