Urogen Pharma Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| URGN Stock | USD 15.10 1.85 13.96% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding UroGen Pharma is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides UroGen Pharma buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding URGN positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of UroGen Pharma's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting UroGen Pharma's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 20.64 | Target Price 39.25 | Hype Value 15.1 | Market Value 15.1 | Naive Value 14.58 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell UroGen Pharma given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards UroGen Pharma. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for UroGen Pharma, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
UroGen |
Execute UroGen Pharma Buy or Sell Advice
The UroGen recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on UroGen Pharma. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in UroGen Pharma or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute UroGen Pharma's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
UroGen Pharma Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| UroGen Pharma had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| UroGen Pharma has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 82.71 M. Net Loss for the year was (102.24 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 56.7 M. | |
| UroGen Pharma currently holds about 111.74 M in cash with (76.38 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.91. | |
| UroGen Pharma has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: NorthStar Appoints Peter Pfreundschuh to Board of Managers |
UroGen Pharma Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of UroGen Pharma's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of UroGen Pharma's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of UroGen Pharma daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use UroGen Pharma price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of UroGen Pharma returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for UroGen Pharma.
| Mean Return | 0.20 | Value At Risk | -8.06 | Potential Upside | 5.71 | Standard Deviation | 4.64 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of UroGen Pharma historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
UroGen Pharma Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to UroGen Pharma or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that UroGen Pharma's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a UroGen stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
UroGen Pharma Volatility Alert
UroGen Pharma exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure UroGen Pharma's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact UroGen Pharma's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.UroGen Pharma Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing UroGen Pharma's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze UroGen Pharma's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between UroGen Pharma and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as UroGen Pharma or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of UroGen Pharma's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing UroGen Pharma by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare UroGen Pharma to competition |
| Fundamentals | UroGen Pharma | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -14.81 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.26 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (1.24) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.62) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 478.49 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 34.12 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 11.35 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 70.50 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 4.19 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 239.57 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 16.05 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 6.23 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 82.71 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 56.7 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (63.83 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (102.24 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 111.74 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 4.91 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 100.21 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.44 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 7.74 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (2.01) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (76.38 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 10.21 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (3.55) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 38.5 | |
| Number Of Employees | 198 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.08 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 499.55 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 178.31 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (679.35 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 137.97 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 178.31 M |
Note: Sale by Schoenberg Mark of 1137 shares of UroGen Pharma [view details]
UroGen Pharma Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as UroGen . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About UroGen Pharma Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell UroGen Pharma? Buying financial instruments such as UroGen Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Total Current Liabilities | 22.4M | 23.9M | 31.2M | 32.8M | Total Assets | 119.7M | 136.2M | 178.3M | 98.8M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having UroGen Pharma in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Companies making housewares accessories and providing houseware services. The Housewares theme has 39 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Housewares Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out UroGen Pharma Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in UroGen Stock, please use our How to Invest in UroGen Pharma guide.Note that the UroGen Pharma information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other UroGen Pharma's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
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Is UroGen Pharma's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of UroGen Pharma. If investors know UroGen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about UroGen Pharma listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (3.55) | Revenue Per Share 2.869 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.301 | Return On Assets (0.26) | Return On Equity (14.81) |
The market value of UroGen Pharma is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of UroGen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of UroGen Pharma's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is UroGen Pharma's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because UroGen Pharma's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect UroGen Pharma's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between UroGen Pharma's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if UroGen Pharma is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, UroGen Pharma's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.