BLACK HILLS CORP Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

092113AQ2 -  USA Bond  

 117.63  0.51  0.43%

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding BLACK HILLS CORP is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides BLACK buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding BLACK positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of BLACK's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.

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The advice is provided from BLACK's buy-and-hold perspective. Also, please take a look at BLACK Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.

Execute BLACK Buy or Sell Advice

The BLACK recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on BLACK HILLS CORP. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in BLACK HILLS CORP or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute BLACK's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell BLACKBuy BLACK
Cautious Hold

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds of Default

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails
For the selected time horizon BLACK HILLS CORP has a Mean Deviation of 0.5339, Semi Deviation of 0.7397, Standard Deviation of 0.7257, Variance of 0.5266, Downside Variance of 0.6625 and Semi Variance of 0.5471
Macroaxis provides trade advice on BLACK HILLS CORP to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on BLACK. Our advice engine determines the bond's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

BLACK Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of BLACK's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of BLACK's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of BLACK stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use BLACK HILLS CORP price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of BLACK returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for BLACK stock.
Mean Return0.0429Value At Risk-1.13
Potential Upside1.48Standard Deviation0.73
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of BLACK historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

BLACK Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to BLACK or Electric sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that BLACK stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a BLACK stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.028807
β
Beta against DOW0.25
σ
Overall volatility
0.75
Ir
Information ratio 0.0224

BLACK Volatility Alert

BLACK HILLS CORP has low volatility with Treynor Ratio of 0.13, Maximum Drawdown of 3.67 and kurtosis of 0.77. However, we advice all investors to further analyze BLACK HILLS CORP to make certain all market information is desiminated and is consistent with the current expectations about BLACK upside potential. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure BLACK's bond risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact BLACK's bond price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

About BLACK Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell BLACK HILLS CORP? Buying financial instruments such as BLACK Bond isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although BLACK investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having BLACK in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Money Market Theme
Funds or Etfs investing in various types of short-term (less than one year) fixed income instruments of high-quality and liquidity. Money Market theme has 40 constituents.
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Also, please take a look at BLACK Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the BLACK HILLS CORP information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other BLACK's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

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When running BLACK HILLS CORP price analysis, check to measure BLACK's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BLACK is operating at the current time. Most of BLACK's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BLACK's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BLACK's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BLACK to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between BLACK's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine BLACK value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BLACK's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.