Us Foods Holding Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

USFD Stock  USD 53.97  0.53  0.97%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding US Foods Holding is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides US Foods buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding US Foods positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of US Foods' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting US Foods' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
55.11
Target Price
49.54
Hype Value
54.08
Market Value
53.97
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell US Foods Holding given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards US Foods. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for US Foods Holding, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out US Foods Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as USFD and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards US Foods Holding. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

Execute US Foods Buy or Sell Advice

The USFD recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on US Foods Holding. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in US Foods Holding or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute US Foods' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell US FoodsBuy US Foods
Strong Buy

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon US Foods Holding has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1331, Jensen Alpha of 0.147, Total Risk Alpha of (0), Sortino Ratio of 0.1485 and Treynor Ratio of 0.2725
Our trade advice module provides unbiased advice that can be used to complement current average analyst sentiment on US Foods. Our trade advice engine provides an advice for the company potential to grow from the perspective of an investor's risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure US Foods Holding is not overpriced, please validate all US Foods Holding fundamentals, including its current valuation, revenue, current ratio, as well as the relationship between the number of shares shorted and cash and equivalents . Given that US Foods Holding has a price to earning of 182.67 X, we advise you to double-check US Foods market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the coming quarters given your latest risk tolerance and investing horizon.

US Foods Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Over 100.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 6707 shares by Sturgell James D of US Foods at 36.95 subject to Rule 16b-3

US Foods Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of US Foods' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of US Foods' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of US Foods daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use US Foods Holding price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of US Foods returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for US Foods.
Mean Return
0.28
Value At Risk
-1.48
Potential Upside
2.72
Standard Deviation
1.23
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of US Foods historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

USFD Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as US Foods is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading US Foods Holding backward and forwards among themselves. US Foods' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase US Foods' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2023-12-31
5.4 M
Dorsal Capital Management Llc2023-12-31
M
Bessemer Group Inc2023-12-31
4.4 M
Massachusetts Financial Services Company2023-12-31
4.1 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2023-12-31
M
Atalan Capital Partners, Lp2023-12-31
3.8 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
3.5 M
Wellington Management Company Llp2023-12-31
3.2 M
Norges Bank2023-12-31
2.4 M
Fmr Inc2023-12-31
22.7 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
22.2 M
Note, although US Foods' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

US Foods Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory16M201M(413M)70M61M64.1M
Change In Cash(7M)730M(680M)63M58M60.9M
Free Cash Flow502M224M145M500M831M872.6M
Depreciation340M362M422M372M395M420.8M
Other Non Cash Items24M28M74M23M57M34.9M
Dividends Paid0.028M33M37M(7M)(6.7M)
Capital Expenditures258M189M274M265M309M253.1M
Net Income385M(226M)164M265M506M531.3M
End Period Cash Flow98M828M148M211M269M297.1M
Investments(2.0B)(1.1B)(262M)(255M)(359M)(377.0M)
Net Borrowings1.2B920M(830M)(417M)(479.6M)(455.6M)
Change To Netincome60M47M92M73M84.0M46.1M
Change Receivables(19M)334M(386M)(240M)(216M)(205.2M)

US Foods Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to US Foods or Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that US Foods' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a USFD stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.15
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.00
σ
Overall volatility
1.26
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

US Foods Volatility Alert

US Foods Holding has low volatility with Treynor Ratio of 0.27, Maximum Drawdown of 6.4 and kurtosis of 0.69. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure US Foods' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact US Foods' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

US Foods Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing US Foods' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze US Foods' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between US Foods and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as US Foods or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of US Foods' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing US Foods by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare US Foods to competition
FundamentalsUS FoodsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.11-0.31
Return On Asset0.0502-0.14
Profit Margin0.01 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.03 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation18.28 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding244.9 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.46 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions99.54 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted6.75 M4.71 M
Price To Earning182.67 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.81 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.37 X11.42 X
Revenue35.6 B9.43 B
Gross Profit5.49 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.43 B3.9 B
Net Income506 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents197 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.88 X5.01 X
Total Debt5.2 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.20 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.37 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share19.38 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.14 B971.22 M
Short Ratio3.39 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.02 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.24 X4.89 X
Target Price58.77
Number Of Employees30 K18.84 K
Beta1.58-0.15
Market Capitalization13.26 B19.03 B
Total Asset13.19 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.51 B9.33 B
Working Capital919 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 6707 shares by Sturgell James D of US Foods at 36.95 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

US Foods Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as USFD . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About US Foods Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell US Foods Holding? Buying financial instruments such as USFD Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total5.2B5.0B5.2B5.4B
Total Assets12.5B12.8B13.2B11.7B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having US Foods in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Banks Thematic Idea Now

Banks
Banks Theme
Large and small money and credit banks and credit services. The Banks theme has 46 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Banks Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether US Foods Holding is a strong investment it is important to analyze US Foods' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact US Foods' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding USFD Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out US Foods Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note that the US Foods Holding information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other US Foods' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.

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Is US Foods' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of US Foods. If investors know USFD will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about US Foods listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.608
Earnings Share
2.02
Revenue Per Share
148.941
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.049
Return On Assets
0.0502
The market value of US Foods Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of USFD that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of US Foods' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is US Foods' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because US Foods' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect US Foods' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between US Foods' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if US Foods is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, US Foods' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.