Virco Manufacturing Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| VIRC Stock | USD 10.68 0.33 3.19% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Virco Manufacturing is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Virco Manufacturing buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding VIRC positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Virco Manufacturing's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Virco Manufacturing's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 8.83 | Target Price 12 | Hype Value 10.35 | Market Value 10.68 | Naive Value 9.77 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Virco Manufacturing given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Virco Manufacturing. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Virco Manufacturing, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Virco |
Execute Virco Manufacturing Buy or Sell Advice
The Virco recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Virco Manufacturing. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Virco Manufacturing or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Virco Manufacturing's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Slightly risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Virco Manufacturing Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Virco Manufacturing generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Virco Manufacturing has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Virco Manufacturing is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| On 10th of April 2024 Virco Manufacturing paid $ 0.02 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Virco Mfg. Stock Price Passes Above Two Hundred Day Moving Average of 9.46 - MarketBeat |
Virco Manufacturing Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Virco Manufacturing's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Virco Manufacturing's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Virco Manufacturing daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Virco Manufacturing price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Virco Manufacturing returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Virco Manufacturing.
| Mean Return | -0.05 | Value At Risk | -6.32 | Potential Upside | 5.06 | Standard Deviation | 4.26 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Virco Manufacturing historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Virco Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Virco Manufacturing is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Virco Manufacturing backward and forwards among themselves. Virco Manufacturing's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Virco Manufacturing's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Eam Investors, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 61.4 K | Jane Street Group, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 57.5 K | O'shaughnessy Asset Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 55.5 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 55 K | Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 53.4 K | Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership | 2023-12-31 | 46.6 K | Koss-olinger Consulting, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 42.6 K | Bank Of Montreal | 2023-12-31 | 40.4 K | Bmo Capital Markets Corp. | 2023-12-31 | 40.4 K | Minerva Advisors Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.1 M | Davidson D A & Co | 2023-12-31 | 535.3 K |
Virco Manufacturing Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 4.0M | 5.1M | (9.1M) | (20.0M) | 9.0M | 9.5M | |
| Change In Cash | 412K | (748K) | 957K | (302K) | 4.2M | 4.4M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 5.5M | 5.6M | (3.4M) | (7.1M) | 21.7M | 22.8M | |
| Depreciation | 5.8M | 5.1M | 4.6M | 4.5M | 5.1M | 5.2M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 1.2M | 2.4M | 960K | (132K) | (1.9M) | (1.8M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 4.2M | 2.2M | 3.0M | 3.3M | 5.2M | 5.8M | |
| Net Income | 2.4M | (2.2M) | (15.1M) | 16.5M | 21.9M | 23.0M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 1.2M | 402K | 1.4M | 1.1M | 5.3M | 5.6M | |
| Change To Netincome | 1.6M | 842K | 13.2M | (8.2M) | (7.4M) | (7.0M) | |
| Change Receivables | (1.9M) | 1.4M | 2.0M | (670K) | (770.5K) | (732.0K) | |
| Net Borrowings | (4.8M) | (6.3M) | 4.1M | 7.0M | 8.1M | 8.5M | |
| Investments | (4.3M) | (2.1M) | (2.4M) | (2.7M) | (4.8M) | (5.0M) |
Virco Manufacturing Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Virco Manufacturing or Commercial Services & Supplies sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Virco Manufacturing's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Virco stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Virco Manufacturing Volatility Alert
Virco Manufacturing exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.66 and kurtosis of 6.78. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Virco Manufacturing's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Virco Manufacturing's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Virco Manufacturing Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Virco Manufacturing's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Virco Manufacturing's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Virco Manufacturing and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Virco Manufacturing or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Virco Manufacturing's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Virco Manufacturing by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Virco Manufacturing to competition |
| Fundamentals | Virco Manufacturing | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.28 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.13 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.08 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.07) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 175.87 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 16.35 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 15.58 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 25.96 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 367.13 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 43.12 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.07 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.72 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 269.12 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 85.34 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 36.97 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 21.91 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 2.18 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.13 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 11.96 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.98 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.53 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 5.58 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 26.96 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.98 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.34 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 16.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 776 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.69 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 169.19 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 146.44 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (29.05 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 50.49 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 46.69 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Disposition of 4299 shares by Bassey Yau of Virco Manufacturing at 4.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Virco Manufacturing Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Virco . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 5957.52 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.5593 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | |||
| Day Median Price | 10.49 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 10.55 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.36 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.33 |
About Virco Manufacturing Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Virco Manufacturing? Buying financial instruments such as Virco Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 30.7M | 33.6M | 12.0M | 19.6M | Total Assets | 126.4M | 150.1M | 146.4M | 128.2M |
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Check out Virco Manufacturing Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Virco Stock refer to our How to Trade Virco Stock guide.You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Complementary Tools for Virco Stock analysis
When running Virco Manufacturing's price analysis, check to measure Virco Manufacturing's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Virco Manufacturing is operating at the current time. Most of Virco Manufacturing's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Virco Manufacturing's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Virco Manufacturing's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Virco Manufacturing to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Virco Manufacturing's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Virco Manufacturing. If investors know Virco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Virco Manufacturing listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.292 | Dividend Share 0.02 | Earnings Share 1.34 | Revenue Per Share 16.515 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.098 |
The market value of Virco Manufacturing is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Virco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Virco Manufacturing's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Virco Manufacturing's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Virco Manufacturing's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Virco Manufacturing's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Virco Manufacturing's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Virco Manufacturing is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Virco Manufacturing's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.