Vista Oil Gas Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| VIST Stock | USD 43.56 1.63 3.89% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Vista Oil Gas is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Vista Oil buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding VIST positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Vista Oil's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Vista Oil's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 43.94 | Target Price 41.1 | Hype Value 42.06 | Market Value 43.56 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Vista Oil Gas given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Vista Oil. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Vista Oil Gas, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Vista |
Execute Vista Oil Buy or Sell Advice
The Vista recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Vista Oil Gas. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Vista Oil Gas or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Vista Oil's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Vista Oil Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| The company currently holds 686.52 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.74, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Vista Oil Gas has a current ratio of 0.52, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Vista Oil until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Vista Oil's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Vista Oil Gas sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Vista to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Vista Oil's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Vista Energy Facilitates Remote Shareholder Involvement - TipRanks.com - TipRanks |
Vista Oil Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Vista Oil's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Vista Oil's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Vista Oil daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Vista Oil Gas price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Vista Oil returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Vista Oil.
| Mean Return | 0.47 | Value At Risk | -2.48 | Potential Upside | 3.57 | Standard Deviation | 1.87 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Vista Oil historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Vista Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Vista Oil is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vista Oil Gas backward and forwards among themselves. Vista Oil's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Vista Oil's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Driehaus Capital Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 800.9 K | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2023-12-31 | 709.7 K | Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership | 2023-12-31 | 553.9 K | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2023-12-31 | 548.8 K | Canada Pension Plan Investment Board | 2023-12-31 | 520.6 K | Qube Research & Technologies | 2023-12-31 | 496.8 K | Healthcare Of Ontario Pension Plan Trust Fund | 2023-12-31 | 487.8 K | Causeway Capital Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 459.9 K | Artisan Partners Limited Partnership | 2023-12-31 | 383.2 K | Al Mehwar Commercial Investments Llc | 2023-12-31 | 12.8 M | Kensington Investments B V | 2023-09-30 | 12.8 M |
Vista Oil Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Capital Expenditures | 244.5M | 156.9M | 322.9M | 485.4M | 695.7M | 730.5M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 234.2M | 201.3M | 311.2M | 242.0M | 209.5M | 175.2M | |
| Change To Inventory | (609K) | (2.9M) | 908K | 500K | 2.1M | 2.2M | |
| Investments | (235.0M) | (156.1M) | (3.0M) | (582.7M) | (617.4M) | (586.5M) | |
| Change In Cash | 168.2M | (32.9M) | 109.9M | (69.3M) | (32.4M) | (34.1M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 153.9M | 76.9M | 64.5M | (77.8M) | (70.0M) | (66.5M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (110.3M) | (63.1M) | 78.5M | 204.4M | (31.0M) | (29.5M) | |
| Depreciation | 153.0M | 147.7M | 191.3M | 234.9M | 279.3M | 179.8M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 7.0M | 51.3M | 27.4M | 17.8M | 522.6M | 548.7M | |
| Net Income | (32.7M) | (102.7M) | 50.7M | 269.5M | 397.0M | 416.8M | |
| Change To Netincome | 32.2M | 35.5M | 152.0M | 270.5M | 311.1M | 326.7M |
Vista Oil Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Vista Oil or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Vista Oil's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Vista stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.39 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.98 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.21 |
Vista Oil Volatility Alert
Vista Oil Gas has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.1 and kurtosis of -0.3. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Vista Oil's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Vista Oil's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Vista Oil Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Vista Oil's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Vista Oil's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Vista Oil and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Vista Oil or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Vista Oil's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vista Oil by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Vista Oil to competition |
| Fundamentals | Vista Oil | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.38 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.15 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.34 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.59 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 4.47 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 95.36 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 5.57 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 48.26 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.49 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 5.72 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 3.31 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.57 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.17 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 865.1 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 729.45 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 396.95 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 182.75 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.06 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 686.52 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.74 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.53 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 13.08 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 664.71 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.03 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 4.00 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 48.94 | |
| Beta | 0.25 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 4 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.6 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 571.39 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (60.65 M) | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 2.6 B |
Note: Acquisition by Hughes Philip E Jr of 2000 shares of Vista Oil subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Vista Oil Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Vista . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 31715.28 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.7443 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.04 | |||
| Day Median Price | 42.91 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 43.12 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.47 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.63 |
About Vista Oil Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Vista Oil Gas? Buying financial instruments such as Vista Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Other Current Liabilities | 92.8M | 131.6M | 58.6M | 47.6M | Total Assets | 1.7B | 2.0B | 2.6B | 1.3B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Vista Oil in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Latest Losers Thematic Idea Now
Latest Losers
Dynamically computed list of top equities currently sorted across major exchanges. The Latest Losers theme has 140 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Latest Losers Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Vista Oil Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Vista Stock analysis
When running Vista Oil's price analysis, check to measure Vista Oil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vista Oil is operating at the current time. Most of Vista Oil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vista Oil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vista Oil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vista Oil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Vista Oil's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vista Oil. If investors know Vista will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vista Oil listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.834 | Earnings Share 4 | Revenue Per Share 12.476 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) | Return On Assets 0.1468 |
The market value of Vista Oil Gas is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vista that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vista Oil's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vista Oil's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vista Oil's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vista Oil's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vista Oil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vista Oil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vista Oil's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.