Vista Outdoor Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| VSTO Stock | USD 34.46 0.40 1.15% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Vista Outdoor is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Vista Outdoor buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding VSTO positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Vista Outdoor's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Vista Outdoor's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 36.99 | Target Price 34 | Hype Value 34.42 | Market Value 34.46 | Naive Value 34.91 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Vista Outdoor given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Vista Outdoor. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Vista Outdoor, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Vista |
Execute Vista Outdoor Buy or Sell Advice
The Vista recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Vista Outdoor. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Vista Outdoor or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Vista Outdoor's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Vista Outdoor Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.08 B. Net Loss for the year was (9.72 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.04 B. | |
| Vista Outdoor has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 86.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Robert F. Smiths Vista Equity Partners Raises 20B In Its Largest Fund To Date |
Vista Outdoor Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Vista Outdoor's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Vista Outdoor's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Vista Outdoor daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Vista Outdoor price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Vista Outdoor returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Vista Outdoor.
| Mean Return | 0.28 | Value At Risk | -2.25 | Potential Upside | 3.81 | Standard Deviation | 2.02 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Vista Outdoor historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Vista Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Vista Outdoor is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vista Outdoor backward and forwards among themselves. Vista Outdoor's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Vista Outdoor's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 815.3 K | Black Diamond Capital Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 695.3 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 679.5 K | Hodges Capital Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 635.2 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 622.4 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 524.9 K | Assenagon Asset Management Sa | 2023-12-31 | 471.3 K | Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 469.2 K | Barclays Plc | 2023-12-31 | 412 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 9.2 M | Gates Capital Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 5.3 M |
Vista Outdoor Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (7.7M) | (84.2M) | (172.7M) | 18.5M | 1.4M | 1.5M | |
| Change In Cash | 9.4M | 211.9M | (220.7M) | 63.6M | 94.5M | 99.2M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 53.0M | 315.2M | 275.5M | 447.4M | 94.5M | 169.0M | |
| Depreciation | 67.9M | 65.1M | 72.3M | 92.1M | 99.8M | 75.5M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 170.4M | (4.5M) | 3.2M | 354.0M | (1.4M) | (1.4M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 42.2M | 23.8M | 30.2M | 42.8M | 38.8M | 0.0 | |
| Net Income | (155.1M) | 266.0M | 473.2M | (9.7M) | (11.2M) | (10.6M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 31.4M | 243.3M | 22.6M | 86.2M | 94.5M | 86.7M | |
| Net Borrowings | (198.3M) | (22.4M) | 170M | 372.8M | 335.5M | 192.7M | |
| Dividends Paid | 420K | 2.7M | 533K | 4.9M | 4.4M | 4.2M | |
| Change To Netincome | 166.6M | (4.2M) | 41.0M | 333.5M | 383.5M | 402.7M | |
| Change Receivables | 44.3M | 17.5M | (50.6M) | 66.9M | 76.9M | 80.7M | |
| Investments | 133.1M | (102.0M) | (587.8M) | (789.7M) | (710.7M) | (675.2M) |
Vista Outdoor Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Vista Outdoor or Leisure Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Vista Outdoor's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Vista stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Vista Outdoor Volatility Alert
Vista Outdoor has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.86 and kurtosis of 5.74. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Vista Outdoor's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Vista Outdoor's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Vista Outdoor Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Vista Outdoor's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Vista Outdoor's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Vista Outdoor and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Vista Outdoor or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Vista Outdoor's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vista Outdoor by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Vista Outdoor to competition |
| Fundamentals | Vista Outdoor | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.27 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0628 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.12) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.06 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2.91 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 58.2 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 7.92 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 86.18 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.23 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 28.63 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.77 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.69 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 3.08 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.04 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 576.42 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (9.72 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 36.61 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.65 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.15 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.54 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.81 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 18.63 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 94.52 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.99 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (5.99) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.73 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 37.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 7 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.96 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.03 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.8 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (230.53 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 742.24 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 29217 shares by Christopher Metz of Vista Outdoor at 36.24 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Vista Outdoor Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Vista . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Vista Outdoor Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Vista Outdoor? Buying financial instruments such as Vista Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Other Current Liabilities | 247.2M | 252.3M | 290.2M | 147.8M | Total Assets | 2.4B | 2.8B | 3.2B | 2.4B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Vista Outdoor in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Domestic and international companies involved in manufacturing and serving automobiles and trucks. The Cars theme has 48 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Cars Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Vista Outdoor Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Vista Stock, please use our How to Invest in Vista Outdoor guide.You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Complementary Tools for Vista Stock analysis
When running Vista Outdoor's price analysis, check to measure Vista Outdoor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vista Outdoor is operating at the current time. Most of Vista Outdoor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vista Outdoor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vista Outdoor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vista Outdoor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Vista Outdoor's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vista Outdoor. If investors know Vista will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vista Outdoor listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.53) | Earnings Share (5.99) | Revenue Per Share 48.495 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.1) | Return On Assets 0.0628 |
The market value of Vista Outdoor is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vista that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vista Outdoor's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vista Outdoor's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vista Outdoor's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vista Outdoor's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vista Outdoor's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vista Outdoor is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vista Outdoor's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.