Vital Energy Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| VTLE Stock | 55.27 1.21 2.14% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your slightly conservative level of risk, our recommendation regarding Vital Energy is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides Vital Energy buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding VTLE positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Vital Energy's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Vital Energy's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 70.91 | Target Price 80.22 | Hype Value 55.06 | Market Value 55.27 | Naive Value 58.97 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Vital Energy given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Vital Energy. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Vital Energy, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Vital |
Execute Vital Energy Buy or Sell Advice
The Vital recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Vital Energy. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Vital Energy or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Vital Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Buy
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Vital Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Vital Energy has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Vital Energy stock target raised on strong volume outlook |
Vital Energy Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Vital Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Vital Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Vital Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Vital Energy price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Vital Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Vital Energy.
| Mean Return | 0.43 | Value At Risk | -2.81 | Potential Upside | 3.78 | Standard Deviation | 1.96 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Vital Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Vital Energy Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (4.3M) | 7.9M | 8.0M | (12.4M) | (30.4M) | (28.9M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (193.5M) | (7.2M) | (693.9M) | 242.9M | (668.0M) | (701.4M) | |
| Depreciation | 14.6M | 13.1M | 13.6M | 22.6M | 466.9M | 490.3M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 863.5M | 1.2B | 282.5M | 138.6M | (99.6M) | (94.6M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 668.6M | 390.6M | 1.2B | 586.7M | 1.5B | 826.3M | |
| Net Income | (342.5M) | (874.2M) | 145.0M | 631.5M | 695.1M | 729.8M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 40.9M | 48.8M | 56.8M | 44.4M | 14.1M | 13.4M |
Vital Energy Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Vital Energy or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Vital Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Vital stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.35 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.18 |
Vital Energy Volatility Alert
Vital Energy has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.1 and kurtosis of -0.35. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Vital Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Vital Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Vital Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Vital Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Vital Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Vital Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Vital Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Vital Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vital Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Vital Energy to competition |
| Fundamentals | Vital Energy | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.36 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.11 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.45 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.85 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 3.72 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 36.66 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 22.74 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 66.75 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 7.92 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 0.74 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.34 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.55 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.46 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.04 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 695.08 M | 570.98 M |
| Total Debt | 1.75 B | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 82.38 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 812.96 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 9.68 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 33.44 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 68.17 | |
| Number Of Employees | 326 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 3.28 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.07 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 5.21 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (948.88 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (224.67 M) | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 5.21 B |
Note: Vital Energy exotic insider transaction detected [view details]
Vital Energy Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Vital . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Vital Energy Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Vital Energy? Buying financial instruments such as Vital Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 1.4B | 1.1B | 1.8B | 1.2B | Total Assets | 2.6B | 2.7B | 5.2B | 5.5B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Vital Energy in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Wireless
Companies providing wireless technology and communication services. The Wireless theme has 42 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Wireless Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Vital Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Vital Stock refer to our How to Trade Vital Stock guide.You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Complementary Tools for Vital Stock analysis
When running Vital Energy's price analysis, check to measure Vital Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vital Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Vital Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vital Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vital Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vital Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Vital Energy's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vital Energy. If investors know Vital will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vital Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.324 | Earnings Share 33.44 | Revenue Per Share 76.41 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.221 | Return On Assets 0.106 |
The market value of Vital Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vital that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vital Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vital Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vital Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vital Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vital Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vital Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vital Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.