Vivint Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

VVNT -  USA Stock  

USD 5.46  0.02  0.37%

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Vivint Smart Home is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Vivint Smart buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding VVNT positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Vivint Smart's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
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The advice is provided from Vivint Smart's buy-and-hold perspective. Also, please take a look at Vivint Smart Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Vivint and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Vivint Smart Home.

Execute Vivint Smart Buy or Sell Advice

The Vivint recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Vivint Smart Home. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Vivint Smart Home or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Vivint Smart's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Vivint SmartBuy Vivint Smart
Strong Sell

Volatility

UnstableDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Vivint Smart Home has a Mean Deviation of 3.82, Standard Deviation of 5.0 and Variance of 24.99
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on Vivint Smart. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Vivint Smart Home is not overpriced, please validate all Vivint Smart fundamentals, including its gross profit, current ratio, as well as the relationship between the Current Ratio and number of employees . Given that Vivint Smart Home has a shares owned by institutions of 82.72 %, we advise you to double-check Vivint Smart Home market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Vivint Smart Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Vivint Smart Home generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Vivint Smart Home has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Vivint Smart Home has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company currently holds 2.77 B in liabilities. Vivint Smart Home has a current ratio of 0.38, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Vivint Smart until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Vivint Smart's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Vivint Smart Home sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Vivint to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Vivint Smart's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 1.48 B. Net Loss for the year was (305.55 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.1 B.
Over 83.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Patel Rasesh M of 1232394 shares of Vivint Smart subject to Rule 16b-3

Vivint Smart current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Vivint analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Vivint analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price11.20
Target Median Price11.00
Target High Price17.00
Recommendation Mean2.50
Number Of Analyst Opinions5
Target Low Price8.00
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Vivint Smart Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Vivint Smart's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Vivint Smart's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Vivint Smart stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Vivint Smart Home price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Vivint Smart returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Vivint Smart stock.
Mean Return-0.23Value At Risk-7.24
Potential Upside7.51Standard Deviation5.00
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Vivint Smart historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Vivint Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Vivint Smart is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vivint Smart Home backward and forwards among themselves. Vivint Smart's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Vivint Smart's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Blackstone IncCommon Shares100 M676.3 M
Fortress Investment Group LlcCommon Shares25.2 M170.1 M
Blackrock IncCommon Shares5.7 M38.5 M
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares4.3 M28.9 M
State Street CorpCommon Shares1.9 M13.1 M
1832 Asset Management LpCommon Shares1.5 M10 M
Morgan StanleyCommon Shares1.3 M8.8 M
Note, although Vivint Smart's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Vivint Smart Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Vivint Smart or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Vivint Smart stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Vivint stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.06
β
Beta against DOW1.75
σ
Overall volatility
4.98
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Vivint Smart Volatility Alert

Vivint Smart Home exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.94 and kurtosis of 2.69. However, we advise investors to further study Vivint Smart Home technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Vivint Smart's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Vivint Smart's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Vivint Smart Implied Volatility

Vivint Smart's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Vivint Smart Home stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Vivint Smart's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Vivint Smart stock will not fluctuate a lot when Vivint Smart's options are near their expiration.

Vivint Smart Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Vivint Smart's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Vivint Smart's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Vivint Smart and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Vivint Smart or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Vivint Smart's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vivint Smart by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Vivint Smart to competition
FundamentalsVivint SmartPeer Average
Return On Asset(3.41) %(0.14) %
Profit Margin(20.65) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(10.43) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.65 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding208.73 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders8.55 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions82.72 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted2.99 M4.71 M
Price to Sales0.77 X11.42 X
Revenue1.48 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.1 B27.38 B
EBITDA(77.77 M)3.9 B
Net Income(305.55 M)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents209.14 M2.7 B
Cash per Share1.00 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.77 B5.32 B
Current Ratio0.39 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(8.19) X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations82.45 M971.22 M
Short Ratio5.30 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(2.33) X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth0.32 X4.89 X
Number of Employees11 K18.84 K
Beta0.97-0.15
Market Capitalization1.14 B19.03 B
   Acquisition by Patel Rasesh M of 1232394 shares of Vivint Smart subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Vivint Smart Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Vivint . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution19401.4
Daily Balance Of Power0.087
Rate Of Daily Change1.0
Day Median Price5.4
Day Typical Price5.42
Price Action Indicator0.075

About Vivint Smart Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Vivint Smart Home? Buying financial instruments such as Vivint Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Vivint Smart investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Vivint Smart in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Gold and Gold Mining Thematic Idea Now

Gold and Gold Mining
Gold and Gold Mining Theme
Large and mid-size companies, ETFs and funds that are either investing, exploring or producing, gold or indirectly involved in trading or making gold products. The Gold and Gold Mining theme has 100 constituents.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Gold and Gold Mining Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch Gold and Gold Mining
Also, please take a look at Vivint Smart Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Vivint Smart Home information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Vivint Smart's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

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Is Vivint Smart's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vivint Smart. If investors know Vivint will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vivint Smart listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Vivint Smart Home is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vivint that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vivint Smart's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vivint Smart's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vivint Smart's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vivint Smart's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vivint Smart's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Vivint Smart value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vivint Smart's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.