Xinyuan Real Estate Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| XIN Stock | USD 2.69 0.04 1.51% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Xinyuan Real Estate is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Xinyuan Real buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding XIN positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Xinyuan Real's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Xinyuan Real's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 2.28 | Hype Value 2.69 | Market Value 2.69 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Xinyuan Real Estate given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Xinyuan Real. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Xinyuan Real Estate, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Xinyuan |
Execute Xinyuan Real Buy or Sell Advice
The Xinyuan recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Xinyuan Real Estate. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Xinyuan Real Estate or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Xinyuan Real's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Unstable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Xinyuan Real Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.54 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (413.26 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 71.96 M. | |
| Xinyuan Real Estate has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Xinyuan Real Estate Now Covered by StockNews.com - Defense World |
Xinyuan Real Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Xinyuan Real's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Xinyuan Real's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Xinyuan Real daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Xinyuan Real Estate price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Xinyuan Real returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Xinyuan Real.
| Mean Return | 0.06 | Value At Risk | -4 | Potential Upside | 4.17 | Standard Deviation | 3.80 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Xinyuan Real historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Xinyuan Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Xinyuan Real is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Xinyuan Real Estate backward and forwards among themselves. Xinyuan Real's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Xinyuan Real's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 878 | Group One Trading, Lp | 2023-12-31 | 491 | Rhumbline Advisers | 2023-12-31 | 470 | Royal Bank Of Canada | 2023-12-31 | 160 | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 77.0 | Ubs Group Ag | 2023-12-31 | 50.0 | Advisor Group Holdings, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 15.0 | Wells Fargo & Co | 2023-12-31 | 2.0 | New York State Common Retirement Fund | 2023-09-30 | 0.0 | Acadian Asset Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 0.0 |
Xinyuan Real Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (275.2M) | (83.4M) | 157.4M | (540.1M) | (486.1M) | (461.8M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (32.0M) | 266.7M | 335.5M | 133.6M | 153.6M | 161.3M | |
| Depreciation | 15.1M | 17.6M | 17.5M | 18.3M | 21.0M | 22.1M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 122.7M | 40.2M | (76.2M) | (17.5M) | (15.8M) | (15.0M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 9.1M | 5.5M | 1.3M | 2.1M | 2.4M | 2.9M | |
| Net Income | 106.0M | 83.0M | (67.5M) | (413.3M) | (371.9M) | (353.3M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 1.2B | 1.1B | 1.3B | 719.9M | 827.9M | 598.8M | |
| Change To Netincome | 25.7M | 15.6M | (65.4M) | 150.6M | 173.2M | 181.9M | |
| Change To Inventory | 165.2M | 853.5M | 440.5M | 647.9M | 745.1M | 782.3M | |
| Dividends Paid | 25.7M | 19.6M | 14.3M | 4.1M | 4.7M | 4.4M | |
| Investments | (43.0M) | (194.9M) | (27.8M) | 513.9M | 591.0M | 620.5M | |
| Net Borrowings | (243.2M) | (389.3M) | (672.8M) | (56.2M) | (50.6M) | (48.1M) |
Xinyuan Real Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Xinyuan Real or Real Estate Management & Development sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Xinyuan Real's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Xinyuan stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Xinyuan Real Volatility Alert
Xinyuan Real Estate shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Xinyuan Real's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Xinyuan Real's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Xinyuan Real Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Xinyuan Real's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Xinyuan Real's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Xinyuan Real and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Xinyuan Real or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Xinyuan Real's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Xinyuan Real by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Xinyuan Real to competition |
| Fundamentals | Xinyuan Real | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.2 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 6.0E-4 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.18) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.05 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 3.76 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 6.01 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 0.04 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 17.06 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 1.73 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.64 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.54 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 71.96 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (160.66 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (413.26 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 426.4 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 78.02 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.34 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.22 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.15 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (12.94) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 135.61 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 5.50 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (52.52) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 7.16 | |
| Number Of Employees | 1.16 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.76 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 15.92 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 6.45 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (387.66 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 96.25 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 3.26 B | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 1.65 B | 7.9 B |
Xinyuan Real Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Xinyuan . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Xinyuan Real Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Xinyuan Real Estate? Buying financial instruments such as Xinyuan Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2020 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 3.0B | 2.3B | 2.7B | 1.5B | Total Assets | 7.7B | 6.4B | 7.4B | 7.8B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Xinyuan Real in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Cigarettes
Tobacco makers and distributors across globe. The Cigarettes theme has 47 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Cigarettes Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Xinyuan Real Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
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When running Xinyuan Real's price analysis, check to measure Xinyuan Real's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xinyuan Real is operating at the current time. Most of Xinyuan Real's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xinyuan Real's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xinyuan Real's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xinyuan Real to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Xinyuan Real's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Xinyuan Real. If investors know Xinyuan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Xinyuan Real listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.927 | Earnings Share (52.52) | Revenue Per Share 176.174 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.909 | Return On Assets 0.0006 |
The market value of Xinyuan Real Estate is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Xinyuan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Xinyuan Real's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Xinyuan Real's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Xinyuan Real's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Xinyuan Real's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Xinyuan Real's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Xinyuan Real is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Xinyuan Real's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.