Exxon Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

XOM -  USA Stock  

USD 61.59  0.34  0.56%

Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Exxon Mobil Corp is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Exxon buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Exxon positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Exxon's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.

Exxon Advice 

 
Refresh
The advice is provided from Exxon's buy-and-hold perspective. Check out Exxon Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Exxon and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Exxon Mobil Corp.

Execute Exxon Buy or Sell Advice

The Exxon recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Exxon Mobil Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Exxon Mobil Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Exxon's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell ExxonBuy Exxon
Strong Buy

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

PhenomenalDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Exxon Mobil Corp has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0862, Jensen Alpha of 0.2177, Total Risk Alpha of 0.2424, Sortino Ratio of 0.1243 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1208
Macroaxis provides unbiased investment recommendation on Exxon Mobil Corp that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Exxon Mobil Corp. Our trade advice engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Exxon is not overpriced, please confirm all Exxon Mobil Corp fundamentals, including its short ratio, and the relationship between the cash per share and total asset . Given that Exxon Mobil Corp has a price to earning of 57.63 X, we urge you to verify Exxon Mobil Corp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Exxon Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company has 60.61 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.37, which is OK given its current industry classification. Exxon Mobil Corp has a current ratio of 0.83, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 215.88 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (13.33 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 57.16 B.
Exxon Mobil Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Exxon exotic insider transaction detected

Exxon current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Exxon analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Exxon analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price66.25
Target Median Price65.70
Target High Price90.00
Recommendation Mean2.70
Number Of Analyst Opinions28
Target Low Price40.00
Average Consensus Hold
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Exxon Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Exxon's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Exxon's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Exxon stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Exxon Mobil Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Exxon returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Exxon stock.
Mean Return0.19Value At Risk-2.6
Potential Upside2.96Standard Deviation1.72
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Exxon historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Exxon Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Exxon is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Exxon Mobil Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Exxon's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Exxon's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares353 M20.8 B
Blackrock IncCommon Shares263.3 M15.5 B
State Street CorpCommon Shares252.1 M14.8 B
Fmr LlcCommon Shares89.8 M5.3 B
Geode Capital Management LlcCommon Shares67.4 MB
Bank Of New York Mellon CorpCommon Shares49.8 M2.9 B
Northern Trust CorpCommon Shares48.7 M2.9 B
Note, although Exxon's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Exxon Cash Flow Accounts

201620172018201920202021 (projected)
Net Cash Flow from Financing(9.29 B)(15.13 B)(19.45 B)(6.62 B)5.29 B5.7 B
Net Cash Flow from Investing(12.4 B)(15.73 B)(16.45 B)(23.08 B)(18.46 B)(19.92 B)
Net Cash Flow from Operations22.08 B30.07 B36.01 B29.72 B14.67 B15.05 B

Exxon Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Exxon or Energy sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Exxon stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Exxon stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.22
β
Beta against DOW1.45
σ
Overall volatility
1.72
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Exxon Volatility Alert

Exxon Mobil Corp has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.13 and kurtosis of -0.02. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate Exxon Mobil Corp to ensure all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future expected returns. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Exxon's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Exxon's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Exxon Implied Volatility

Exxon's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Exxon Mobil Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Exxon's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Exxon stock will not fluctuate a lot when Exxon's options are near their expiration.

Exxon Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Exxon's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Exxon's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Exxon and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Exxon or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Exxon's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Exxon by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Exxon to competition
FundamentalsExxonPeer Average
Return On Equity(7.79) %(0.31) %
Return On Asset1.13 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin(6.18) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin2.94 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation302.99 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding4.23 B571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders0.12 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions53.45 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted41.21 M4.71 M
Price to Earning57.63 X28.72 X
Price to Book1.72 X9.51 X
Price to Sales1.25 X11.42 X
Revenue215.88 B9.43 B
Gross Profit57.16 B27.38 B
EBITDA24.45 B3.9 B
Net Income(13.33 B)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents3.46 B2.7 B
Cash per Share0.82 X5.01 X
Total Debt60.61 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.37 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.85 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share37.08 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations27.31 B971.22 M
Short Ratio2.23 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(4.47) X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth12.90 X4.89 X
Number of Employees72 K18.84 K
Beta1.42-0.15
Market Capitalization269.3 B19.03 B
Total Asset336.76 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings303.4 B9.33 B
Working Capital(11.35 B)1.48 B
Current Asset42.62 B9.34 B
   Exxon exotic insider transaction detected [view details]

Exxon Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Exxon . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution554279.0
Daily Balance Of Power0.1838
Rate Of Daily Change1.01
Day Median Price62.22
Day Typical Price62.01
Price Action Indicator(0.45)

About Exxon Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Exxon Mobil Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Exxon Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Exxon investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2018 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
Receivables24.7 B26.97 B20.58 B26.95 B
Inventories18.96 B18.53 B18.85 B16.81 B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Exxon in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Gambling Thematic Idea Now

Gambling
Gambling Theme
Companies that are related to providing gambling services across multiple geographical areas by investing, exploring, or producing software, hardware, and related infrastructure for running gambling operations or trading speculative assets.. Gambling theme has 38 constituents.
View All  Next Launch Gambling
Check out Exxon Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Exxon Mobil Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Exxon's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

Complementary Tools for Exxon Stock analysis

When running Exxon Mobil Corp price analysis, check to measure Exxon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Exxon is operating at the current time. Most of Exxon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Exxon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Exxon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Exxon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Go
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Go
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk
Go
Stock Screener
Find equities using custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook.
Go
Portfolio Center
All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios
Go
ETF Directory
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
Go
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
Go
Portfolio Manager
State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital
Go
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Go
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Go
Companies Directory
Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals
Go
Is Exxon's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Exxon. If investors know Exxon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Exxon listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Exxon Mobil Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Exxon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Exxon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Exxon's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Exxon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Exxon's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Exxon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Exxon value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Exxon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.