Exxon Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

XOM Stock  USD 102.02  2.95  2.81%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Exxon Mobil Corp is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Exxon buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Exxon positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Exxon's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
The advice is provided from Exxon's buy-and-hold perspective. Check out Exxon Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Exxon and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Exxon Mobil Corp.

Execute Exxon Buy or Sell Advice

The Exxon recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Exxon Mobil Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Exxon Mobil Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Exxon's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell ExxonBuy Exxon
Strong Hold

Market Performance




Hype Condition


Current Valuation


Odds of Distress


Economic Sensitivity


Analyst Consensus


Financial Strenth (F Score)


Financial Leverage


Reporting Quality (M-Score)

For the selected time horizon Exxon Mobil Corp has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.028289), Jensen Alpha of (0.006424), Total Risk Alpha of 0.0288 and Treynor Ratio of (0.06)
Macroaxis provides advice on Exxon Mobil Corp to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Exxon Mobil Corp. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Exxon is not overpriced, please confirm all Exxon Mobil Corp fundamentals, including its short ratio, and the relationship between the cash per share and market capitalization . Given that Exxon Mobil Corp has a price to book of 2.27 X, we urge you to verify Exxon Mobil Corp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Exxon Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Exxon Mobil Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Exxon Mobil Corp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Exxon Mobil Corp was previously known as EXXON MOBIL CORP and was traded on New York Stock Exchange under the symbol XON.
About 61.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Heres Why You Should Retain Celanese in Your Portfolio

Exxon Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Exxon's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Exxon's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Exxon stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Exxon Mobil Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Exxon returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Exxon.
Mean Return-0.07Value At Risk-2.43
Potential Upside2.49Standard Deviation1.78
   Return Density   
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Exxon historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Exxon Cash Flow Accounts

201820192020202120222023 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(19.57 B)(24.36 B)(17.28 B)(12.08 B)(18.41 B)(19.86 B)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion18.75 B19 B46.01 B20.61 B24.04 B25.23 B
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents(135 M)47 M1.27 B2.44 B22.86 B24.67 B
Net Cash Flow Business Acquisitions and Disposals2.14 B(3.9 B)(4.86 B)(2.82 B)(3.09 B)(3.17 B)
Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares(626 M)(594 M)(405 M)(155 M)(15.15 B)(15.55 B)
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities(4.92 B)8.66 B20.14 B(19.65 B)(7.22 B)(7.41 B)
Payment of Dividends and Other Cash Distributions(13.8 B)(14.65 B)(14.87 B)(14.92 B)(14.94 B)(16.12 B)
Net Cash Flow from Financing(19.45 B)(6.62 B)5.29 B(35.42 B)(39.11 B)(40.14 B)
Net Cash Flow from Investing(16.45 B)(23.08 B)(18.46 B)(10.23 B)(14.74 B)(15.91 B)
Net Cash Flow from Operations36.01 B29.72 B14.67 B48.13 B76.8 B63.26 B
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash(257 M)33 M(219 M)(33 M)(78 M)(84.16 M)

Exxon Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Exxon or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Exxon's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Exxon stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Alpha over NYSE Composite
Beta against NYSE Composite1.32
Overall volatility
Information ratio -0.01

Exxon Volatility Alert

Exxon Mobil Corp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.37 and kurtosis of 1.86. However, we advise investors to further study Exxon Mobil Corp technical indicators to ensure that all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Exxon's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Exxon's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Exxon Implied Volatility

Exxon's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Exxon Mobil Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Exxon's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Exxon stock will not fluctuate a lot when Exxon's options are near their expiration.

Exxon Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Exxon's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Exxon's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Exxon and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Exxon or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Exxon's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Exxon by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
 Better Than Average     
 Worse Than Average Compare Exxon to competition
FundamentalsExxonPeer Average
Return On Equity0.33 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset0.13 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin0.15 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.19 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation423.57 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding4.04 B571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders0.06 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions60.90 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted33.52 M4.71 M
Price to Earning9.24 X28.72 X
Price to Book2.27 X9.51 X
Price to Sales1.12 X11.42 X
Revenue398.68 B9.43 B
Gross Profit133.72 B27.38 B
EBITDA102.59 B3.9 B
Net Income57.58 B570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents29.64 B2.7 B
Cash per Share7.38 X5.01 X
Total Debt40.56 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.23 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.34 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share49.14 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations76.8 B971.22 M
Short Ratio2.15 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share14.77 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth1.69 X4.89 X
Target Price127.79
Number of Employees62 K18.84 K
Market Capitalization424.39 B19.03 B
Total Asset369.07 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings432.86 B9.33 B
Working Capital28.59 B1.48 B
Note: Payment of 25971 shares by Darren Woods of Exxon subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Exxon Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Exxon . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Exxon Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Exxon Mobil Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Exxon Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2020 2021 2022 2023 (projected)
Receivables20.58 B32.38 B41.75 B38.91 B
Inventories18.85 B18.78 B24.43 B20.09 B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Exxon in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Printing and Publishing Thematic Idea Now

Printing and Publishing
Printing and Publishing Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Printing and Publishing theme has 18 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Printing and Publishing Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Exxon Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..

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When running Exxon's price analysis, check to measure Exxon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Exxon is operating at the current time. Most of Exxon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Exxon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Exxon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Exxon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Exxon's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Exxon. If investors know Exxon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Exxon listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
Dividend Share
Earnings Share
Revenue Per Share
Quarterly Revenue Growth
The market value of Exxon Mobil Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Exxon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Exxon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Exxon's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Exxon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Exxon's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Exxon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Exxon is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Exxon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party. Check out Exxon Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.