Alcoa Corp Stock Market Value

AA Stock  USD 31.03  0.59  1.94%   
Alcoa Corp's market value is the price at which a share of Alcoa Corp stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Alcoa Corp investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Alcoa Corp and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Alcoa Corp over a given investment horizon.
Check out Alcoa Corp Correlation, Alcoa Corp Volatility and Alcoa Corp Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Alcoa Corp.
For information on how to trade Alcoa Stock refer to our How to Trade Alcoa Stock guide.
Symbol

Alcoa Corp Price To Book Ratio

Is Alcoa Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alcoa Corp. If investors know Alcoa will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alcoa Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.81
Dividend Share
0.4
Earnings Share
(3.65)
Revenue Per Share
59.275
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.03)
The market value of Alcoa Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alcoa that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alcoa Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alcoa Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alcoa Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alcoa Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alcoa Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alcoa Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alcoa Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Alcoa Corp 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Alcoa Corp's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Alcoa Corp.
0.00
02/17/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
03/18/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Alcoa Corp on February 17, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Alcoa Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Alcoa Corp over 30 days. Alcoa Corp is related to or competes with Weyco, Mannatech Incorporated, European Wax, Diageo PLC, Duckhorn Portfolio, Willamette Valley, and Church Dwight. Alcoa Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products in the Uni... More

Alcoa Corp Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Alcoa Corp's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Alcoa Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Alcoa Corp Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Alcoa Corp's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Alcoa Corp's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Alcoa Corp historical prices to predict the future Alcoa Corp's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alcoa Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Alcoa Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.1530.4833.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.9930.3233.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
29.4232.7536.08
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
32.1035.2739.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Alcoa Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Alcoa Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Alcoa Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Alcoa Corp.

Alcoa Corp Backtested Returns

Alcoa Corp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0031, which signifies that the company had -0.0031% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Our philosophy in foreseeing the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Alcoa Corp exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its stock price that cannot be diversified away. Please confirm Alcoa Corp's risk adjusted performance of 0.0698, and Mean Deviation of 2.98 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 3.83, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Alcoa Corp will likely underperform. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Alcoa Corp historical returns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity current trending patterns. Alcoa Corp has an expected return of -0.0102%. Please make sure to confirm Alcoa Corp information ratio, treynor ratio, and the relationship between the downside deviation and total risk alpha to decide if Alcoa Corp performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.31  

Poor reverse predictability

Alcoa Corp has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Alcoa Corp time series from 17th of February 2024 to 3rd of March 2024 and 3rd of March 2024 to 18th of March 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Alcoa Corp price movement. The serial correlation of -0.31 indicates that nearly 31.0% of current Alcoa Corp price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.31
Spearman Rank Test0.12
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.58

Alcoa Corp lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Alcoa Corp stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Alcoa Corp's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Alcoa Corp returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Alcoa Corp stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Alcoa Corp regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Alcoa Corp stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Alcoa Corp stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Alcoa Corp stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Alcoa Corp Lagged Returns

When evaluating Alcoa Corp's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Alcoa Corp stock have on its future price. Alcoa Corp autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Alcoa Corp autocorrelation shows the relationship between Alcoa Corp stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Alcoa Corp.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Alcoa Corp Investors Sentiment

The influence of Alcoa Corp's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Alcoa. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Alcoa Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Alcoa. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Alcoa can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Alcoa Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Alcoa Corp's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Alcoa Corp's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Alcoa Corp's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Alcoa Corp.

Alcoa Corp Implied Volatility

    
  57.59  
Alcoa Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Alcoa Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Alcoa Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Alcoa Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Alcoa Corp's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Alcoa Corp in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Alcoa Corp's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Alcoa Corp options trading.

Pair Trading with Alcoa Corp

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Alcoa Corp position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Alcoa Corp will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Alcoa Corp could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Alcoa Corp when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Alcoa Corp - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Alcoa Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Alcoa Corp is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Alcoa Corp moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Alcoa Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Alcoa Corp can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Alcoa Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Alcoa Corp's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Alcoa Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Alcoa Corp Stock:
Check out Alcoa Corp Correlation, Alcoa Corp Volatility and Alcoa Corp Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Alcoa Corp.
For information on how to trade Alcoa Stock refer to our How to Trade Alcoa Stock guide.
Note that the Alcoa Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Alcoa Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.

Complementary Tools for Alcoa Stock analysis

When running Alcoa Corp's price analysis, check to measure Alcoa Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alcoa Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Alcoa Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alcoa Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alcoa Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alcoa Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Alcoa Corp technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Alcoa Corp technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Alcoa Corp trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...