Ambev Sa Adr Stock Market Value
| ABEV Stock | USD 2.30 0.01 0.44% |
| Symbol | Ambev |
Ambev SA ADR Price To Book Ratio
Is Ambev SA's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ambev SA. If investors know Ambev will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ambev SA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.12) | Dividend Share 0.73 | Earnings Share 0.17 | Revenue Per Share 5.064 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.12) |
The market value of Ambev SA ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ambev that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ambev SA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ambev SA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ambev SA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ambev SA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ambev SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ambev SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ambev SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Ambev SA 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ambev SA's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ambev SA.
| 01/24/2024 |
| 04/23/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Ambev SA on January 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ambev SA ADR or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ambev SA over 90 days. Ambev SA is related to or competes with Molson Coors, Heineken, Budweiser Brewing, Anheuser Busch, Fomento Economico, and Heineken. Ambev S.A., through its subsidiaries, produces, distributes, and sells beer, draft beer, carbonated soft drinks, other n... More
Ambev SA Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ambev SA's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ambev SA ADR upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.21) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.14 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.42) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.66 |
Ambev SA Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ambev SA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ambev SA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ambev SA historical prices to predict the future Ambev SA's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.09) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.30) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.43) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.35) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ambev SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ambev SA ADR Backtested Returns
Ambev SA ADR secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.14, which signifies that the company had a -0.14% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Ambev SA ADR exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Ambev SA's mean deviation of 1.06, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.69, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Ambev SA's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ambev SA is expected to be smaller as well. Ambev SA ADR has an expected return of -0.21%. Please make sure to confirm Ambev SA ADR information ratio, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to decide if Ambev SA ADR performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.65 |
Good predictability
Ambev SA ADR has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ambev SA time series from 24th of January 2024 to 9th of March 2024 and 9th of March 2024 to 23rd of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ambev SA ADR price movement. The serial correlation of 0.65 indicates that roughly 65.0% of current Ambev SA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.65 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.6 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.01 |
Ambev SA ADR lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Ambev SA stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ambev SA's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ambev SA returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ambev SA has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Ambev SA regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ambev SA stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ambev SA stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ambev SA stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Ambev SA Lagged Returns
When evaluating Ambev SA's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ambev SA stock have on its future price. Ambev SA autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ambev SA autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ambev SA stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ambev SA ADR.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Ambev SA Investors Sentiment
The influence of Ambev SA's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Ambev. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Ambev SA's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Ambev. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ambev can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ambev SA ADR. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Ambev SA's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Ambev SA's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Ambev SA's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Ambev SA.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Ambev SA in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Ambev SA's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Ambev SA options trading.
Pair Trading with Ambev SA
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Ambev SA position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ambev SA will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Ambev Stock
| 0.86 | BG | Bunge Limited Sell-off Trend | PairCorr |
| 0.76 | TSN | Tyson Foods Financial Report 13th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.75 | CALM | Cal Maine Foods Financial Report 23rd of July 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.71 | BJ | BJs Wholesale Club Financial Report 28th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.66 | AGRO | Adecoagro SA Financial Report 9th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Ambev SA could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Ambev SA when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Ambev SA - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Ambev SA ADR to buy it.
The correlation of Ambev SA is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Ambev SA moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Ambev SA ADR moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Ambev SA can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Ambev SA Correlation, Ambev SA Volatility and Ambev SA Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Ambev SA. Note that the Ambev SA ADR information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Ambev SA's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Ambev Stock analysis
When running Ambev SA's price analysis, check to measure Ambev SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ambev SA is operating at the current time. Most of Ambev SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ambev SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ambev SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ambev SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Ambev SA technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.