Amcap Fund Class Fund Market Value
| AMPFX Fund | USD 39.07 0.51 1.29% |
| Symbol | Amcap |
Amcap Fund 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Amcap Fund's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Amcap Fund.
| 03/20/2024 |
| 04/19/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Amcap Fund on March 20, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Amcap Fund Class or generate 0.0% return on investment in Amcap Fund over 30 days. Amcap Fund is related to or competes with Income Fund, New World, American Mutual, American Mutual, American Funds, American Funds, and Income Fund. The fund invests primarily in common stocks of U.S More
Amcap Fund Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Amcap Fund's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Amcap Fund Class upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.8612 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0184 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.14 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.47) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.42 |
Amcap Fund Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Amcap Fund's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Amcap Fund's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Amcap Fund historical prices to predict the future Amcap Fund's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0621 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0046 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.01) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0189 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0625 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Amcap Fund's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Amcap Fund Class Backtested Returns
We consider Amcap Fund very steady. Amcap Fund Class secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0368, which signifies that the fund had a 0.0368% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Amcap Fund Class, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Amcap Fund's mean deviation of 0.7042, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0621 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0331%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.2, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Amcap Fund will likely underperform.
Auto-correlation | 0.69 |
Good predictability
Amcap Fund Class has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Amcap Fund time series from 20th of March 2024 to 4th of April 2024 and 4th of April 2024 to 19th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Amcap Fund Class price movement. The serial correlation of 0.69 indicates that around 69.0% of current Amcap Fund price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.69 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.35 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.5 |
Amcap Fund Class lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Amcap Fund mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Amcap Fund's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Amcap Fund returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Amcap Fund has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Amcap Fund regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Amcap Fund mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Amcap Fund mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Amcap Fund mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Amcap Fund Lagged Returns
When evaluating Amcap Fund's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Amcap Fund mutual fund have on its future price. Amcap Fund autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Amcap Fund autocorrelation shows the relationship between Amcap Fund mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Amcap Fund Class.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Pair Trading with Amcap Fund
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Amcap Fund position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Amcap Fund will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Amcap Mutual Fund
| 0.97 | RNEBX | New World Fund | PairCorr |
| 0.93 | AMFCX | American Mutual | PairCorr |
| 0.93 | AMFFX | American Mutual | PairCorr |
| 0.89 | RNCCX | American Funds Me | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Amcap Fund could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Amcap Fund when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Amcap Fund - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Amcap Fund Class to buy it.
The correlation of Amcap Fund is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Amcap Fund moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Amcap Fund Class moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Amcap Fund can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Amcap Fund Correlation, Amcap Fund Volatility and Amcap Fund Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Amcap Fund. Note that the Amcap Fund Class information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Amcap Fund's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Amcap Fund technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.