B Communications (Israel) Market Value

BCOM Stock  ILS 1,291  101.00  8.49%   
B Communications' market value is the price at which a share of B Communications trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of B Communications investors about its performance. B Communications is trading at 1291.00 as of the 19th of April 2024, a 8.49 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 1190.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of B Communications and determine expected loss or profit from investing in B Communications over a given investment horizon. Check out B Communications Correlation, B Communications Volatility and B Communications Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on B Communications.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between B Communications' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if B Communications is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, B Communications' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

B Communications 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to B Communications' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of B Communications.
0.00
05/30/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 10 months and 22 days
04/19/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in B Communications on May 30, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding B Communications or generate 0.0% return on investment in B Communications over 690 days. B Communications is related to or competes with EN Shoham, Accel Solutions, SR Accord, Rapac Communication, and Rani Zim. B Communications Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides a range of telecommunications services for business and privat... More

B Communications Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure B Communications' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess B Communications upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

B Communications Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for B Communications' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as B Communications' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use B Communications historical prices to predict the future B Communications' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of B Communications' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,2891,2911,293
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,2371,2391,420
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,1981,2011,203
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,1621,2571,353
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as B Communications. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against B Communications' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, B Communications' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in B Communications.

B Communications Backtested Returns

B Communications retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0347, which signifies that the company had a -0.0347% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. B Communications exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm B Communications' variance of 4.87, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.41) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.34, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, B Communications' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding B Communications is expected to be smaller as well. B Communications has an expected return of -0.0748%. Please make sure to confirm B Communications coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, and the relationship between the mean deviation and standard deviation , to decide if B Communications performance from the past will be repeated sooner or later.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.38  

Below average predictability

B Communications has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between B Communications time series from 30th of May 2022 to 10th of May 2023 and 10th of May 2023 to 19th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of B Communications price movement. The serial correlation of 0.38 indicates that just about 38.0% of current B Communications price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.38
Spearman Rank Test-0.42
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance15.3 K

B Communications lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is B Communications stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting B Communications' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of B Communications returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that B Communications has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

B Communications regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If B Communications stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if B Communications stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in B Communications stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

B Communications Lagged Returns

When evaluating B Communications' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of B Communications stock have on its future price. B Communications autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, B Communications autocorrelation shows the relationship between B Communications stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in B Communications.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards B Communications in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, B Communications' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from B Communications options trading.

Pair Trading with B Communications

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if B Communications position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in B Communications will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against BCOM Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to B Communications could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace B Communications when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back B Communications - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling B Communications to buy it.
The correlation of B Communications is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as B Communications moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if B Communications moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for B Communications can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Check out B Communications Correlation, B Communications Volatility and B Communications Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on B Communications.
You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.

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B Communications technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of B Communications technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of B Communications trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...