William Blair International Fund Market Value

BIGIX Fund  USD 29.17  0.39  1.36%   
William Blair's market value is the price at which a share of William Blair trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of William Blair International investors about its performance. William Blair is trading at 29.17 as of the 24th of April 2024; that is 1.36 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 28.78.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of William Blair International and determine expected loss or profit from investing in William Blair over a given investment horizon. Check out William Blair Correlation, William Blair Volatility and William Blair Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on William Blair.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between William Blair's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if William Blair is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, William Blair's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

William Blair 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to William Blair's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of William Blair.
0.00
01/25/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
04/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in William Blair on January 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding William Blair International or generate 0.0% return on investment in William Blair over 90 days. William Blair is related to or competes with William Blair, William Blair, William Blair, William Blair, William Blair, William Blair, and William Blair. The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its total assets in a diversified portfolio of equity securities, inclu... More

William Blair Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure William Blair's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess William Blair International upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

William Blair Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for William Blair's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as William Blair's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use William Blair historical prices to predict the future William Blair's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of William Blair's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.5029.1729.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.6029.2729.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
28.0228.6929.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
28.5129.1529.79
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as William Blair. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against William Blair's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, William Blair's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in William Blair Intern.

William Blair Intern Backtested Returns

We consider William Blair very steady. William Blair Intern shows Sharpe Ratio of 0.0674, which attests that the fund had a 0.0674% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for William Blair Intern, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please check out William Blair's Downside Deviation of 0.6456, mean deviation of 0.5278, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0554 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0454%. The entity maintains a market beta of 0.84, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, William Blair's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding William Blair is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.84  

Excellent reverse predictability

William Blair International has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between William Blair time series from 25th of January 2024 to 10th of March 2024 and 10th of March 2024 to 24th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of William Blair Intern price movement. The serial correlation of -0.84 indicates that around 84.0% of current William Blair price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.84
Spearman Rank Test-0.8
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.38

William Blair Intern lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is William Blair mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting William Blair's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of William Blair returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that William Blair has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

William Blair regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If William Blair mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if William Blair mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in William Blair mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

William Blair Lagged Returns

When evaluating William Blair's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of William Blair mutual fund have on its future price. William Blair autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, William Blair autocorrelation shows the relationship between William Blair mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in William Blair International.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Pair Trading with William Blair

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if William Blair position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in William Blair will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with William Mutual Fund

  0.77WRCGX William Blair ChinaPairCorr
  0.95WSMDX William Blair SmallPairCorr
  0.95WSMRX William Blair SmallPairCorr
  0.95WSMNX William Blair SmallPairCorr
  0.93WBCIX William Blair SmallPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to William Blair could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace William Blair when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back William Blair - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling William Blair International to buy it.
The correlation of William Blair is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as William Blair moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if William Blair Intern moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for William Blair can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Check out William Blair Correlation, William Blair Volatility and William Blair Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on William Blair.
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William Blair technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of William Blair technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of William Blair trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...