Bank Rakyat Stock Market Value

BKRKY Stock  USD 16.41  0.14  0.86%   
Bank Rakyat's market value is the price at which a share of Bank Rakyat trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Bank Rakyat investors about its performance. Bank Rakyat is trading at 16.41 as of the 23rd of April 2024; that is 0.86 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 16.27.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Bank Rakyat and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Bank Rakyat over a given investment horizon. Check out Bank Rakyat Correlation, Bank Rakyat Volatility and Bank Rakyat Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Bank Rakyat.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Bank Rakyat's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bank Rakyat is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bank Rakyat's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Bank Rakyat 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Bank Rakyat's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Bank Rakyat.
0.00
07/28/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 8 months and 27 days
04/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Bank Rakyat on July 28, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Bank Rakyat or generate 0.0% return on investment in Bank Rakyat over 270 days. Bank Rakyat is related to or competes with First Horizon, First Horizon, KB Financial, Banco Santander, National Bank, Banco Santander, and Equity Bancshares. PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia Tbk provides various banking products and services in Indonesia, Singapore, Timor Leste, Hong K... More

Bank Rakyat Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Bank Rakyat's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Bank Rakyat upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Bank Rakyat Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Bank Rakyat's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Bank Rakyat's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Bank Rakyat historical prices to predict the future Bank Rakyat's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bank Rakyat's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.7516.4118.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.5517.2118.87
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bank Rakyat. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bank Rakyat's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bank Rakyat's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Bank Rakyat.

Bank Rakyat Backtested Returns

Bank Rakyat secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0372, which signifies that the company had a -0.0372% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Bank Rakyat exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Bank Rakyat's Standard Deviation of 1.64, risk adjusted performance of (0.04), and Mean Deviation of 1.23 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.67, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Bank Rakyat's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Bank Rakyat is expected to be smaller as well. Bank Rakyat has an expected return of -0.062%. Please make sure to confirm Bank Rakyat information ratio, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day typical price , to decide if Bank Rakyat performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.75  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

Bank Rakyat has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Bank Rakyat time series from 28th of July 2023 to 10th of December 2023 and 10th of December 2023 to 23rd of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Bank Rakyat price movement. The serial correlation of -0.75 indicates that around 75.0% of current Bank Rakyat price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.75
Spearman Rank Test-0.35
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.94

Bank Rakyat lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Bank Rakyat pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Bank Rakyat's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Bank Rakyat returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Bank Rakyat has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Bank Rakyat regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Bank Rakyat pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Bank Rakyat pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Bank Rakyat pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Bank Rakyat Lagged Returns

When evaluating Bank Rakyat's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Bank Rakyat pink sheet have on its future price. Bank Rakyat autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Bank Rakyat autocorrelation shows the relationship between Bank Rakyat pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Bank Rakyat.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Bank Rakyat in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Bank Rakyat's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Bank Rakyat options trading.

Pair Trading with Bank Rakyat

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Bank Rakyat position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Bank Rakyat will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Bank Pink Sheet

  0.45BBDC4 Banco Bradesco SAPairCorr
  0.42HDB HDFC Bank Limited Financial Report 15th of July 2024 PairCorr
  0.41PTAIF PT Astra InternationalPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Bank Rakyat could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Bank Rakyat when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Bank Rakyat - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Bank Rakyat to buy it.
The correlation of Bank Rakyat is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Bank Rakyat moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Bank Rakyat moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Bank Rakyat can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Check out Bank Rakyat Correlation, Bank Rakyat Volatility and Bank Rakyat Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Bank Rakyat.
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Bank Rakyat technical pink sheet analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, pink sheet market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Bank Rakyat technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Bank Rakyat trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...