Dreyfus Worldwide Growth Fund Market Value
| DPWRX Fund | USD 69.97 0.08 0.11% |
| Symbol | Dreyfus |
Dreyfus Worldwide 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Dreyfus Worldwide's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Dreyfus Worldwide.
| 03/19/2024 |
| 04/18/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Dreyfus Worldwide on March 19, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Dreyfus Worldwide Growth or generate 0.0% return on investment in Dreyfus Worldwide over 30 days. Dreyfus Worldwide is related to or competes with American Funds, American Funds, New Perspective, and New Perspective. To pursue its goals, the fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus any borrowings for investment... More
Dreyfus Worldwide Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Dreyfus Worldwide's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Dreyfus Worldwide Growth upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.7833 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 3.86 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.17) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.07 |
Dreyfus Worldwide Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Dreyfus Worldwide's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Dreyfus Worldwide's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Dreyfus Worldwide historical prices to predict the future Dreyfus Worldwide's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0365 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.01) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0343 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dreyfus Worldwide's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Dreyfus Worldwide Growth Backtested Returns
We consider Dreyfus Worldwide very steady. Dreyfus Worldwide Growth secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0545, which denotes the fund had a 0.0545% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Dreyfus Worldwide Growth, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Dreyfus Worldwide's Downside Deviation of 0.7833, semi deviation of 0.6813, and Mean Deviation of 0.5251 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.038%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.87, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Dreyfus Worldwide returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Dreyfus Worldwide is expected to follow.
Auto-correlation | 0.46 |
Average predictability
Dreyfus Worldwide Growth has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Dreyfus Worldwide time series from 19th of March 2024 to 3rd of April 2024 and 3rd of April 2024 to 18th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Dreyfus Worldwide Growth price movement. The serial correlation of 0.46 indicates that about 46.0% of current Dreyfus Worldwide price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.46 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.62 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.62 |
Dreyfus Worldwide Growth lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Dreyfus Worldwide mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Dreyfus Worldwide's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Dreyfus Worldwide returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Dreyfus Worldwide has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Dreyfus Worldwide regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Dreyfus Worldwide mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Dreyfus Worldwide mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Dreyfus Worldwide mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Dreyfus Worldwide Lagged Returns
When evaluating Dreyfus Worldwide's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Dreyfus Worldwide mutual fund have on its future price. Dreyfus Worldwide autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Dreyfus Worldwide autocorrelation shows the relationship between Dreyfus Worldwide mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Dreyfus Worldwide Growth.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Dreyfus Worldwide in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Dreyfus Worldwide's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Dreyfus Worldwide options trading.
Pair Trading with Dreyfus Worldwide
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Dreyfus Worldwide position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Dreyfus Worldwide will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Dreyfus Mutual Fund
| 0.75 | DHYYX | Dreyfus High Yield | PairCorr |
| 0.73 | SSETX | Dreyfusthe Boston Pany | PairCorr |
| 0.85 | DIEYX | Dreyfus International | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Dreyfus Worldwide could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Dreyfus Worldwide when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Dreyfus Worldwide - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Dreyfus Worldwide Growth to buy it.
The correlation of Dreyfus Worldwide is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Dreyfus Worldwide moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Dreyfus Worldwide Growth moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Dreyfus Worldwide can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Dreyfus Worldwide Correlation, Dreyfus Worldwide Volatility and Dreyfus Worldwide Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Dreyfus Worldwide. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Dreyfus Worldwide technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.