Freshpet Stock Market Value
| FRPT Stock | USD 105.24 0.49 0.47% |
| Symbol | Freshpet |
Freshpet Price To Book Ratio
Is Freshpet's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Freshpet. If investors know Freshpet will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Freshpet listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.093 | Earnings Share (0.70) | Revenue Per Share 15.923 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.299 | Return On Assets (0.01) |
The market value of Freshpet is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Freshpet that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Freshpet's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Freshpet's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Freshpet's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Freshpet's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Freshpet's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Freshpet is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Freshpet's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Freshpet 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Freshpet's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Freshpet.
| 03/26/2024 |
| 04/25/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Freshpet on March 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Freshpet or generate 0.0% return on investment in Freshpet over 30 days. Freshpet is related to or competes with Bit Origin, Farmmi, Laird SuperfoodInc, Whole Earth, Arcadia Biosciences, and Stryve Foods. Freshpet, Inc. manufactures and markets natural fresh meals and treats for dogs and cats in the United States, Canada, a... More
Freshpet Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Freshpet's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Freshpet upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.44 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0853 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 23.16 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.48) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.86 |
Freshpet Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Freshpet's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Freshpet's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Freshpet historical prices to predict the future Freshpet's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0806 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3063 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1666 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 2.3 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Freshpet's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Freshpet Backtested Returns
Freshpet appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Freshpet secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.11, which denotes the company had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Freshpet, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Freshpet's Mean Deviation of 1.38, downside deviation of 1.44, and Coefficient Of Variation of 857.19 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Freshpet holds a performance score of 8. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.14, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Freshpet's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Freshpet is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Freshpet's downside variance, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Freshpet's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.29 |
Poor predictability
Freshpet has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Freshpet time series from 26th of March 2024 to 10th of April 2024 and 10th of April 2024 to 25th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Freshpet price movement. The serial correlation of 0.29 indicates that nearly 29.0% of current Freshpet price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.29 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.2 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 8.97 |
Freshpet lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Freshpet stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Freshpet's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Freshpet returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Freshpet has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Freshpet regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Freshpet stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Freshpet stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Freshpet stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Freshpet Lagged Returns
When evaluating Freshpet's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Freshpet stock have on its future price. Freshpet autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Freshpet autocorrelation shows the relationship between Freshpet stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Freshpet.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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When running Freshpet's price analysis, check to measure Freshpet's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Freshpet is operating at the current time. Most of Freshpet's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Freshpet's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Freshpet's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Freshpet to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Freshpet technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.