Golub Capital Bdc Stock Market Value

GBDC Stock  USD 15.83  0.14  0.88%   
Golub Capital's market value is the price at which a share of Golub Capital stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Golub Capital BDC investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Golub Capital BDC and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Golub Capital over a given investment horizon.
Check out Golub Capital Correlation, Golub Capital Volatility and Golub Capital Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Golub Capital.
Symbol

Golub Capital BDC Price To Book Ratio

Is Golub Capital's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Golub Capital. If investors know Golub will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Golub Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.984
Dividend Share
1.4
Earnings Share
1.82
Revenue Per Share
3.711
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.204
The market value of Golub Capital BDC is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Golub that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Golub Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Golub Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Golub Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Golub Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Golub Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Golub Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Golub Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Golub Capital 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Golub Capital's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Golub Capital.
0.00
03/30/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
03/19/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Golub Capital on March 30, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Golub Capital BDC or generate 0.0% return on investment in Golub Capital over 720 days. Golub Capital is related to or competes with Universal Technical, Relx PLC, Valhi, Luxfer Holdings, CF Industries, and Ecolab. is a business development company and operates as an externally managed closed-end non-diversified management investment... More

Golub Capital Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Golub Capital's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Golub Capital BDC upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Golub Capital Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Golub Capital's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Golub Capital's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Golub Capital historical prices to predict the future Golub Capital's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Golub Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Golub Capital in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.9515.7616.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.8115.6216.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.9715.7816.58
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
14.2915.7017.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Golub Capital. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Golub Capital's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Golub Capital's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Golub Capital BDC.

Golub Capital BDC Backtested Returns

We consider Golub Capital very steady. Golub Capital BDC holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.18, which attests that the entity had 0.18% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards determining the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Golub Capital BDC, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the firm. Please check out Golub Capital's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2824, downside deviation of 0.8546, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1193 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.14%. Golub Capital has a performance score of 13 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.5, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Golub Capital returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Golub Capital will be expected to be smaller as well. By evaluating Golub Capital BDC technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.14% will be sustainable into the future. Golub Capital BDC right now retains a risk of 0.81%. Please check out Golub Capital standard deviation, treynor ratio, downside variance, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and value at risk to decide if Golub Capital will be following its current trending patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.02  

Virtually no predictability

Golub Capital BDC has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Golub Capital time series from 30th of March 2022 to 25th of March 2023 and 25th of March 2023 to 19th of March 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Golub Capital BDC price movement. The serial correlation of 0.02 indicates that only 2.0% of current Golub Capital price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.02
Spearman Rank Test-0.05
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.54

Golub Capital BDC lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Golub Capital stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Golub Capital's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Golub Capital returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Golub Capital stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Golub Capital regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Golub Capital stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Golub Capital stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Golub Capital stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Golub Capital Lagged Returns

When evaluating Golub Capital's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Golub Capital stock have on its future price. Golub Capital autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Golub Capital autocorrelation shows the relationship between Golub Capital stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Golub Capital BDC.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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When determining whether Golub Capital BDC offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Golub Capital's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Golub Capital Bdc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Golub Capital Bdc Stock:
Check out Golub Capital Correlation, Golub Capital Volatility and Golub Capital Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Golub Capital.
Note that the Golub Capital BDC information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Golub Capital's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.

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When running Golub Capital's price analysis, check to measure Golub Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Golub Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Golub Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Golub Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Golub Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Golub Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Golub Capital technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Golub Capital technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Golub Capital trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...