Geron Stock Market Value
| GERN Stock | USD 3.69 0.04 1.07% |
| Symbol | Geron |
Geron Price To Book Ratio
Is Geron's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Geron. If investors know Geron will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Geron listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.32) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.78) | Return On Assets (0.41) | Return On Equity (1.12) |
The market value of Geron is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Geron that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Geron's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Geron's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Geron's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Geron's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Geron's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Geron is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Geron's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Geron 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Geron's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Geron.
| 03/20/2024 |
| 04/19/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Geron on March 20, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Geron or generate 0.0% return on investment in Geron over 30 days. Geron is related to or competes with Viking Therapeutics, TG Therapeutics, X4 Pharmaceuticals, PDS Biotechnology, Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Zura Bio, and Enveric Biosciences. Geron Corporation, a late-stage clinical biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of ... More
Geron Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Geron's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Geron upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 5.24 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1154 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 97.36 | |||
| Value At Risk | (7.96) | |||
| Potential Upside | 10.47 |
Geron Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Geron's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Geron's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Geron historical prices to predict the future Geron's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0842 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 1.39 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3126 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2719 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.9349 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Geron's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Geron Backtested Returns
Geron is dangerous given 3 months investment horizon. Geron holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.12, which attests that the entity had a 0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to interpolate data for twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.5% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Geron Downside Deviation of 5.24, market risk adjusted performance of 0.9449, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0842 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Geron holds a performance score of 9 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.59, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Geron will likely underperform. Use Geron value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to analyze future returns on Geron.
Auto-correlation | -0.51 |
Good reverse predictability
Geron has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Geron time series from 20th of March 2024 to 4th of April 2024 and 4th of April 2024 to 19th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Geron price movement. The serial correlation of -0.51 indicates that about 51.0% of current Geron price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.51 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.59 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.03 |
Geron lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Geron stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Geron's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Geron returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Geron has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Geron regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Geron stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Geron stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Geron stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Geron Lagged Returns
When evaluating Geron's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Geron stock have on its future price. Geron autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Geron autocorrelation shows the relationship between Geron stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Geron.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Complementary Tools for Geron Stock analysis
When running Geron's price analysis, check to measure Geron's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Geron is operating at the current time. Most of Geron's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Geron's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Geron's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Geron to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Geron technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.