Guess Inc Stock Market Value
| GES Stock | USD 25.56 0.05 0.20% |
| Symbol | Guess |
Guess Inc Price To Book Ratio
Is Guess' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Guess. If investors know Guess will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Guess listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.295 | Dividend Share 1.125 | Earnings Share 3.09 | Revenue Per Share 52.064 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.09 |
The market value of Guess Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Guess that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Guess' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Guess' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Guess' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Guess' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Guess' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Guess is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Guess' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Guess 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Guess' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Guess.
| 03/19/2024 |
| 04/18/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Guess on March 19, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Guess Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Guess over 30 days. Guess is related to or competes with Vera Bradley, Wolverine World, Rocky Brands, Steven Madden, Weyco, and Designer Brands. , Inc. designs, markets, distributes, and licenses lifestyle collections of apparel and accessories for men, women, and ... More
Guess Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Guess' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Guess Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.27 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0952 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 27.41 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.60) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.55 |
Guess Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Guess' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Guess' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Guess historical prices to predict the future Guess' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0787 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2723 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1214 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1379 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1881 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Guess' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Guess Inc Backtested Returns
Guess appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Guess Inc holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.12, which attests that the entity had a 0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Guess Inc, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Guess' Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1981, downside deviation of 2.27, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0787 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Guess holds a performance score of 9. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.91, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Guess will likely underperform. Please check Guess' value at risk, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether Guess' current trending patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.79 |
Almost perfect reverse predictability
Guess Inc has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Guess time series from 19th of March 2024 to 3rd of April 2024 and 3rd of April 2024 to 18th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Guess Inc price movement. The serial correlation of -0.79 indicates that around 79.0% of current Guess price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.79 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.56 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.57 |
Guess Inc lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Guess stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Guess' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Guess returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Guess has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Guess regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Guess stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Guess stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Guess stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Guess Lagged Returns
When evaluating Guess' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Guess stock have on its future price. Guess autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Guess autocorrelation shows the relationship between Guess stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Guess Inc.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Guess Investors Sentiment
The influence of Guess' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Guess. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Guess' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Guess. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Guess can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Guess Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Guess' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Guess' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Guess' news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Guess.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Guess in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Guess' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Guess options trading.
Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!
The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.
Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Guess Correlation, Guess Volatility and Guess Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Guess. Note that the Guess Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Guess' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the AI Investment Finder module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Complementary Tools for Guess Stock analysis
When running Guess' price analysis, check to measure Guess' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guess is operating at the current time. Most of Guess' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guess' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guess' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guess to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Commodity Directory Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges | |
| Pair Correlation Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments | |
| Companies Directory Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals | |
| Portfolio Rebalancing Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets | |
| Global Correlations Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets | |
| Bollinger Bands Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon | |
| Bonds Directory Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies | |
| Stock Screener Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook. | |
| Financial Widgets Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets | |
| Performance Analysis Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation | |
| Bond Analysis Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios. |
Guess technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.