Greentree Hospitality Group Stock Market Value
| GHG Stock | USD 2.76 0.18 6.12% |
| Symbol | GreenTree |
GreenTree Hospitality Price To Book Ratio
Is GreenTree Hospitality's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of GreenTree Hospitality. If investors know GreenTree will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about GreenTree Hospitality listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.59) | Earnings Share 0.44 | Revenue Per Share 15.94 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.032 | Return On Assets 0.0384 |
The market value of GreenTree Hospitality is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GreenTree that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GreenTree Hospitality's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GreenTree Hospitality's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because GreenTree Hospitality's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GreenTree Hospitality's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GreenTree Hospitality's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GreenTree Hospitality is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GreenTree Hospitality's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
GreenTree Hospitality 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to GreenTree Hospitality's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of GreenTree Hospitality.
| 03/20/2024 |
| 04/19/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in GreenTree Hospitality on March 20, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding GreenTree Hospitality Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in GreenTree Hospitality over 30 days. GreenTree Hospitality is related to or competes with Yatra Online, Despegar Corp, Mondee Holdings, MakeMyTrip, and TripAdvisor. GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd., through its subsidiaries, develops leased-and-operated, and franchised-and-managed hot... More
GreenTree Hospitality Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure GreenTree Hospitality's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess GreenTree Hospitality Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.09) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.1 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.66) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.23 |
GreenTree Hospitality Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for GreenTree Hospitality's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as GreenTree Hospitality's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use GreenTree Hospitality historical prices to predict the future GreenTree Hospitality's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.19) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.39) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.24) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GreenTree Hospitality's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
GreenTree Hospitality Backtested Returns
GreenTree Hospitality holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0814, which attests that the entity had a -0.0814% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. GreenTree Hospitality exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out GreenTree Hospitality's Standard Deviation of 2.46, market risk adjusted performance of (0.23), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.65, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, GreenTree Hospitality's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding GreenTree Hospitality is expected to be smaller as well. GreenTree Hospitality has an expected return of -0.2%. Please make sure to check out GreenTree Hospitality skewness, day typical price, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and daily balance of power , to decide if GreenTree Hospitality performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.53 |
Modest predictability
GreenTree Hospitality Group has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between GreenTree Hospitality time series from 20th of March 2024 to 4th of April 2024 and 4th of April 2024 to 19th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of GreenTree Hospitality price movement. The serial correlation of 0.53 indicates that about 53.0% of current GreenTree Hospitality price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.53 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.21 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.01 |
GreenTree Hospitality lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is GreenTree Hospitality stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting GreenTree Hospitality's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of GreenTree Hospitality returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that GreenTree Hospitality has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
GreenTree Hospitality regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If GreenTree Hospitality stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if GreenTree Hospitality stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in GreenTree Hospitality stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
GreenTree Hospitality Lagged Returns
When evaluating GreenTree Hospitality's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of GreenTree Hospitality stock have on its future price. GreenTree Hospitality autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, GreenTree Hospitality autocorrelation shows the relationship between GreenTree Hospitality stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in GreenTree Hospitality Group.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards GreenTree Hospitality in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, GreenTree Hospitality's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from GreenTree Hospitality options trading.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out GreenTree Hospitality Correlation, GreenTree Hospitality Volatility and GreenTree Hospitality Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on GreenTree Hospitality. Note that the GreenTree Hospitality information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other GreenTree Hospitality's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Complementary Tools for GreenTree Stock analysis
When running GreenTree Hospitality's price analysis, check to measure GreenTree Hospitality's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GreenTree Hospitality is operating at the current time. Most of GreenTree Hospitality's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GreenTree Hospitality's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GreenTree Hospitality's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GreenTree Hospitality to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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GreenTree Hospitality technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.