Idemitsu Kosan Coltd Stock Market Value

IDKOF Stock  USD 7.44  0.40  5.68%   
Idemitsu Kosan's market value is the price at which a share of Idemitsu Kosan trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Idemitsu Kosan CoLtd investors about its performance. Idemitsu Kosan is trading at 7.44 as of the 15th of April 2024. This is a 5.68% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 7.44.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Idemitsu Kosan CoLtd and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Idemitsu Kosan over a given investment horizon. Check out Idemitsu Kosan Correlation, Idemitsu Kosan Volatility and Idemitsu Kosan Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Idemitsu Kosan.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Idemitsu Kosan's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Idemitsu Kosan is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Idemitsu Kosan's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Idemitsu Kosan 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Idemitsu Kosan's otc stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Idemitsu Kosan.
0.00
03/16/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
04/15/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Idemitsu Kosan on March 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Idemitsu Kosan CoLtd or generate 0.0% return on investment in Idemitsu Kosan over 30 days. Idemitsu Kosan is related to or competes with Valero Energy, Nemetschek, ServiceNow, LKQ, Comfort Systems, Heritage Insurance, and Oshkosh. ,Ltd. operates in petroleum, basic chemicals, functional materials, power and renewable energy, and resources businesses... More

Idemitsu Kosan Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Idemitsu Kosan's otc stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Idemitsu Kosan CoLtd upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Idemitsu Kosan Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Idemitsu Kosan's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Idemitsu Kosan's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Idemitsu Kosan historical prices to predict the future Idemitsu Kosan's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Idemitsu Kosan's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.377.4443.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.142.7639.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.136.2642.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-6.784.4215.63
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Idemitsu Kosan. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Idemitsu Kosan's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Idemitsu Kosan's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Idemitsu Kosan CoLtd.

Idemitsu Kosan CoLtd Backtested Returns

Idemitsu Kosan CoLtd holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.16, which attests that the entity had a -0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Idemitsu Kosan CoLtd exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Idemitsu Kosan's Standard Deviation of 21.74, risk adjusted performance of (0.06), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 1.86 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -1.24, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Idemitsu Kosan are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Idemitsu Kosan is expected to outperform it. Idemitsu Kosan CoLtd has an expected return of -5.87%. Please make sure to check out Idemitsu Kosan potential upside, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and rate of daily change , to decide if Idemitsu Kosan CoLtd performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.25  

Weak reverse predictability

Idemitsu Kosan CoLtd has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Idemitsu Kosan time series from 16th of March 2024 to 31st of March 2024 and 31st of March 2024 to 15th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Idemitsu Kosan CoLtd price movement. The serial correlation of -0.25 indicates that over 25.0% of current Idemitsu Kosan price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.25
Spearman Rank Test0.19
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

Idemitsu Kosan CoLtd lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Idemitsu Kosan otc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Idemitsu Kosan's otc stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Idemitsu Kosan returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Idemitsu Kosan has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the otc stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Idemitsu Kosan regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Idemitsu Kosan otc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Idemitsu Kosan otc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Idemitsu Kosan otc stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Idemitsu Kosan Lagged Returns

When evaluating Idemitsu Kosan's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Idemitsu Kosan otc stock have on its future price. Idemitsu Kosan autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Idemitsu Kosan autocorrelation shows the relationship between Idemitsu Kosan otc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Idemitsu Kosan CoLtd.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Check out Idemitsu Kosan Correlation, Idemitsu Kosan Volatility and Idemitsu Kosan Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Idemitsu Kosan.
You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.

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When running Idemitsu Kosan's price analysis, check to measure Idemitsu Kosan's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Idemitsu Kosan is operating at the current time. Most of Idemitsu Kosan's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Idemitsu Kosan's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Idemitsu Kosan's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Idemitsu Kosan to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Idemitsu Kosan technical otc stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, otc market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Idemitsu Kosan technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Idemitsu Kosan trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...