Jumia Technologies Ag Stock Market Value

JMIA Stock  USD 4.63  0.47  11.30%   
Jumia Technologies' market value is the price at which a share of Jumia Technologies trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Jumia Technologies AG investors about its performance. Jumia Technologies is trading at 4.63 as of the 24th of April 2024, a 11.30% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 4.16.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Jumia Technologies AG and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Jumia Technologies over a given investment horizon. Check out Jumia Technologies Correlation, Jumia Technologies Volatility and Jumia Technologies Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Jumia Technologies.
Symbol

Jumia Technologies Price To Book Ratio

Is Jumia Technologies' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Jumia Technologies. If investors know Jumia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Jumia Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.98)
Revenue Per Share
1.847
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.11)
Return On Assets
(0.18)
Return On Equity
(0.82)
The market value of Jumia Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Jumia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Jumia Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Jumia Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Jumia Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Jumia Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Jumia Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jumia Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jumia Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Jumia Technologies 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Jumia Technologies' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Jumia Technologies.
0.00
05/05/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
04/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Jumia Technologies on May 5, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Jumia Technologies AG or generate 0.0% return on investment in Jumia Technologies over 720 days. Jumia Technologies is related to or competes with Appian Corp, Okta, MongoDB, Twilio, and Trade Desk. Jumia Technologies AG operates an e-commerce platform in West Africa, North Africa, East and South Africa, Europe, the U... More

Jumia Technologies Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Jumia Technologies' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Jumia Technologies AG upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Jumia Technologies Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Jumia Technologies' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Jumia Technologies' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Jumia Technologies historical prices to predict the future Jumia Technologies' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jumia Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.214.2311.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.203.9311.56
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
3.644.004.44
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.09-0.09-0.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jumia Technologies. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jumia Technologies' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jumia Technologies' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jumia Technologies.

Jumia Technologies Backtested Returns

Jumia Technologies appears to be very risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Jumia Technologies holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.13, which attests that the entity had a 0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By evaluating Jumia Technologies' technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.98% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize Jumia Technologies' Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.146, downside deviation of 4.9, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0695 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Jumia Technologies holds a performance score of 9. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 5.28, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Jumia Technologies will likely underperform. Please check Jumia Technologies' downside variance, daily balance of power, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether Jumia Technologies' current trending patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.44  

Modest reverse predictability

Jumia Technologies AG has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Jumia Technologies time series from 5th of May 2022 to 30th of April 2023 and 30th of April 2023 to 24th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Jumia Technologies price movement. The serial correlation of -0.44 indicates that just about 44.0% of current Jumia Technologies price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.44
Spearman Rank Test-0.28
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.2

Jumia Technologies lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Jumia Technologies stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Jumia Technologies' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Jumia Technologies returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Jumia Technologies has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Jumia Technologies regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Jumia Technologies stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Jumia Technologies stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Jumia Technologies stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Jumia Technologies Lagged Returns

When evaluating Jumia Technologies' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Jumia Technologies stock have on its future price. Jumia Technologies autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Jumia Technologies autocorrelation shows the relationship between Jumia Technologies stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Jumia Technologies AG.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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When determining whether Jumia Technologies offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Jumia Technologies' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Jumia Technologies Ag Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Jumia Technologies Ag Stock:
Check out Jumia Technologies Correlation, Jumia Technologies Volatility and Jumia Technologies Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Jumia Technologies.
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Jumia Technologies technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Jumia Technologies technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Jumia Technologies trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...