Legg Mason Bw Fund Market Value

LGOCX Fund  USD 8.25  0.04  0.49%   
Legg Mason's market value is the price at which a share of Legg Mason trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Legg Mason Bw investors about its performance. Legg Mason is trading at 8.25 as of the 19th of April 2024; that is 0.49 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 8.21.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Legg Mason Bw and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Legg Mason over a given investment horizon. Check out Legg Mason Correlation, Legg Mason Volatility and Legg Mason Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Legg Mason.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Legg Mason's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Legg Mason is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Legg Mason's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Legg Mason 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Legg Mason's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Legg Mason.
0.00
03/20/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
04/19/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Legg Mason on March 20, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Legg Mason Bw or generate 0.0% return on investment in Legg Mason over 30 days. Legg Mason is related to or competes with Clearbridge Aggressive, Clearbridge Small, Qs International, Qs International, Qs International, Clearbridge Appreciation, and Western Asset. The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in fixed income securities of issuers located in develop... More

Legg Mason Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Legg Mason's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Legg Mason Bw upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Legg Mason Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Legg Mason's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Legg Mason's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Legg Mason historical prices to predict the future Legg Mason's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Legg Mason's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.598.218.83
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Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.678.298.91
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Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Legg Mason. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Legg Mason's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Legg Mason's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Legg Mason Bw.

Legg Mason Bw Backtested Returns

Legg Mason Bw has Sharpe Ratio of -0.13, which conveys that the entity had a -0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Legg Mason exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Legg Mason's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09), mean deviation of 0.4462, and Standard Deviation of 0.6089 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.5, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Legg Mason's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Legg Mason is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.62  

Good predictability

Legg Mason Bw has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Legg Mason time series from 20th of March 2024 to 4th of April 2024 and 4th of April 2024 to 19th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Legg Mason Bw price movement. The serial correlation of 0.62 indicates that roughly 62.0% of current Legg Mason price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.62
Spearman Rank Test0.36
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Legg Mason Bw lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Legg Mason mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Legg Mason's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Legg Mason returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Legg Mason has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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Legg Mason regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Legg Mason mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Legg Mason mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Legg Mason mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
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Legg Mason Lagged Returns

When evaluating Legg Mason's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Legg Mason mutual fund have on its future price. Legg Mason autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Legg Mason autocorrelation shows the relationship between Legg Mason mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Legg Mason Bw.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Check out Legg Mason Correlation, Legg Mason Volatility and Legg Mason Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Legg Mason.
Note that the Legg Mason Bw information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Legg Mason's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Legg Mason technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Legg Mason technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Legg Mason trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...