Mfs International Value Fund Market Value

MINGX Fund  USD 39.50  0.09  0.23%   
Mfs International's market value is the price at which a share of Mfs International trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Mfs International Value investors about its performance. Mfs International is trading at 39.50 as of the 29th of March 2024; that is -0.23 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 39.59.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Mfs International Value and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Mfs International over a given investment horizon. Check out Mfs International Correlation, Mfs International Volatility and Mfs International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Mfs International.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Mfs International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mfs International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mfs International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Mfs International 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Mfs International's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Mfs International.
0.00
04/09/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
03/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Mfs International on April 9, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Mfs International Value or generate 0.0% return on investment in Mfs International over 720 days. Mfs International is related to or competes with Scharf Global, Barloworld, Morningstar Unconstrained, SPACE, Via Renewables, T Rowe, and Bondbloxx ETF. The fund normally invests its assets primarily in foreign equity securities, including emerging market equity securities More

Mfs International Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Mfs International's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Mfs International Value upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Mfs International Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Mfs International's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Mfs International's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Mfs International historical prices to predict the future Mfs International's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mfs International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
38.8239.5040.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.3539.0339.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
38.5139.1839.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
37.4638.8040.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mfs International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mfs International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mfs International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mfs International Value.

Mfs International Value Backtested Returns

We consider Mfs International very steady. Mfs International Value has Sharpe Ratio of 0.2, which conveys that the entity had a 0.2% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Mfs International, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please verify Mfs International's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.096, mean deviation of 0.5082, and Downside Deviation of 0.7522 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.13%. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.98, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Mfs International returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Mfs International is expected to follow.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.65  

Good predictability

Mfs International Value has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Mfs International time series from 9th of April 2022 to 4th of April 2023 and 4th of April 2023 to 29th of March 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Mfs International Value price movement. The serial correlation of 0.65 indicates that roughly 65.0% of current Mfs International price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.65
Spearman Rank Test0.23
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.37

Mfs International Value lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Mfs International mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Mfs International's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Mfs International returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Mfs International has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Mfs International regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Mfs International mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Mfs International mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Mfs International mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Mfs International Lagged Returns

When evaluating Mfs International's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Mfs International mutual fund have on its future price. Mfs International autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Mfs International autocorrelation shows the relationship between Mfs International mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Mfs International Value.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect
Check out Mfs International Correlation, Mfs International Volatility and Mfs International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Mfs International.
Note that the Mfs International Value information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Mfs International's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.

Complementary Tools for Mfs Mutual Fund analysis

When running Mfs International's price analysis, check to measure Mfs International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mfs International is operating at the current time. Most of Mfs International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mfs International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mfs International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mfs International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Top Crypto Exchanges
Search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk
Theme Ratings
Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Portfolio Manager
State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
Mfs International technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Mfs International technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Mfs International trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...