Open Text Corp Stock Market Value

OTEX Stock  CAD 49.28  0.67  1.38%   
Open Text's market value is the price at which a share of Open Text trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Open Text Corp investors about its performance. Open Text is selling at 49.28 as of the 23rd of April 2024; that is 1.38 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 48.61.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Open Text Corp and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Open Text over a given investment horizon. Check out Open Text Correlation, Open Text Volatility and Open Text Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Open Text.
Symbol

Open Text Corp Price To Book Ratio

Please note, there is a significant difference between Open Text's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Open Text is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Open Text's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Open Text 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Open Text's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Open Text.
0.00
05/04/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
04/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Open Text on May 4, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Open Text Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Open Text over 720 days. Open Text is related to or competes with Plurilock Security, Kwesst Micro, Perimeter Medical, and Jericho Oil. Open Text Corporation engages in the designs, develops, markets, and sells information management software and solutions More

Open Text Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Open Text's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Open Text Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Open Text Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Open Text's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Open Text's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Open Text historical prices to predict the future Open Text's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Open Text's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
46.8548.3449.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
43.7550.8652.35
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Open Text. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Open Text's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Open Text's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Open Text Corp.

Open Text Corp Backtested Returns

Open Text Corp maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.15, which implies the firm had a -0.15% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Open Text Corp exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Open Text's Coefficient Of Variation of (863.57), variance of 2.19, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of 1.22, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Open Text will likely underperform. Open Text Corp has an expected return of -0.22%. Please make sure to check Open Text Corp standard deviation, total risk alpha, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if Open Text Corp performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.30  

Below average predictability

Open Text Corp has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Open Text time series from 4th of May 2022 to 29th of April 2023 and 29th of April 2023 to 23rd of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Open Text Corp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.3 indicates that nearly 30.0% of current Open Text price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.3
Spearman Rank Test0.08
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance9.51

Open Text Corp lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Open Text stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Open Text's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Open Text returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Open Text has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Open Text regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Open Text stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Open Text stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Open Text stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Open Text Lagged Returns

When evaluating Open Text's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Open Text stock have on its future price. Open Text autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Open Text autocorrelation shows the relationship between Open Text stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Open Text Corp.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Open Text in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Open Text's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Open Text options trading.

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When determining whether Open Text Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Open Text's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Open Text Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Open Text Corp Stock:
Check out Open Text Correlation, Open Text Volatility and Open Text Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Open Text.
You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Complementary Tools for Open Stock analysis

When running Open Text's price analysis, check to measure Open Text's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Open Text is operating at the current time. Most of Open Text's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Open Text's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Open Text's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Open Text to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Open Text technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Open Text technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Open Text trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...