T Rowe Price Fund Market Value

PAEIX Fund  USD 13.10  0.08  0.61%   
T Rowe's market value is the price at which a share of T Rowe trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of T Rowe Price investors about its performance. T Rowe is trading at 13.10 as of the 28th of March 2024; that is 0.61% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 13.02.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of T Rowe Price and determine expected loss or profit from investing in T Rowe over a given investment horizon. Check out T Rowe Correlation, T Rowe Volatility and T Rowe Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on T Rowe.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between T Rowe's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if T Rowe is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, T Rowe's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

T Rowe 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to T Rowe's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of T Rowe.
0.00
05/08/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 10 months and 21 days
03/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in T Rowe on May 8, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding T Rowe Price or generate 0.0% return on investment in T Rowe over 690 days. T Rowe is related to or competes with State Farm, T Rowe, T Rowe, T Rowe, Maryland Tax-free, Virginia Tax-free, and T Rowe. The manager expects to invest significantly outside the U.S More

T Rowe Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure T Rowe's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess T Rowe Price upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

T Rowe Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for T Rowe's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as T Rowe's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use T Rowe historical prices to predict the future T Rowe's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of T Rowe's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.4513.1013.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.3212.9713.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.3413.0013.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.9513.0413.13
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as T Rowe. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against T Rowe's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, T Rowe's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in T Rowe Price.

T Rowe Price Backtested Returns

We consider T Rowe very steady. T Rowe Price owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.11, which indicates the fund had a 0.11% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for T Rowe Price, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please validate T Rowe's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0875, downside deviation of 0.7374, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0754 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0738%. The entity has a beta of 0.97, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. T Rowe returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, T Rowe is expected to follow.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.59  

Modest predictability

T Rowe Price has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between T Rowe time series from 8th of May 2022 to 18th of April 2023 and 18th of April 2023 to 28th of March 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of T Rowe Price price movement. The serial correlation of 0.59 indicates that roughly 59.0% of current T Rowe price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.59
Spearman Rank Test0.45
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.22

T Rowe Price lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is T Rowe mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting T Rowe's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of T Rowe returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that T Rowe has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

T Rowe regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If T Rowe mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if T Rowe mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in T Rowe mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

T Rowe Lagged Returns

When evaluating T Rowe's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of T Rowe mutual fund have on its future price. T Rowe autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, T Rowe autocorrelation shows the relationship between T Rowe mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in T Rowe Price.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Check out T Rowe Correlation, T Rowe Volatility and T Rowe Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on T Rowe.
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When running T Rowe's price analysis, check to measure T Rowe's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy T Rowe is operating at the current time. Most of T Rowe's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of T Rowe's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move T Rowe's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of T Rowe to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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T Rowe technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of T Rowe technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of T Rowe trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...