Europacific Growth Fund Market Value
| REREX Fund | USD 55.12 0.41 0.74% |
| Symbol | Europacific |
Europacific Growth 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Europacific Growth's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Europacific Growth.
| 10/20/2023 |
| 04/17/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Europacific Growth on October 20, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Europacific Growth Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Europacific Growth over 180 days. Europacific Growth is related to or competes with American Mutual, American Mutual, American Funds, American Funds, Income Fund, New Economy, and New Economy. The fund invests primarily in common stocks of issuers in Europe and the Pacific Basin that the investment adviser belie... More
Europacific Growth Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Europacific Growth's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Europacific Growth Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.6009 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0274 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 3.2 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.09) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.23 |
Europacific Growth Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Europacific Growth's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Europacific Growth's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Europacific Growth historical prices to predict the future Europacific Growth's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0719 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0236 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0149 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0309 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0743 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Europacific Growth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Europacific Growth Backtested Returns
We consider Europacific Growth very steady. Europacific Growth secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.15, which denotes the fund had a 0.15% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Europacific Growth Fund, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Europacific Growth's Coefficient Of Variation of 885.35, mean deviation of 0.5295, and Downside Deviation of 0.6009 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0943%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.9, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Europacific Growth returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Europacific Growth is expected to follow.
Auto-correlation | 0.94 |
Excellent predictability
Europacific Growth Fund has excellent predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Europacific Growth time series from 20th of October 2023 to 18th of January 2024 and 18th of January 2024 to 17th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Europacific Growth price movement. The serial correlation of 0.94 indicates that approximately 94.0% of current Europacific Growth price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.94 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.83 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 2.64 |
Europacific Growth lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Europacific Growth mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Europacific Growth's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Europacific Growth returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Europacific Growth has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Europacific Growth regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Europacific Growth mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Europacific Growth mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Europacific Growth mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Europacific Growth Lagged Returns
When evaluating Europacific Growth's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Europacific Growth mutual fund have on its future price. Europacific Growth autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Europacific Growth autocorrelation shows the relationship between Europacific Growth mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Europacific Growth Fund.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Europacific Growth in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Europacific Growth's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Europacific Growth options trading.
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Check out Europacific Growth Correlation, Europacific Growth Volatility and Europacific Growth Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Europacific Growth. Note that the Europacific Growth information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Europacific Growth's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Europacific Growth technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.